GrandmasterB Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 1 minute ago, Bubbler86 said: I was speaking in terms of heavy snow. It generally leaves the LSV with 4-8 from the Coastal and 3-5" tonight at 10-1 ratios. Still a good snow. Sorry the closest 7” I see on the Euro Kuchera is Buffalo or Cape May. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 The low on the 12z Euro stalls out tomorrow afternoon off of the south NJ coast and stays there until 4 am Tuesday and then drifts South Tuesday am! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 Just now, GrandmasterB said: Sorry the closest 7” I see on the Euro Kuchera is Buffalo or Cape May. Its fairly warm to be going with Kuchera right now. Euro leaves a few parts of the LSV with 6-8" total from here on out 10-1. Like I said a good snow. Not approaching 2 feet like a few runs ago. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 I'll take my 18" from the EURO so consistent it may fail as any model but it only had one off run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 4 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: I was speaking in terms of heavy snow. It generally leaves the LSV with 4-8 from the Coastal and 3-5" tonight at 10-1 ratios. Still a good snow. This won’t be 10-1 once the coastal takes over and stalls out Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cashtown_Coop Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 Just now, Blizzard of 93 said: The low on the 12z Euro stalls out tomorrow afternoon off of the south NJ coast and stays there until 4 am Tuesday and then drifts South Tuesday am! if nothing else it will crank up the winds and add some blowing and drifting snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Atomixwx Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 2 minutes ago, Cashtown_Coop said: new jackjot showed up in Fulton County. Thats something new. If that is from the ccb that could easily adjust to the east. Shame nobody lives there... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 Just now, Blizzard of 93 said: This won’t be 10-1 once the coastal takes over and stalls out Sigh 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 5 minutes ago, Superstorm said: I thought Euro looked good too. . If this goes down the way the Euro just depicted, I would be thrilled! 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 Just now, Bubbler86 said: Its fairly warm to be going with Kuchera right now. Euro leaves a few parts of the LSV with 6-8" total from here on out 10-1. Like I said a good snow. Not approaching 2 feet like a few runs ago. Look at the map that I just posted! Here it is AGAIN! It shows consistent amounts over 16 inches from Johnstown to Philly! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 Euro looks great. Those insane model runs ruined a bunch of expectations lol. A 8”+ storm is excellent. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 Just now, canderson said: Euro looks great. Those insane model runs ruined a bunch of expectations lol. A 8”+ storm is excellent. Please see the map above... If MDT gets 19 inches, that is a top 10 storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Atomixwx Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 I swear to Christ, the time leading up to a snow is the most stressful... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 @MAG5035 Please let us you your thoughts on ratios once the coastal gets going? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 Just now, Blizzard of 93 said: Look at the map that I just posted! Here it is AGAIN! It shows consistent amounts over 16 inches from Johnstown to Philly! But that is the Kuchera. Panels 30, 36 and 42 show it is the upper 20's and low 30's in the LSV including some mixing on the 30 panel if I remember correctly. So I saw anywhere from .7" to 1.3" qpf for different parts of the LSV which is the reasoning behind my saying it showed 8-12" for the rest of the storm starting now. If someone got 14" then great. Like I said it was a good snow. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Voyager Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 1 minute ago, Atomixwx said: I swear to Christ, the time leading up to a snow is the most stressful... I beg to differ. It's when you see the dry slot barrelling up the I-81 corridor out of VA and MD...lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Atomixwx Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 Just now, Voyager said: I beg to differ. It's when you see the dry slot barrelling up the I-81 corridor out of VA and MD...lol You're used to that. Both things. The dry slot and barrelling up 81. This should be second nature by now. Stop acting like such an amateur hahaha 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GrandmasterB Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 4 minutes ago, Atomixwx said: I swear to Christ, the time leading up to a snow is the most stressful... Snow is serious business! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 2 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: But that is the Kuchera. Panels 30, 36 and 42 show it is the upper 20's and low 30's in the LSV including some mixing on the 30 panel if I remember correctly. So I saw anywhere from .7" to 1.3" qpf for different parts of the LSV which is the reasoning behind my saying it showed 8-12" for the rest of the storm starting now. If someone got 14" then great. Like I said it was a good snow. This is all sound analysis and reasoning. I know this is location sensitive, but some of us will lose QPF to sleet and freezing rain as well. Not all of the precip depicted is snow down here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cashtown_Coop Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 Just now, GrandmasterB said: Snow is serious business! was thinking the same thing lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 Then again, a further SE track might imply less mixing for me... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cashtown_Coop Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 closing in on 3" with the best rates so far 27 bubbler you should getting mod snow 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wmsptwx Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 Lol if we can get region wide 5 plus event this thing was a success. Poconos and north Jersey will jackpot as usual with these things, but if you watch jackpot you won’t enjoy snow falling in your backyard. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 All I know it is snowing right, will snow for the next 48 hours or maybe less than that, and the EURO hasn't changed. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rd9108 Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 Idk about you guys out east but I considered a 6-12 type storm pretty good. I get everybody wants that 12+ but they are harder to come by. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
2001kx Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 1.3" Here so far with light snow.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 Someone will get crushed if this low stalls out like the Euro shows. Steady snow still ongoing at 10 am Tuesday in The LSV. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wmsptwx Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 Just now, 2001kx said: 1.3" Here so far with light snow.. I think we see nice 5 to 9 out of this thing yet, especially with parent low being healthy still. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
2001kx Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 Im rooting for the GEM unfortunately. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wmsptwx Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 Just now, Blizzard of 93 said: Someone will get crushed if this low stalls out like the Euro shows. That low is wayyy more tucked than I thought looking at qpf distribution. If that comes to fruition well inland is still in game for big totals. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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