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Jan 25th Wintry Mix Obs and Nowcasting


stormtracker
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2 minutes ago, Cobalt said:

Can someone explain what in the world the RMP model is?? Lovechild of RAP and Deep Thunder?? 

Its the best model ever!  Kidding...it's their in house short range computer model.  I don't know how accurate it is but I do notice a lot of times it is fairly conservative.

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In Garrett County K2G4 (Oakland) now has 1SM visibility so it appears that snow has started there. It didn't take long after the echoes started moving overhead for precip to begin which isn't a bad sign. Granted they're in the mountains, but if we had a real dry air issue then it would take forever to precipitate even out there.

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LWX expanding the advisory for DC metro:

Quote

DISTRICT OF COLUMBIA-PRINCE GEORGES-ANNE ARUNDEL-FAIRFAX-
ARLINGTON/FALLS CHURCH/ALEXANDRIA-
209 PM EST MON JAN 25 2021

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM EST TUESDAY...

* WHAT...MIXED PRECIPITATION. SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OF 1 TO 2 INCHES
  AND ICE ACCUMULATIONS AROUND A TRACE.

* WHERE...IN MARYLAND, PRINCE GEORGES AND ANNE ARUNDEL COUNTIES. 
  IN DISTRICT OF COLUMBIA, DISTRICT OF COLUMBIA. IN VIRGINIA, 
  FAIRFAX COUNTY, AND ARLINGTON/FALLS CHURCH/ALEXANDRIA.

* WHEN...UNTIL 9 AM EST TUESDAY.

 

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Just now, Deck Pic said:

I'm still 39 at 12th and K....most readings around here are 38-40...dont know about low 40s...seems an outlier...

36/20 in Takoma Park.  I don't see why we wouldn't snow given the temp-->DP spread, the fact that it's coming in after dark, and there's no big push of warm air in the mid or upper levels right away.  

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