codfishsnowman Posted February 14, 2021 Share Posted February 14, 2021 Twc has us as several hours of snow tomorrow on their graphic, is there any support for this? They have our area NCT/WMA in 1 to 3 inches Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxsniss Posted February 14, 2021 Share Posted February 14, 2021 Not considering whatever happens after this week... I can't remember the last time SNE had such a devolution of high-ceiling, multiple event potential... Just 4 days ago it looked like Feb 94 redux, at least 2-3 events, on track for widespread foot+ of snow SNE by the end of this week on guidance as recently as Euro Feb 12 0z!... and now large parts of SNE are looking at a nuisance kitchen sink / rainstorm. Live and die by the gradient. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 14, 2021 Share Posted February 14, 2021 I'm not sniffing freezing in this. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
J Paul Gordon Posted February 14, 2021 Share Posted February 14, 2021 Either snow or rain please. Too old to lift 50 lb shovels full of sleet. Saw enough destruction in 1964, 2008 in New England. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 14, 2021 Share Posted February 14, 2021 1 minute ago, wxsniss said: Not considering whatever happens after this week... I can't remember the last time SNE had such a devolution of high-ceiling, multiple event potential... Just 4 days ago it looked like Feb 94 redux, at least 2-3 events, on track for widespread foot+ of snow SNE by the end of this week on guidance as recently as Euro Feb 12 0z!... and now large parts of SNE are looking at a nuisance kitchen sink / rainstorm. Live and die by the gradient. I think it still looks pretty wintery N of pike and inland. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 14, 2021 Share Posted February 14, 2021 1 minute ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: I'm not sniffing freezing in this. No one within 15-20 miles of the coast is . Will is right Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sey-Mour Snow Posted February 14, 2021 Share Posted February 14, 2021 Just now, wxsniss said: Not considering whatever happens after this week... I can't remember the last time SNE had such a devolution of high-ceiling, multiple event potential... Just 4 days ago it looked like Feb 94 redux, at least 2-3 events, on track for widespread foot+ of snow SNE by the end of this week on guidance as recently as Euro Feb 12 0z!... and now large parts of SNE are looking at a nuisance kitchen sink / rainstorm. Live and die by the gradient. It's always 10 days away. Now it's Friday lol can't complain down here though if we get 6" Friday that's 36" of snowfall with 6 different snowfalls and consistent deep pack and also two ice storms with a -3 to -5 departure for the first 18 days of February and temperatures never rising higher than 40. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 14, 2021 Share Posted February 14, 2021 Just now, J Paul Gordon said: Here's to 35F and rain in Worcester. I've been through 3 terrible ice storms. I'll take anything over it. No way you hit 35. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 14, 2021 Share Posted February 14, 2021 Just now, Damage In Tolland said: No one within 15-20 miles of the coast is . Will is right Yea, same page. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
alex Posted February 14, 2021 Share Posted February 14, 2021 33 minutes ago, powderfreak said: Looks like a good call at this point. In a normal rear, sounds good. This year, I'd go with half of that for us lol. Which i still wouldn't complain about. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted February 14, 2021 Share Posted February 14, 2021 3 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: I think it still looks pretty wintery N of pike and inland. Yeah, I’ve got the torched out mesos on ignore until tomorrow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 14, 2021 Share Posted February 14, 2021 3 minutes ago, J Paul Gordon said: Here's to 35F and rain in Worcester. I've been through 3 terrible ice storms. I'll take anything over it. Have you read or followed anything? Only the immediate coast gets into the low - mid 30’s. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 14, 2021 Share Posted February 14, 2021 This still looks like a Feb 94 period to me....don't need 40" of snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 14, 2021 Share Posted February 14, 2021 2 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Have you read or followed anything? Only the immediate coast gets into the low - mid 30’s. Some of these bridge jumpers are going to have this big moment of epiphany at the last moment, and act like some huge change occurred. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RDRY Posted February 14, 2021 Share Posted February 14, 2021 12 minutes ago, wxsniss said: Not considering whatever happens after this week... I can't remember the last time SNE had such a devolution of high-ceiling, multiple event potential... Just 4 days ago it looked like Feb 94 redux, at least 2-3 events, on track for widespread foot+ of snow SNE by the end of this week on guidance as recently as Euro Feb 12 0z!... and now large parts of SNE are looking at a nuisance kitchen sink / rainstorm. Live and die by the gradient. Euro trending colder/snowier with Friday's storm. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 14, 2021 Share Posted February 14, 2021 3 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Some of these bridge jumpers are going to have this big moment of epiphany at the last moment, and act like some huge change occurred. I mean Mets and others have been hammering away at a cold scenario with moderate to major impacts and Theres been posts of 50’s, snow wiped out and a rainstorm . It’s like someone looked at a GFS map and just lost it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
