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Ice/Snow threat Friday-Sunday


BullCityWx
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NWS RNK AFD at 11:30

With regard to tonight, significant icing is expected as the
baroclinic zone lifts a bit northwest in response to upper
ridging off the southeast/Mid-Atlantic coast. Warm air aloft
will support mostly rain across these areas with temperatures
below freezing as the wedge holds in tough overnight. Ice
accumulations of 1/2 to 1 inch appear likely and possibly more
east of the Blue Ridge where current plans are to go with a
Winter Storm Warning and a Winter Weather Advisory to the west.
More on that later this afternoon, but a serious icing event
looks probable for areas like Danville, Lynchburg, South Boston,
and other cities in this general area. Stay tuned for updates
forthcoming this afternoon.
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Just now, HoosTC said:

NWS RNK AFD at 11:30


With regard to tonight, significant icing is expected as the
baroclinic zone lifts a bit northwest in response to upper
ridging off the southeast/Mid-Atlantic coast. Warm air aloft
will support mostly rain across these areas with temperatures
below freezing as the wedge holds in tough overnight. Ice
accumulations of 1/2 to 1 inch appear likely and possibly more
east of the Blue Ridge where current plans are to go with a
Winter Storm Warning and a Winter Weather Advisory to the west.
More on that later this afternoon, but a serious icing event
looks probable for areas like Danville, Lynchburg, South Boston,
and other cities in this general area. Stay tuned for updates
forthcoming this afternoon.

Not surprised.  Prime location with continue low DP air filtering down from NVA.  

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Just now, HoosTC said:

NWS RNK AFD at 11:30


With regard to tonight, significant icing is expected as the
baroclinic zone lifts a bit northwest in response to upper
ridging off the southeast/Mid-Atlantic coast. Warm air aloft
will support mostly rain across these areas with temperatures
below freezing as the wedge holds in tough overnight. Ice
accumulations of 1/2 to 1 inch appear likely and possibly more
east of the Blue Ridge where current plans are to go with a
Winter Storm Warning and a Winter Weather Advisory to the west.
More on that later this afternoon, but a serious icing event
looks probable for areas like Danville, Lynchburg, South Boston,
and other cities in this general area. Stay tuned for updates
forthcoming this afternoon.

Oh wow. That's what I was wondering. It's about to get real...

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7 minutes ago, magpiemaniac said:

Some tv mets seem to be walking back their “no or little ice accumulation expected” forecasts.  No accumulation has become glaze possible.  Glaze possible has become up to 0.10”.  Up to 0.10” has become up to 0.20”.

over 0.20" starts to become the flicky flicker

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I suspect we'll see ISW's going up over the next few hours.  I guess RAH could make an argument for staying at an advisory, but that seems a bit of a stretch.  Every model I've seen on the 12z or later runs are showing warning criteria zr in the triad.  For fun, check out the new Euro at 144........ let the trend begin.  

TW

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