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2/14- 2/16 Winter Storm and Arctic Cold


WestTennWX
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44 minutes ago, Utvols235 said:

Has anyone kept up with how things currently look vs how the models had them at this point?


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Looks to me like all but one of the models I watched and those I shared were spot-on so far. Actually less precipitation here than even the accurate models had forecast. NWS has had Lincoln County in minimal impact status for 2 days. So far, correct!

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3 minutes ago, Sweetpea Farms said:

Looks to me like all but one of the models I watched and those I shared were spot-on so far. Actually less precipitation here than even the accurate models had forecast. NWS has had Lincoln County in minimal impact status for 2 days. So far, correct!

HRRR looks good to me,guy from NASHVILLE severe said it was to cold.Maybe he needs to do more experiments with his balloons before going public 

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1 hour ago, PowellVolz said:

FYI.... it’s around 33-34 In my area. Only made it to 36 and the high was supposed to be 42. Not worried as of now but I will say my DP has fallen off to around 29-30 degrees. It’s possible this might start as sleet or ZR in the northern valley.


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On WxUnderground, I am seeing stations at or below freezing on the north and northwest sides of Knoxville.  

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21 minutes ago, Sweetpea Farms said:

Dry in southern Lincoln County. We are pretty much gonna get passed by tonight unless there is more development that I just don't see. So far, it's what I thought. We'll see about tomorrow.

Screen Shot 2021-02-14 at 7.01.51 PM.png

Screen Shot 2021-02-14 at 7.03.26 PM.png

Sweetpea, I'm just southeast of huntsville in Owens Cross Roads.  Looking like most of this is staying just west of us, which is fine with me.  I don't mind snow, but I don't want anything to do with ice.  Are you thinking the same?

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1 hour ago, Shocker0 said:

Similar to John here but no power issues luckily. Temperature down to 27 after only topping out of at 29. If the temperatures continue to stay well below advertised like the last few days, tomorrow will be a nightmare here with ice. The grass is even slippery now and we haven't had any real precip other than sprinkles

 

MiDfm5.jpg

I actually slipped in my yard just from the drizzle all day.  A complete glaze of ice on everything.  Taking dog out patio is very dangerous. 

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T-DOT:

Quote
Extremely Hazardous
Interstate 65 both directions in Williamson County - Between MILE MARKER 53 (Mile Marker: 53) and MILE MARKER 74 (Mile Marker: 74), extremely hazardous winter road conditions were reported at 2/14/2021 8:20:00 PM with motorists advised to use caution on this roadway.

 

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Tuesday morn the 18z Euro shows Memphis dipping below 0.with more snow probably and IP mixed in

 

ECMWF Deterministic FORECAST FOR: MEM    LAT=  35.05 LON=  -90.00 ELE=   285

                                            18Z FEB14
                 2 M     850    1000    FZING    SFC     SFC    6 HR    SNCVR
                 TMP     TMP     850     HGT     WIND    PCP     QPF     LIQ 
                 (C)     (C)     THK    (FT)    (KTS)   TYPES   (IN)    (IN) 
SUN 18Z 14-FEB  -8.4    -0.7     126    8605    01011                           
MON 00Z 15-FEB  -6.5    -1.3     127    6829    01009                           
MON 06Z 15-FEB  -8.0     0.1     127    6280    01009           0.10            
MON 12Z 15-FEB -10.2    -2.0     126    6592    02011           0.08            
MON 18Z 15-FEB -10.7    -4.3     125       0    35010           0.53            
TUE 00Z 16-FEB -11.3    -8.6     124       0    33010           0.08            
TUE 06Z 16-FEB -13.6   -10.8     123       0    32006           0.00            
TUE 12Z 16-FEB -18.1   -13.3     123       0    31004           0.00            
TUE 18Z 16-FEB -11.2   -10.6     124       0    32002           0.00            
WED 00Z 17-FEB -13.7    -7.2     125       0    34006           0.00            
WED 06Z 17-FEB -10.5    -1.3     127       0    07005           0.00            
WED 12Z 17-FEB  -9.3    -3.0     127       0    04003           0.00            
WED 18Z 17-FEB  -2.1    -1.4     129       0    03005           0.01            
THU 00Z 18-FEB  -1.7    -1.1     129    6092    02006           0.21            
THU 06Z 18-FEB  -2.1     1.2     130    7120    01008           0.12            
THU 12Z 18-FEB  -2.6     0.2     130    5130    36008           0.01     
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Nashville is close to another big ice storm

 

ECMWF Deterministic FORECAST FOR: BNA    LAT=  36.12 LON=  -86.68 ELE=   591

                                            18Z FEB14
                 2 M     850     SFC     SFC     700    6 HR     500    1000 
                 TMP     TMP     PRS     RHU     RHU     QPF     HGT     500 
                 (C)     (C)    (MB)    (PCT)   (PCT)   (IN)    (DM)     THK 
SUN 18Z 14-FEB  -2.9     0.1    1025      69      48             563     544    
MON 00Z 15-FEB  -2.1     1.4    1024      71      94             563     544    
MON 06Z 15-FEB  -3.2     2.6    1023      95      97    0.10     562     544    
MON 12Z 15-FEB  -3.7     2.4    1021      94      96    0.10     561     544    
MON 18Z 15-FEB  -3.0     0.9    1016      91     100    0.31     559     546    
TUE 00Z 16-FEB  -4.6    -2.4    1012      89      95    0.45     552     542    
TUE 06Z 16-FEB  -7.4    -8.0    1015      85      31    0.06     545     534    
TUE 12Z 16-FEB  -9.4   -11.9    1020      80      66    0.01     541     526    
TUE 18Z 16-FEB  -5.7   -11.6    1023      60      36    0.00     547     529    
WED 00Z 17-FEB  -9.1   -10.2    1024      71      12    0.00     553     535    
WED 06Z 17-FEB  -9.8    -4.6    1025      79      38    0.00     557     538    
WED 12Z 17-FEB  -6.5    -2.7    1026      78      70    0.00     559     539    
WED 18Z 17-FEB   1.2    -1.0    1025      50      97    0.00     561     542    
THU 00Z 18-FEB   0.7     0.1    1020      66      97    0.00     562     546    
THU 06Z 18-FEB   0.2     1.5    1019      96      98    0.56     564     548    
THU 12Z 18-FEB   0.8     3.5    1016      94      71    0.28     562     550   
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