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January 30-February 1 Winter Storm Part 2


Hoosier
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14 minutes ago, tim123 said:

So lake enhanced is more than predicted? I am rochester ny was wondering if it was cold enough for that. Hrrr showed it but I didn't believe it.

It comes down to magnitude.  Lake enhancement has been in play for this setup from the beginning, but the HRRR was overdoing it.

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3 hours ago, MIstorm97 said:

Picked up 1.3” on the board before snow shut off. Should be it for a while. May get some minor accumulations tomorrow from the storm as the northern edge of snow wraps back in. As expected, dry air won out here. 

About 1.75” here in Shelby. 

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PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHICAGO IL
1115 AM CST SUN JAN 31 2021

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1105 AM     HEAVY SNOW       PEOTONE                 41.33N 87.79W
01/31/2021  M11.2 INCH       WILL               IL   CO-OP OBSERVER

            UPDATE ON TOTAL SNOWFALL.

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26 minutes ago, dmc76 said:

1-4” all the way to above average snowfall this season 

Posted something very similar in the January thread lol got 22.5” on the season from 1-3.5” events. 
 

27 minutes ago, michsnowfreak said:

It better!!!! one probably will. 

Hoping the next one works out more favorably haha. This one has had some decent blowing snow at times this morning. Just missing the big dog totals

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Just some mood flakes from the Lake where I am (30 miles from Lake Michigan in N IL) and my parents who live near O'Hare said its snowing pretty good there.

In all, most of the forecast turned out to be pretty on the mark.

Also looks like the chance of a big rainer for N IL later this week has gone down a bit (know that is another thread!). After the snow that is on the ground now, a rainstorm would not be good.

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Goes to show we really don’t understand all of the aspects of lake enhancement. LOT emphasized repeatedly on their Q&A yesterday that since this was a “warm storm” from the Pacific they didn’t expect any enhancement from the lake. Yet yesterday’s runs of the HRRR will largely work out close to the lake. This storm was moisture-laiden, could that be playing a role in the lake enhancement? About 11” and counting here.

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