Ralph Wiggum Posted January 26, 2021 Share Posted January 26, 2021 5 minutes ago, RedSky said: Once upon a time it was that solid, last couple years it flips like flapjacks at the local diner. However it's more solid when it has other models close to on board. What are your totals on the para and euro? I'm at work cant look. Ty Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted January 26, 2021 Share Posted January 26, 2021 Just now, Ralph Wiggum said: What are your totals on the para and euro? I'm at work cant look. Ty 6-7" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Newman Posted January 26, 2021 Share Posted January 26, 2021 Where you can get the overrunning plus the pivot will jackpot. The VA/DCA area got it on that Euro run. Typically, these like to move north. We will see.... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted January 26, 2021 Share Posted January 26, 2021 2 minutes ago, The Iceman said: Don't post this in the mid atlantic thread ...they've spiked the football and are doing a full team celebration in the end zone already I posted there earlier that earlier today it was like their football team was up by 21 pts at halftime vs Tom Brady. They kicked a fg and are up 24 with 12mins left in the 3rd now. But Brady is pissed and staring angrily on the other sideline. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted January 26, 2021 Share Posted January 26, 2021 Just now, RedSky said: 6-7" I wouldn't kick that outta bed Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted January 26, 2021 Share Posted January 26, 2021 1 minute ago, Newman said: Where you can get the overrunning plus the pivot will jackpot. The VA/DCA area got it on that Euro run. Typically, these like to move north. We will see.... Absolutely yes in these Archambault setups. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted January 26, 2021 Share Posted January 26, 2021 Can somebody blow the old GFS server to oblivion, that solution should not be allowed to proceed for the good of all 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted January 26, 2021 Share Posted January 26, 2021 Old GFS started the 12z suite with a running kick to the groin 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted January 26, 2021 Share Posted January 26, 2021 EPS went South. Oh well, stick a fork in it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Iceman Posted January 26, 2021 Share Posted January 26, 2021 Hell of a mean on the eps... Unbelievable signal at that range...however notice there is clearly a cluster that favors SNE. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted January 26, 2021 Share Posted January 26, 2021 Just now, Ralph Wiggum said: EPS went South. Oh well, stick a fork in it Aren't you funny 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Iceman Posted January 26, 2021 Share Posted January 26, 2021 4 minutes ago, Ralph Wiggum said: EPS went South. Oh well, stick a fork in it They've moved on to celebrating on the mid field logo down in the mid atlantic thread... Show some class! 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted January 26, 2021 Share Posted January 26, 2021 Just now, The Iceman said: They've moved on to celebrating on the mid field logo down in the mid atlantic thread... Have some class! The parade date is already set for Tuesday, and lucky they got the National Guard for snow cleanup duty 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WarrenCtyWx Posted January 26, 2021 Share Posted January 26, 2021 44 minutes ago, Ralph Wiggum said: I'm willing to bet that IF guidance is correct in weakening the block and drifting it away from the NAO region, these Southern hits will begin to shift N. This isn't like the past 2 weeks or so with the shred machine under the block. Like I said a few mins ago and as Iceman has noted, the GFS thump to rain idea is a very valid concern attm. Im less worried about a miss S than I am this tracking too far N or developing too close to the coast. I would NOT want to be in the bullseye at 6 days....period. I dont EVER recall a time (not that it hasn't happened) where a bullseye held up until storm time. Whatever happens will happen tho, I'm not losing sleep over it. I do like where we stand attm. I'm not certain, but didn't the bullseye of 2/6/10 hold from a week out until storm time? I'm not comparing that with this, I'm just curious. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted January 26, 2021 Share Posted January 26, 2021 23 minutes ago, WarrenCtyWx said: I'm not certain, but didn't the bullseye of 2/6/10 hold from a week out until storm time? I'm not comparing that with this, I'm just curious. I honestly don't remember. I can tell you it doesn't happen often tho. Jan 2016 might have. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lady Di Posted January 26, 2021 Share Posted January 26, 2021 While y'all are resting and it's quiet until the next run, I'm just dropping by with a little blessing: Be kind to us our Dear Mother Nature. We're holding onto to the ball. We trust our King Euro will say yes, yes, yes!!! May your curses all be lifted on those of us who may or may not have started a storm thread too early. We pray for your snow blessings upon us and our dear Groundhog. Thank you, alleluia, amen. Play ball! 5 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Birds~69 Posted January 26, 2021 Share Posted January 26, 2021 Cecily just did a live facebook...talked about Sunday into Monday. Thinking strong storm, snow possibly (slightly leaning) changing to mix/rain Monday but like all of us too early to say. And the possible mix/rain Monday is for Philly. Going on 52...damn. