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Major Nor'easter near blizzard (6"+ most of our area-best chance 20-30" north of I78 in ne PA, nw NJ, se NYS)-ice-rain-power outage NYC subforum late Sunday Jan 31-early Tue Feb 2.


wdrag
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1 minute ago, Rittenhouse said:

The models seem to underestimate overrunning/front-end snows but overestimate back-end snows for NYC. Not sure the science behind it.

thats correct....two classic cases of this were Dec 2002 and PD2.  We're usually too far west for the best from Miller B's.  The overrunning usually more than makes up for whatever we were supposed to get on the back end.  When the overrunning doesn't happen, that's when you have problems and busts.

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