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Watching closely .. February 1-3rd for moderate to major coastal event


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4 hours ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

I was fine with today's event...only had 3", while many had 5-6"....but I think alot of people would be irritated with 8", while 20 mi south had 20". And of those who deny it, 80% are lying.

Exactly!!! Years ago some of us were crucified for feeling that way. I just don't care as much anymore. So much can go wrong here.

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2 hours ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

Euro has that relative lull around Kev's area, as the N stream takes over....don't mind seeing it.

Monday-Tuesday...

The Pacific system arrives in the Eastern USA, generating a coastal
storm along the Carolina coast. GFS is faster, the ECMWF is slower.
Both bring plenty of precip to Srn New England, just a little
different on timing. As with the Sunday skies, and based on the
stronger amplitude aloft, we favored a stronger blend of the NBM
with slower guidance. Both camps of models bring roughly 1-2 inches
of water to the region, with snow over interior sections while the
coastal plain converts to rain Monday afternoon...then mixes with
snow Monday night and Tuesday. Interesting to see IVT guidance
clearly showing the moisture feeding in from an atmospheric river
from the southern Gulf of Mexico and waters east of Florida.
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1 hour ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

Yea. Grabbing 10+ works for me. 

So many changes to come, no one should be sweating anything yet. Hopefully TBlizz wakes up a little less worrisome this morning. Good times ahead.

Yes sir..I said this yesterday.  And As Ginxy said Slow mover and juicy is all we need to see at this point.  That precip distribution should smooth out too imo with moisture transport such as that too. 

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