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Furrawn Posted January 26, 2021 Share Posted January 26, 2021 4 hours ago, The Iceman said: I'm 20 years into this hobby and still learning! If you ever have questions about any posts here, definitely feel free to ask. I'll be glad to explain the best I can. It's always good to see new "weenies" in the making Thank you!!! As I learn more, I’ll definitely have questions. Before, I didn’t even know where to begin. I always failed at learning on my own because I didn’t know the science. I still don’t, but I’m finally truly learning. In all honesty, if there’s a hint of snow in the forecast, I turn to this forum to find the real forecast. With this wave 3 hopeful storm, I’ve finally learned what a Miller B storm is... I hope this storm happens... It will be an entirely new experience to understand WHY it’s snowing. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Newman Posted January 26, 2021 Share Posted January 26, 2021 I'll take this GEFS mean for the meantime. We're 5 days out, this storm comes in at hr120 on the GFS. We'll see if it slows down in evolution at all. A slower solution would favor us. Would allow the backside vort coming down the spine of the western ridge to catch quicker, phase, and boom... 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Iceman Posted January 26, 2021 Share Posted January 26, 2021 40 minutes ago, Newman said: I'll take this GEFS mean for the meantime. We're 5 days out, this storm comes in at hr120 on the GFS. We'll see if it slows down in evolution at all. A slower solution would favor us. Would allow the backside vort coming down the spine of the western ridge to catch quicker, phase, and boom... Take a blend of the euro and gfs and we are in the jackpot. I don't think it shakes out like that, but I like where we stand at the moment. Not sold on the HECS yet but biggest snow of the season could certainly be in the cards. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 27, 2021 Share Posted January 27, 2021 I will be dropping by to perk this thread up with model runs. 18z eps 5 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 27, 2021 Share Posted January 27, 2021 Big shift to the euro here 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rockem_sockem_connection Posted January 27, 2021 Share Posted January 27, 2021 GFS is king. Euro has been garbage this year. As a result I already know most of the precipitation in the Philadelphia region will be rain and there's no chance for all snow. Not even a chance for mostly snow. Do not lose sleep over this storm, it won't be what you want it to be. Don't fall into the trap of other models. I will reply to this comment in one week lol, see ya then. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LVblizzard Posted January 27, 2021 Author Share Posted January 27, 2021 GFS snows for over two days straight here. Mother of God!!! 4 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted January 27, 2021 Share Posted January 27, 2021 GFS is very ICONish. The euro is sort of alone attm tbh with the Southern thing. I believe the truth lies right now between a euro and GFS solution much like every storm this winter. This is about the time the Euro begins to meet in the middle with the GFS. Still don't think suppression will be our fail possibility here with what is happening in Eastern Canada. Seems most folks are keyed in on the vort track on the euro et al and not paying attention to the relaxing up top which will not allow for the South ticks to continue on the euro. We are in an outstanding spot attm. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 27, 2021 Share Posted January 27, 2021 10 minutes ago, hurricane1091 said: GFS is king. Euro has been garbage this year. As a result I already know most of the precipitation in the Philadelphia region will be rain and there's no chance for all snow. Not even a chance for mostly snow. Do not lose sleep over this storm, it won't be what you want it to be. Don't fall into the trap of other models. I will reply to this comment in one week lol, see ya then. Weenie 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 27, 2021 Share Posted January 27, 2021 2 minutes ago, Ralph Wiggum said: GFS is very ICONish. The euro is sort of alone attm tbh with the Southern thing. I believe the truth lies right now between a euro and GFS solution much like every storm this winter. This is about the time the Euro begins to meet in the middle with the GFS. Still don't think suppression will be our fail possibility here with what is happening in Eastern Canada. Seems most folks are keyed in on the vort track on the euro et al and not paying attention to the relaxing up top which will not allow for the South ticks to continue on the euro. We are in an outstanding spot attm. Gfs was trash with this week's storm. Euro has the cmc on its side. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted January 27, 2021 Share Posted January 27, 2021 GFS snows forever, except for an odd frame of rain that was ludicrous 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
zenmsav6810 Posted January 27, 2021 Share Posted January 27, 2021 9 minutes ago, MJO812 said: Big shift to the euro here Bullseyes Monmouth.... must be right...has to be right. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted January 27, 2021 Share Posted January 27, 2021 2 minutes ago, MJO812 said: Gfs was trash with this week's storm. Euro had the cmc on its side. Fyp Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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