Dsty2001 Posted February 10, 2021 Share Posted February 10, 2021 I'm guessing a lot of ice? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Icy Hot Posted February 10, 2021 Share Posted February 10, 2021 Wow look at that convection from the GOM feeding into NC. What a frozen tundra that would be! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stovepipe Posted February 10, 2021 Share Posted February 10, 2021 I'll gladly take my cold shower while y'all go ice skating. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Daniel Boone Posted February 10, 2021 Share Posted February 10, 2021 1 hour ago, Holston_River_Rambler said: and that's exactly where it runs the LP: The old killer, "Tn Valley effect". as dubbed years ago . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Icy Hot Posted February 10, 2021 Share Posted February 10, 2021 1 hour ago, Daniel Boone said: The old killer, "Tn Valley effect". as dubbed years ago . Could the warm nose really reach all the way into OHIO? Seems overdone. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AMZ8990 Posted February 10, 2021 Share Posted February 10, 2021 Wind chill values may drop into the single digits along and north of I-40 Friday morning and across much of the Mid-South Saturday and Sunday mornings. Below zero wind chills are possible across northern areas of the Mid-South Sunday morning. Snow will be possible by early next week with accumulations possible. NWS Memphis already mentioning the Sunday thru Tuesday possible system in their hazardous weather outlook. They’re usually pretty bullish on these things so it’s somewhat note worth that they mention it. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
John1122 Posted February 10, 2021 Author Share Posted February 10, 2021 7 minutes ago, AMZ8990 said: Wind chill values may drop into the single digits along and north of I-40 Friday morning and across much of the Mid-South Saturday and Sunday mornings. Below zero wind chills are possible across northern areas of the Mid-South Sunday morning. Snow will be possible by early next week with accumulations possible. NWS Memphis already mentioning the Sunday thru Tuesday possible system in their hazardous weather outlook. They’re usually pretty bullish on these things so it’s somewhat note worth that they mention it. I think you guys may have a week of winter weather you talking about for years after this. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
John1122 Posted February 10, 2021 Author Share Posted February 10, 2021 Not sure where it will lead but the GFS is colder to the spine of the Apps this run. 9 degrees colder in Knoxville. Monster winter storm in the western areas still locked in place. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
John1122 Posted February 10, 2021 Author Share Posted February 10, 2021 Still trying to cut on the GFS but a little further east. Probably 3 inches of sleet in Nashville on this run. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
John1122 Posted February 10, 2021 Author Share Posted February 10, 2021 Low went to Tri Cities and then transferred or redeveloped south around Asheville. Trend east is better. Wonky Tri to Asheville development unlikely imo. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
John1122 Posted February 10, 2021 Author Share Posted February 10, 2021 Probably the most unrealistic portion of that GFS run is extremely frigid air to the N and W of the low that somehow doesn't get pulled into our area when the low is E and NE of us. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AMZ8990 Posted February 10, 2021 Share Posted February 10, 2021 9 minutes ago, John1122 said: I think you guys may have a week of winter weather you talking about for years after this. I hope so! Would be a once every 30 year type storm if it verifies. GFS 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
John1122 Posted February 10, 2021 Author Share Posted February 10, 2021 4 minutes ago, AMZ8990 said: I hope so! Would be a once every 30 year type storm if it verifies. GFS It won't just be the storm either. It will be the cold before, during and after. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wurbus Posted February 10, 2021 Share Posted February 10, 2021 There is a 2nd storm nailing Memphis with snow late next weekend as well. Memphis is going to look like the North Pole if those verify. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mrwolf1972 Posted February 10, 2021 Share Posted February 10, 2021 V16 still gives valley ice 16th 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
John1122 Posted February 10, 2021 Author Share Posted February 10, 2021 The V16 takes the low road and scoots the low off the coast of South Carolina, which means more winter state wide with a good thump of snow west of the Plateau. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
John1122 Posted February 10, 2021 Author Share Posted February 10, 2021 West Tennessee has 12-16 inches of snow plus ice, sleet and Arctic air next week. Basically a repeat of February 2015 that happened in the East. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AMZ8990 Posted February 10, 2021 Share Posted February 10, 2021 22 minutes ago, John1122 said: It won't just be the storm either. It will be the cold before, during and after. Most definitely. Those are some down right frigid temps being depicted 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
John1122 Posted February 10, 2021 Author Share Posted February 10, 2021 The GFS is insane. It just never stops snowing and icing. There's also non accounted for sleet in here too. Epic sleet in some areas. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wintersnow888 Posted February 10, 2021 Share Posted February 10, 2021 Don't know if it means anything, but the TWC forecast for here nw of Crossville, close to Monterey, is 1-3 inches of snow for Monday and 3-5 inches for Monday night. I only mention it because they were closer to right on the last storm than NWS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wintersnow888 Posted February 10, 2021 Share Posted February 10, 2021 Kinda hoping.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dwagner88 Posted February 10, 2021 Share Posted February 10, 2021 I can’t recall ever seeing such a sustained temperature gradient as seen on the 18Z GFS. Comparing CHA to BNA over the next 10 days looks more like a comparison between CHA to CHI in January. We barely even get below freezing, they essentially stay below for 10 days straight with what appears to be 1.50” of ZR and barely any snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wintersnow888 Posted February 11, 2021 Share Posted February 11, 2021 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Icy Hot Posted February 11, 2021 Share Posted February 11, 2021 35 minutes ago, Wintersnow888 said: What's the location? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Shocker0 Posted February 11, 2021 Share Posted February 11, 2021 24 minutes ago, Icy Hot said: What's the location? Wintersnow888 is between Crossville/Monterey like me. Looks like it'll be on the eastern edge of the front currently 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stovepipe Posted February 11, 2021 Share Posted February 11, 2021 That GFS looks DGEX level crazy. I'm gonna be over here eating popcorn watching all this unfold. Stay warm west and middle friends and don't break a hip! 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
John1122 Posted February 11, 2021 Author Share Posted February 11, 2021 The absolute blowtorch warmnose on the east side of the state whenever any kind of low starts to form anywhere in the west is impressive. This may be close to the set up from the massive 1951 multi day ice storm in Nashville. That was 62 in tri cities and teens in Nashville. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
John1122 Posted February 11, 2021 Author Share Posted February 11, 2021 The sleet storm is just incredible on the GFS. Middle Tennessee and Kentucky would get several inches of it. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
John1122 Posted February 11, 2021 Author Share Posted February 11, 2021 I stayed freezing rain the entire time that run for the Monday Tuesday storm. About .8 freezing rain from it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
John1122 Posted February 11, 2021 Author Share Posted February 11, 2021 Brutal. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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