dendrite Posted February 9, 2021 Share Posted February 9, 2021 Yeah maybe a little fluff up here despite low QPF. Probably more likely AFN-MHT though. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The 4 Seasons Posted February 9, 2021 Share Posted February 9, 2021 4 minutes ago, HoarfrostHubb said: ICON is jucier ? its still on 18Z everywhere i can view it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The 4 Seasons Posted February 9, 2021 Share Posted February 9, 2021 Lift in the dgz looks terrible on most models here in CT. Still think northern CT will get a fresh few inches but i think were gonna adjust slightly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted February 9, 2021 Author Share Posted February 9, 2021 4 minutes ago, The 4 Seasons said: ? its still on 18Z everywhere i can view it Bad eyes on my part I will delete my post 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted February 9, 2021 Share Posted February 9, 2021 on the radar this looks like 2 distinct pieces. the northern one seems pointed at CNE and lower NNE. the southern one seems pointed at the northern midatlantic and SNE. How does this all come together? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted February 9, 2021 Share Posted February 9, 2021 50 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: Best cross hair sig seems to be up near rt 2 and the NH border...even though they aren’t the QPF Max. Could be a secondary little stripe up there if there is a little band since they might get very good ratios. Thats assuming the soundings are accurate which is a big assumption. 14/4 here currently so if we can get some decent deform should be fluffy fluffington as long as rates are good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxsniss Posted February 9, 2021 Share Posted February 9, 2021 3 hours ago, DotRat_Wx said: Surprised every one is so quiet on this one? Night before a half foot and barely any posts. Super Bowl hangover? Brady destroying doubters + beautiful fresh snowfall + multiple snow threats ahead = It's a Feb 94 pattern. Between heavy work and new baby, struggling to make time to track the train of events... a legit KU would do it. NAM has been good recently. I like 2-5" for most of SNE, highest amounts along and just north of route 2. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted February 9, 2021 Share Posted February 9, 2021 Someone should start an obs thread 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The 4 Seasons Posted February 9, 2021 Share Posted February 9, 2021 5 minutes ago, Bostonseminole said: Someone should start an obs thread someone should, unlike the last threat, i dont like this one. not it. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted February 9, 2021 Share Posted February 9, 2021 Looks good here, 3-6" 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The 4 Seasons Posted February 9, 2021 Share Posted February 9, 2021 RGEM wont budge still in the coldest solutions camp pretty much all snow for CT. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The 4 Seasons Posted February 9, 2021 Share Posted February 9, 2021 1 minute ago, Dr. Dews said: Looks good here, 3-6" Who are you and what have you done with Dr. Dews. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Valley Snowman Posted February 9, 2021 Share Posted February 9, 2021 6 minutes ago, The 4 Seasons said: someone should, unlike the last threat, i dont like this one. not it. I fell good here 2 miles from the MA border on this one. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The 4 Seasons Posted February 9, 2021 Share Posted February 9, 2021 Just now, CT Valley Snowman said: I fell good here 2 miles from the MA border on this one. certainly. a solid 3-4 id be expecting up there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted February 9, 2021 Share Posted February 9, 2021 16 minutes ago, Bostonseminole said: Someone should start an obs thread 7.8°F Clear Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The 4 Seasons Posted February 9, 2021 Share Posted February 9, 2021 2 minutes ago, dendrite said: 7.8°F Clear Down to 10F now. There difference between here and HVN is astounding right now. almost 20F difference in a few miles from the shoreline Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IowaStorm05 Posted February 9, 2021 Share Posted February 9, 2021 Just now, The 4 Seasons said: Down to 10F now. There difference between here and HVN is astounding right now. almost 20F difference in a few miles from the shoreline Uh huh. That’s right. That warm air is right there waiting to come in. Like when I was in my early 20s and I saw the hundreds of roaches lined up under the seam of my mattress, waiting for me to just turn out the lights 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted February 9, 2021 Share