J Paul Gordon Posted February 14, 2021 Share Posted February 14, 2021 2 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Have you read or followed anything? Only the immediate coast gets into the low - mid 30’s. There is a difference between a forecast and hope. Some of us enjoy the fun stuff ( a big snowstorm predicted well in advance), but do not particularly want to endure weeks long power outages in winter (2008), watch our homes get blown away in a hurricane or tornado, or experience any other life threatening nightmare. COVID had been quite sufficient for me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 14, 2021 Share Posted February 14, 2021 13 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: No way you hit 35. 9 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Have you read or followed anything? Only the immediate coast gets into the low - mid 30’s. I think even the interior would jump above freezing for brief time on the FROPA behind the system. But yeah, most of the precip damage occurs below freezing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted February 14, 2021 Author Share Posted February 14, 2021 18 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Yea, same page. Seen this plenty of times, that cold air will press south Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted February 14, 2021 Share Posted February 14, 2021 WPC just updated winter graphics . Has 50% of 1/4 ice accretion basically straddling I-84 in CT 25% same area for 1/2 ice or > Thats current SNE frzr bullseye Approx .8 to 1.25 QPF Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted February 14, 2021 Share Posted February 14, 2021 BOX keeps me below 31F the whole time Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 14, 2021 Share Posted February 14, 2021 20 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: I mean Mets and others have been hammering away at a cold scenario with moderate to major impacts and Theres been posts of 50’s, snow wiped out and a rainstorm . It’s like someone looked at a GFS map and just lost Let’s go gfs 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 14, 2021 Share Posted February 14, 2021 17 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: I think even the interior would jump above freezing for brief time on the FROPA behind the system. But yeah, most of the precip damage occurs below freezing. Yeah maybe Tuesday evening hits 33-35 for an hour as west winds hit trees Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
8611Blizz Posted February 14, 2021 Share Posted February 14, 2021 FWIW pretty comfortable day today. Reached 37* and washed the vehicles. Hoping that means less (or no) ice here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 14, 2021 Share Posted February 14, 2021 3 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Yeah maybe Tuesday evening hits 33-35 for an hour as west winds hit trees So you locking in upper 20s and ZR the whole time? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 14, 2021 Share Posted February 14, 2021 4 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: So you locking in upper 20s and ZR the whole time? You said Kevin was in a good spot . I’m going by that ! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 14, 2021 Share Posted February 14, 2021 4 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: You said Kevin was in a good spot . I’m going by that ! I reserve the right to change that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 14, 2021 Share Posted February 14, 2021 1 minute ago, CoastalWx said: I reserve the right to change that. Ahh so what’s the final call? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Miser Posted February 14, 2021 Share Posted February 14, 2021 6 hours ago, Cold Miser said: When we talk "interior" here, what delineates interior from coastal plain? I think I have seen my area noted as coastal in this forum in the past. Great. Thanks for the input. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted February 14, 2021 Share Posted February 14, 2021 One aspect I'm seeing in the warmer boundary layered runs .. .heh, which is pretty much all of them at this point - or seems destined that way - is that a bit of a 'COL' has opened up all over New England. The polar high that was so ideally draped west-east through Ontario, and wedging down... really is not 'quite' doing so the same as it appeared to be handled... before this shit the ice/cold rain bed. I was in doubts of a warm BL intrusion .. but upon seeing that 'COL' ( area inside the red ovoid annotation abv - ) I am less head-scratching, and more completely absolved of it. Seriously, if the models are going to 'hold back' the cold sourcing within a mere 36 f'um hours of the onset as a convenience to La Nina ... tough luck. Lol..seriously though that has a bit of a blind-sided short term correction attack on clad intents and purposes about it. Yeah, I guess you can look at the 500 mb "maybe" have inferred that "inverse cold blocking" could happen by the mid level jet... but, we've seen that fire hose over the top in the past, and still ...arctic synoptic air rounds the Maine bend and tucks its way down - maybe an interesting now cast op. But, that lobe of deep cold and the attending surface high up there is really being held way back at this point. I think there will be ageo flow - has to be.. Even the most NW postions take the low SE of Worcester ...so there has to be drain in the interior...question is, is there enough cold in the COL area to keep things freezing... I think that's the supplying air mass to this things BL circus act for SNE and probably S NH /SE VT... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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