JC-CT Posted February 6, 2021 Share Posted February 6, 2021 Not a good nam run though. Ooph Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The 4 Seasons Posted February 6, 2021 Author Share Posted February 6, 2021 12K and 3K backed wayyy off. Seems the SLP isnt nearly as strong, almost 6-8mb weaker on the 3K in response to the H5 SW flattening out a bit compared to previous runs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The 4 Seasons Posted February 6, 2021 Author Share Posted February 6, 2021 Watches/warnings will be up statewide. BOX expanded across the region and went with warnings for SE MA. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The 4 Seasons Posted February 6, 2021 Author Share Posted February 6, 2021 Icon holding steady, if anything bumped NW at 6Z. And the crazy RPM not backing down. Still feel strongly about a widespread warning event across SNE. Expect those NAM runs to be a hard over-correction and come back at 12/18 today. The HREF distribution seems reasonable to me atm. 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The 4 Seasons Posted February 6, 2021 Author Share Posted February 6, 2021 RGEM with a solid bump NW and GFS ticks SE. Doesn't seem to be any real trend amongst models. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ScottieBird Posted February 6, 2021 Share Posted February 6, 2021 6 minutes ago, The 4 Seasons said: RGEM with a solid bump NW and GFS ticks SE. Doesn't seem to be any real trend amongst models. As usual great, late night updates. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 6, 2021 Share Posted February 6, 2021 Looks like this: 00z: All models SE except Euro which tickled NW 06z: GFS/NAM SE again, but ICON/RGEM bump back NW Hopefully we get another bump NW on the 06z euro. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The 4 Seasons Posted February 6, 2021 Author Share Posted February 6, 2021 6z GEM also came back NW/stronger. Wish the GFS16 didn't go down again but what can ya do Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 6, 2021 Share Posted February 6, 2021 Flow is so fast. Probably will get a bump NW before the inevitable messenger shuffle. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The 4 Seasons Posted February 6, 2021 Author Share Posted February 6, 2021 Last RPM Run for @weathafella 1 1 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 6, 2021 Share Posted February 6, 2021 Sticking with 4 to 8 here 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The 4 Seasons Posted February 6, 2021 Author Share Posted February 6, 2021 HRDPS also NW, no surprise Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 6, 2021 Share Posted February 6, 2021 Euro Kuchie seems accurate given the column and lift 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tavwtby Posted February 6, 2021 Share Posted February 6, 2021 initial 3-6 here seems like a safe bet...model waiver has me skeptical though Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 6, 2021 Share Posted February 6, 2021 31 minutes ago, The 4 Seasons said: Last RPM Run for @weathafella That’s probably close 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthCoastMA Posted February 6, 2021 Share Posted February 6, 2021 13 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: That’s probably close Pretty close. Maybe shift 50 miles SE Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kdxken Posted February 6, 2021 Share Posted February 6, 2021 1 hour ago, ORH_wxman said: Looks like this: 00z: All models SE except Euro which tickled NW 06z: GFS/NAM SE again, but ICON/RGEM bump back NW Hopefully we get another bump NW on the 06z euro. Clear as mud. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 6, 2021 Share Posted February 6, 2021 14 minutes ago, SouthCoastMA said: Pretty close. Maybe shift 50 miles SE Agree over amped 2 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 6, 2021 Share Posted February 6, 2021 Good forecast by BOX 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NeonPeon Posted February 6, 2021 Share Posted February 6, 2021 3 hours ago, The 4 Seasons said: 12K and 3K backed wayyy off. Seems the SLP isnt nearly as strong, almost 6-8mb weaker on the 3K in response to the H5 SW flattening out a bit compared to previous runs. You mean they didn't depict a progressive system bombing out with huge wrap around moisture as it hurtled by at lightspeed? I'm shocked. I hope they do it again though. It was silly and I like looking at the pretty colors. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 6, 2021 Share Posted February 6, 2021 6z euro SE too. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 6, 2021 Share Posted February 6, 2021 6Z Euro Congrats Jimmy and the whole SE crew 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted February 6, 2021 Share Posted February 6, 2021 I’m intrigued by the curl up by the RGEM. Seems to be driven by the intensity of the s/w. Euro is in that camp with intensity. Sort of leaning in that direction with it being more intense. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted February 6, 2021 Share Posted February 6, 2021 1 minute ago, CoastalWx said: 6z euro SE too. 6 more hours and I think we'll have things figured out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted February 6, 2021 Share Posted February 6, 2021 Just now, Ginx snewx said: 6Z Euro Congrats Jimmy and the whole SE crew MVY jack--always a sad thing for most. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 6, 2021 Share Posted February 6, 2021 1 minute ago, Baroclinic Zone said: I’m intrigued by the curl up by the RGEM. Seems to be driven by the intensity of the s/w. Euro is in that camp with intensity. Sort of leaning in that direction with it being more intense. 6Z Euro qpf 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The 4 Seasons Posted February 6, 2021 Author Share Posted February 6, 2021 Its a tick SE but doesnt look like anything major. Hopefully just an off-hour blip. Would like to see some consensus with 12Z runs today. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoth Posted February 6, 2021 Share Posted February 6, 2021 Fast flow chaos. It's in, it's out, it's in, it's out! Still leaning towards a tucky outcome, but caution flags are up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted February 6, 2021 Share Posted February 6, 2021 4 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: 6Z Euro qpf Think it’s being a little lean but still good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 6, 2021 Share Posted February 6, 2021 3 minutes ago, Baroclinic Zone said: Think it’s being a little lean but still good. Agree. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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