Posted February 9, 2021 9 minutes ago, The 4 Seasons said: Who are you and what have you done with Dr. Dews. big snow pack sets up flooding concerns, and that is exciting. Let's hope for the deepest pack possible and then a giant thaw/cutter 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted February 9, 2021 Share Posted February 9, 2021 4 to 6 seems good around here... Got the next 4 nights off to enjoy it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxsniss Posted February 9, 2021 Share Posted February 9, 2021 32 minutes ago, wxsniss said: NAM has been good recently. I like 2-5" for most of SNE, highest amounts along and just north of route 2. After actually looking at 18z GFS, 0z HREF, 12z EC... 2-5 is too low. I'd go 3-6 for most of SNE. Heaviest axis again north of route 2. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted February 9, 2021 Share Posted February 9, 2021 3-6” SNE and 2-4” NNE. Little refresh event in an active pattern. Another day of watching flakes fall. Crazy that there’s a shortwave every 48 hours it seems. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 9, 2021 Share Posted February 9, 2021 GFS has an excellent cross-hair sig for far N CT and the pike region. A little different than the NAM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted February 9, 2021 Share Posted February 9, 2021 7 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: GFS has an excellent cross-hair sig for far N CT and the pike region. A little different than the NAM. Just was looking at that. Certainly a different kind of look than the NAM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheSnowman Posted February 9, 2021 Share Posted February 9, 2021 Why is this thread so Dead? Showing a 2-5 storm, and no one is throwing around maps? 1 page an hour?? Come ON Guys! Let's Get Excited! What model is giving me 4"+!? 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DavisStraight Posted February 9, 2021 Share Posted February 9, 2021 4 minutes ago, TheSnowman said: Why is this thread so Dead? Showing a 2-5 storm, and no one is throwing around maps? 1 page an hour?? Come ON Guys! Let's Get Excited! What model is giving me 4"+!? I think your in a good spot, look at the GFS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IowaStorm05 Posted February 9, 2021 Share Posted February 9, 2021 GFS lookin good for most Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The 4 Seasons Posted February 9, 2021 Share Posted February 9, 2021 Final call. Cut down amounts by about an inch and moved the line up slightly north. Snow growth looks pretty terrible in southern CT, may change over to fzdz for a while. Best lift looks to along the northern 4 counties. They're looking good for another solid plowable 3-4" at least. Think this will play out similar to Jan 26-27 (first part). One thing we have going down near the coast is very cold sfc temperatures and plenty of cold at the start should allow everything to stick that does fall thus not looking at white rain scenario this time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Spaizzo Posted February 9, 2021 Share Posted February 9, 2021 6 minutes ago, The 4 Seasons said: Final call. Cut down amounts by about an inch and moved the line up slightly north. Snow growth looks pretty terrible in southern CT, may change over to fzdz for a while. Best lift looks to along the northern 4 counties. They're looking good for another solid plowable 3-4" at least. Think this will play out similar to Jan 26-27 (first part). One thing we have going down near the coast is very cold sfc temperatures and plenty of cold at the start should allow everything to stick that does fall thus not looking at white rain scenario this time. And to think I started liking you jk... was hoping for more! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The 4 Seasons Posted February 9, 2021 Share Posted February 9, 2021 Just now, Spaizzo said: And to think I started liking you jk... was hoping for more! 2 feet by Feb 8th with another 2 or so on the way isnt enough lol Derbys going to be cutting it close...confidence is obviously much higher near say Hfd/Tolland and even extreme south like GON..theres likely going to be a sharp cut off i feel somewhere in the lower 1/3rd of CT. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted February 9, 2021 Share Posted February 9, 2021 30 minutes ago, The 4 Seasons said: 2 feet by Feb 8th with another 2 or so on the way isnt enough lol Derbys going to be cutting it close...confidence is obviously much higher near say Hfd/Tolland and even extreme south like GON..theres likely going to be a sharp cut off i feel somewhere in the lower 1/3rd of CT. So you feel better about Groton than you do Derby? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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