Major Nor'easter near blizzard (6"+ most of our area-best chance 20-30" north of I78 in ne PA, nw NJ, se NYS)-ice-rain-power outage NYC subforum late Sunday Jan 31-early Tue Feb 2.

[SnoSki14]

2 minutes ago, jm1220 said:

All you really need to see. This would be insane. 

Ridiculous if correct. That's a blizzard. No wonder Nam's spewing out near 30" totals.

[bluewave]

1 minute ago, snowman19 said:

If that’s correct, I feel bad for the guys who plow snow. It’s literally impossible to keep up with that, totally impossible. Hopefully people are smart and stay the hell off the roads so they don’t get stuck and add to the chaos that will be ensuing 

Yeah, this looks like it will be the 11th storm to max out at 20”+ somewhere in the OKX forecast zones since the 09-10 winter.

[snywx]

18z NAM is just brutal.. I’m starting to think areas like West Milford are gonna be ground zero 

[hooralph]

5 minutes ago, jm1220 said:

All you really need to see. This would be insane. 

That’s some Gozer the Gozerian s*** right there. Gateway to another dimension opened up over NYC

[Rjay]

2 minutes ago, snywx said:

18z NAM is just brutal.. I’m starting to think areas like West Milford are gonna be ground zero 

Oh definitely 

[mannynyc]

NWS NY is all in. 

[Brian5671]

vendor thread for the  "channel 7 says"  please

[Snowlover11]

man full weenie mode, im beyond pumped lets do this fellas! let it snow!

[EasternLI]

12 minutes ago, tim said:

...news 12 long island says 4-6 on ELI..STILL saying c/o to rain all of LI..even NYC...thats of course if their

future casts are right...

You'll get a foot. 

[MJO812]

[li_wx88]

3 minutes ago, mannylovessnow said:

NWS NY is all in. 

Beat me to it, I guess the NWS doesn't have access to the RPM model like all the local tv outlets!

[Sn0waddict]

[CIK62]

My T has flirted with 30 degrees all afternoon here in CI.        This seems 3 degrees higher than it is supposed to be at storm onset.         Are we expecting evaporational cooling?      My RH is low enough at 53% now for that to happen, I suppose.

If we don't pull down 9"+ tomorrow, during the heavy precipitation  PM period you can forget about a 20-incher.

[Mitchel Volk]

Light snow in Cobble Hill Brooklyn 

[SnowGoose69]

All the parameters argue heaviest snow likely is in a corridor across north central Westchester-Rockland-northern Bergen and Passaic and west.  Their positioning coupled with snow growth and being right near that -4C 850 isotherm tells me somewhere in that area gets 3-5 inches an hour for a time tomorrow

[chrisNJ]

1 minute ago, SnowGoose69 said:

All the parameters argue heaviest snow likely is in a corridor across north central Westchester-Rockland-northern Bergen and Passaic and west.  Their positioning coupled with snow growth and being right near that -4C 850 isotherm tells me somewhere in that area gets 3-5 inches an hour for a time tomorrow

Makes me a little nervous to the south in Somerset Co. Going to be a big gradient between TTN and MMU. 

[mannynyc]

Just now, Mitchel Volk said:

Light snow in Cobble Hill Brooklyn 

I've seen only flurries in lower Manhattan thus far

[MJO812]

Rgem is a crush job

[snowman19]

9 minutes ago, mannylovessnow said:

NWS NY is all in. 

That is approaching January, 2016, February, 2006 territory right there. Hard to believe....

[Nibor]

On 1/30/2021 at 11:38 AM, snowman19 said:

If anyone is really expecting the biggest NYC snowstorm ever in history (over 27 inches - January, 2016) this week, they’re probably going to be very sorely disappointed 

 

1 minute ago, snowman19 said:

That is approaching January, 2016, February, 2006 territory right there. Hard to believe....

lol

[SnoSki14]

2 minutes ago, snowman19 said:

That is approaching January, 2016, February, 2006 territory right there. Hard to believe....

You don't say. You mean those crazy analogs people were throwing out 2 days ago that this was definitely not going to hit. 

[snowman19]

2 minutes ago, SnoSki14 said:

You don't say. You mean those crazy analogs people were throwing out 2 days ago. 

They throw them out every storm, January, 1996 too. I made that comment yesterday morning, it looked nothing at all like it does right now yesterday morning 

[SnoSki14]

1 minute ago, snowman19 said:

They throw them out every storm, January, 1996 too. I made that comment yesterday morning, it looked nothing like it does right now yesterday morning 

Yes they do but sometimes it's warranted. This was clearly not progged to be an ordinary storm.

Several mets picked up on this over a week ago.

That being said I won't count my chickens yet.

[weathermedic]

OKX also extended the winter storm warning to eastern Suffolk County

[HVSnowLover]

1 minute ago, snowman19 said:

They throw them out every storm, January, 1996 too. I made that comment yesterday morning, it looked nothing like it does right now yesterday morning 

It started to trend this way Friday nights runs and a some people said qpf would increase closer to event with such a strong east wind 

[Rjay]

Oh boy

WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT
TO 6 AM EST TUESDAY...

* WHAT...Heavy snow expected. Total snow accumulations of 12 to 20
inches. Winds gusting as high as 50 mph.

* WHERE...Southwestern Suffolk, Southern Nassau, Northern Nassau
and Northwestern Suffolk Counties.
 

[LegionVsNinja]

8 minutes ago, mannylovessnow said:

I've seen only flurries in lower Manhattan thus far

I've seen a flake or two in Elmhurst as well. 

[tim]

16 minutes ago, EasternLI said:

You'll get a foot. 

...glad to see you back..was wondering where you been?

[mannynyc]

Just now, LegionVsNinja said:

I've seen a flake or two in Elmhurst as well. 

Looks like it's just become light snow in Lower Manhattan. Much earlier than expected, hopefully that's a good sign. 

[EasternLI]

Just now, tim said:

...glad to see you back..was wondering where you been?

Just been really busy. But I'm here for this. Should be a good one!