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Feb 10th-11th Potent front/system


Brian D
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potential woof. This is the time period to watch as the motherlode of vodka cold  seeps south and that moisture feed overuns. Put a solid wave on that and you've really got our first true central midwest blizzard in a few years. Perhaps since the post Thanksgiving blow in 2018. Make it happen.

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1 hour ago, Indystorm said:

According to the Sat. 12Z GFS the Ozarks catch a foot from this one, but a ne flow off Lake MI gives some interesting prospects for Chicago.  Plenty of room to change between now and then.

GFS is all over the place with this storm. Wouldn't trust it for now. Every run is drastically different. 

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Those of us lake-side in WI/IL could finally have a more legit lake enhancement setup w/ this one. Decent agreement on that on 00Z guidance. Seeing the SE ridge perk up in the extended with a vortex from Canada into the West/Plains at times and Pacific energy undercutting it - would be a waste of a pattern if we don't get a bigger storm at some point

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3 hours ago, purduewx80 said:

Those of us lake-side in WI/IL could finally have a more legit lake enhancement setup w/ this one. Decent agreement on that on 00Z guidance. Seeing the SE ridge perk up in the extended with a vortex from Canada into the West/Plains at times and Pacific energy undercutting it - would be a waste of a pattern if we don't get a bigger storm at some point

this X 1000. I ,for one, would blame the "lock"avatar. 

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8 hours ago, purduewx80 said:

Those of us lake-side in WI/IL could finally have a more legit lake enhancement setup w/ this one.

Agree.  Starting out as enhancement before transitioning to pure lake effect.  850s are cold, but not extreme cold to where there would be no dgz to work with.  They are sort of in the sweet spot and I would expect some nice overlap of omega in the dgz.  Certainly looks like a setup capable of producing several inches on the western shore from the combination of whatever system snow occurs + lake effect.

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1 minute ago, Hoosier said:

Agree.  Starting out as enhancement before transitioning to pure lake effect.  850s are cold, but not extreme cold to where there would be no dgz to work with.  They are sort of in the sweet spot and I would expect some nice overlap of omega in the dgz.  Certainly looks like a setup capable of producing several inches on the western shore from the combination of whatever system snow occurs + lake effect.

Hopefully the lake doesn’t freeze before then :shiver:

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