Jump to content
  • Member Statistics

    17,502
    Total Members
    7,904
    Most Online
    Weathernoob335
    Newest Member
    Weathernoob335
    Joined

Major LES Events- Feb 5-?


Recommended Posts

Just now, lakeeffectkid383 said:

No, winds are still ripping. Port Colborne just had a gust to 59mph in the last few minutes. BUF still gusting to 40. Probably close to 50 on the lake front. 

Nope its dry air. Winds don't cause bands to completely go away, they cause multi banding structure and cellular cells to take place. Dry air causes the band to entirely disappear.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

3 minutes ago, lakeeffectkid383 said:

It looks like what popping back up again over the middle of the lake is going to be 2 bands again. This event blows (literally haha). 

As a Northern Erie County Resident you should love the double band.  It's your best shot in these close scenarios. 

  • Like 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

9 minutes ago, BuffaloWeather said:

Nope its dry air. Winds don't cause bands to completely go away, they cause multi banding structure and cellular cells to take place. Dry air causes the band to entirely disappear.

You are right looking at lower level WV there was a small pocket of dry air that just moved overhead. Looks like it’s moving off to our east now so hopefully things will come back soon. However if these winds don’t calm down this new band(s) is going to be just as disorganized as the first. 40-60mph will shred that thing to pieces. 

  • Like 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

1 minute ago, DeltaT13 said:

As a Northern Erie County Resident you should love the double band.  It's your best shot in these close scenarios. 

Sometimes we do okay on the single intense bands that oscillate (like the day after Xmas event this season). Band is focused on the southtowns but temporarily lifts north into the Northtowns and even Niagara County for a bit before dropping slowly back south and we get to see it a few times. I got a foot with that event.  I’m not sure we will even see half that with this event. One thing for sure is even without snow falling there is very low visibility at times driving around with those winds. 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Total bust here. Impossible to measure what fell, but if it’s an inch I would be surprised. It’s hard to believe that there have ever been any events where the part of the metro north of the Thruway got jackpotted. What used to be a rare event is now a near impossibility. Variables have to line up perfectly for the northern part of the metro to get buried, and any inconsistency between weather models means that those variables aren’t going to work out. It’s frustrating, because Watertown is on an almost identical heading off Ontario as North Buffalo/Ken-Ton/Snyder/Amherst is off Erie, yet the same conditions that have bulls-eyed Watertown give the shaft to the northern third of Erie County.

We’re at the point now there the best that downtown and north can hope for is that a backing flow sends a transient band overhead for a couple of hours. At best, the sloppy seconds from the southtowns will put down a few inches on the way up and on the way back down. Over the last 5-10 years, the very best lake events for us are ones where the band firehoses for half a day, passing though a few times before stabilizing in OP or Hamburg or more often even further south in ski country and putting down the real snow. The closest thing to a northern Erie storm since 2006 are the occasional events where the backing flow stops in a heading from South Buffalo to the airport, and puts down 15-18 inches  before sinking down to Springville or Chautauqua County to drop 30-40 inches.

  • Sad 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

5 minutes ago, lakeeffectkid383 said:

Yeah eyeballing looks like about 3-4” total here. Not impressed at all. Honestly Batavia looks to be in the best spot as that’s where the two bands are converging.

The southern band does appear to be shifting north. This could get pretty interesting around 9am or so

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Create an account or sign in to comment

You need to be a member in order to leave a comment

Create an account

Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!

Register a new account

Sign in

Already have an account? Sign in here.

Sign In Now
 Share

  • Recently Browsing   0 members

    • No registered users viewing this page.
×
×
  • Create New...