• Member Statistics

    16,609
    Total Members
    7,904
    Most Online
    BlueValleyHVAC
    Newest Member
    BlueValleyHVAC
    Joined
CntrTim85

January 28th Snow Threat

Recommended Posts

3 minutes ago, wake4est said:

Hard to beat the 3k NAM for thermal profiles.

Run was a kick in the groin Raleigh-south and west. NEVER bet against 3k NAM for thermal profiles, but low placement and precip axis may be off. 

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Decided to throw together a call map. One of the toughest areas to nail down is basically I-40 in Orange through Wake County and points southwest since sleet may cut into totals and even a slightly delayed transition can really make a difference. Here’s hoping for the best!

forecast_map_20210128_storm5.thumb.png.75b4a4ebf70c20d6f8800a2586df1787.png

  • Thanks 1

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
1 hour ago, frazdaddy said:

Miss that guy, he was funny.

Not really

  • Haha 2
  • Weenie 1

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
7 minutes ago, NorthHillsWx said:

Run was a kick in the groin Raleigh-south and west. NEVER bet against 3k NAM for thermal profiles, but low placement and precip axis may be off. 

And to be honest, my concern all day has been for Durham and Wake S of 40. 

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
31 minutes ago, NorthHillsWx said:

That should give anyone triangle-west pause. Very believable in these setups too 

I mean that should already be the case. The NAM has basically shown every scenario possible in the last 24 hours. I’m sure one of them will be right and people will point to it and talk about how well the NAM but it’s been a total joke with this storm.

  • Like 1
  • Haha 1

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
Just now, Dunkman said:

I mean that should already be the case. The NAM has basically shown every scenario possible in the last 24 hours. I’m sure one of them will be right and people will point to it and talk about how well the NAM but it’s been a total joke with this storm.

I agree. Last one to jump on board and then seems to be having second thoughts. I'll take the consistency and consensus of all the other models.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

I got some grief for starting this thread but since I did, everything has turned snowier! Looks like  I picked a great time for my first thread after lurking for many many years. Hoping for 4" here in Chesapeake!! You're all welcome! 

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
12 minutes ago, BornAgain13 said:

BTW , who's gonna stay up tonight and probably not sleep much for watching the storm!:snowing:

What is sleep when it’s snowing in the south? 

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
13 minutes ago, BornAgain13 said:

BTW , who's gonna stay up tonight and probably not sleep much for watching the storm!:snowing:

I will probably sleep through my .3 inches, but I hope that you guys get smoked. It definitely looks good for you and Northern Wake upwards. 

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
Just now, CntrTim85 said:

I got some grief for starting this thread but since I did, everything has turned snowier! Looks like  I picked a great time for my first thread after lurking for many many years. Hoping for 4" here in Chesapeake!! You're all welcome! 

This post is a candidate for jinx of the decade 

  • Like 4
  • Haha 4

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
Just now, NorthHillsWx said:

This post is a candidate for jinx of the decade 

You can thank me for the snow later! 

  • Confused 1

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
Just now, CntrTim85 said:

I got some grief for starting this thread but since I did, everything has turned snowier! Looks like  I picked a great time for my first thread after lurking for many many years. Hoping for 4" here in Chesapeake!! You're all welcome! 

I will admit....it took some cahunas to start the thread on this storm.  I started one a few years back about 5 days out and was literally wished death upon by a former poster.  Fortunately, it was a much better setup for a storm and ended up dumping 6-8 inches on a big portion of the state, so I lived to post another day.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
1 minute ago, NorthHillsWx said:

This post is a candidate for jinx of the decade 

OMG yes.  @CntrTim85 ....buddy, you clearly dont understand that the jinx isnt based on models, its based on performance.  And after that last 3K NAM run, I'm even more convinced that the only people waking up tomorrow to snow live in a small strip from Rocky Mount to South Hill, and maybe northeast a bit from there!

The jinx will live large with you my snow jedi.

  • Like 2
  • Haha 1

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
1 minute ago, kvegas-wx said:

OMG yes.  @CntrTim85 ....buddy, you clearly dont understand that the jinx isnt based on models, its based on performance.  And after that last 3K NAM run, I'm even more convinced that the only people waking up tomorrow to snow live in a small strip from Rocky Mount to South Hill, and maybe northeast a bit from there!

The jinx will live large with you my snow jedi.

lol people actually get this upset over weather? 

  • Weenie 1

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
1 minute ago, CntrTim85 said:

lol people actually get this upset over weather? 

Not me....but you have no idea.  I'm not entirely sure, but we may have witnessed a few capital crimes on this board over the years.

  • Like 2

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
6 minutes ago, CntrTim85 said:

lol people actually get this upset over weather? 

pffft.  This is kitten play. 

Mods usually do a pretty good job here though. "Storm mode" means a tighter reign too on extraneous posts, so no foolin' around during that period.

  • Thanks 1

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
3 minutes ago, CaryWx said:

pffft.  This is kitten play. 

Mods usually do a pretty good job here though. "Storm mode" means a tighter reign too on extraneous posts, so no foolin' around during that period.

Didn’t think we’d have anything that could possibly get us to storm mode a couple weeks ago

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Join the conversation

You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.

Guest
Reply to this topic...

×   Pasted as rich text.   Paste as plain text instead

  Only 75 emoji are allowed.

×   Your link has been automatically embedded.   Display as a link instead

×   Your previous content has been restored.   Clear editor

×   You cannot paste images directly. Upload or insert images from URL.

Loading...

  • Recently Browsing   0 members

    No registered users viewing this page.