Ji Posted January 11, 2021 Share Posted January 11, 2021 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted January 11, 2021 Share Posted January 11, 2021 2 minutes ago, Ji said: Serenity now? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 11, 2021 Share Posted January 11, 2021 euro looks promising Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted January 11, 2021 Share Posted January 11, 2021 2 minutes ago, RedSky said: Serenity now? Maybe Apocalypse Now 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted January 11, 2021 Share Posted January 11, 2021 Just now, Ji said: euro looks promising Day 10? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 11, 2021 Share Posted January 11, 2021 Just now, Ralph Wiggum said: Day 10? its got some kind of gulf storm brewing day 8....the 500 looks way different Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted January 11, 2021 Share Posted January 11, 2021 1 minute ago, Ji said: its got some kind of gulf storm brewing day 8....the 500 looks way different 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 11, 2021 Share Posted January 11, 2021 Just now, Ralph Wiggum said: looks like it will get shredded again. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 11, 2021 Share Posted January 11, 2021 it looked promising for a while Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted January 11, 2021 Share Posted January 11, 2021 3 minutes ago, Ji said: looks like it will get shredded again. The stj is constipated and every wave that actually comes thru the Southern Rockies hits a wall in E TX and stops moving East. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 11, 2021 Share Posted January 11, 2021 4 minutes ago, Ralph Wiggum said: The stj is constipated and every wave that actually comes thru the Southern Rockies hits a wall in E TX and stops moving East. its an embarrasment to the weather community that a model cannot be programmed to get snow into our area 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 11, 2021 Share Posted January 11, 2021 4 minutes ago, Ji said: it looked promising for a while Not if you were looking at h5. It split the trough leaving the southern part behind. A non phased split solution won’t work with the NS we’re dealing with. Need phasing to pump ridging otherwise the NS will keep racing west to east squashing anything. Once it split and the NS raced ahead it was dead. The shred factory would get it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted January 11, 2021 Share Posted January 11, 2021 53 minutes ago, psuhoffman said: Yes but wasn’t that always our target too? Although i think we were hopeful maybe starting around the 15th but the last week of January looking more likely now. But my point is even though we kinda expected it to fail...it’s still a fail right? true...you're better with words than I am, I"m just glad I have been busy to not really be that disappointed yet about winter. If it all fails into February then I'll probably post a frowny face then go back to living my life again. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LP08 Posted January 11, 2021 Share Posted January 11, 2021 The Atlantic sure isn’t the problem...ten day caveats and all. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 11, 2021 Share Posted January 11, 2021 1 minute ago, LP08 said: The Atlantic sure isn’t the problem...ten day caveats and all. i mean you cant have this map and fail...you have a strong -EPO although PSU would probably like it more east....Very strong -NAO. SE ridge is supressed. this has to deliver something Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 11, 2021 Share Posted January 11, 2021 1 minute ago, LP08 said: The Atlantic sure isn’t the problem...ten day caveats and all. Nothing is a problem there just need to wait. This first tanking of the NAO failed due to lack of cold. The next tanking comes around the 20. If cold gets involved after that should hold potential. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 11, 2021 Share Posted January 11, 2021 1 minute ago, Ji said: i mean you cant have this map and fail...you have a strong -EPO although PSU would probably like it more east....Very strong -NAO. SE ridge is supressed. this has to deliver something No that look is great. If that’s what Jan 21 actually looks like I suspect end of Jan early Feb produces. But lots of “if” there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 11, 2021 Share Posted January 11, 2021 3 minutes ago, Ji said: if people cant handle the ups and downs of this hobby....they really need to get out of the hobby and just enjoy weather like normal people. Get a grip people This isn’t a hobby for most here. It’s having a place to look for the possibility of the weather they want. Most couldn’t care less why the weather is what it is. They only care about what it is. I would put myself in that group. I do find the science of it interesting but predicting it to me holds no fascination. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 11, 2021 Share Posted January 11, 2021 9 minutes ago, psuhoffman said: Nothing is a problem there just need to wait. This first tanking of the NAO failed due to lack of cold. The next tanking comes around the 20. If cold gets involved after that should hold potential. Don’t take this wrong because I really like your posting but sometimes we don’t really see the whole picture. We haven’t had an organized precip event this year and we are 11 days into January. Unless I missed something. We need precip before temps are a factor. When it’s partly cloudy what difference do temps make? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted January 11, 2021 Share Posted January 11, 2021 12z eps goes ape with the Atlantic blocking. One of the strongest signals I’ve seen this far out on a mean. Of course we have no +PNA, but maybe an overrunning type pattern? This is 276 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 11, 2021 Share Posted January 11, 2021 1 minute ago, Wentzadelphia said: 12z eps goes ape with the Atlantic blocking. One of the strongest signals I’ve seen this far out on a mean. Of course we have no +PNA, but maybe an overrunning type pattern? This is 276 that should deliver. Thats a real NAO block---not just red over greenland woah 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted January 11, 2021 Share Posted January 11, 2021 1 minute ago, Ji said: that should deliver. Thats a real NAO block---not just red over greenland woah With this setup we’d have a really active STJ. If that blocking is legit then there should be event after event. If the blocking isn’t real then we risk a complete failure. Was this what 94-95 had going? With that look HP should park right over the Great Lakes. Patience is running thin but hopefully today’s look stays! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted January 11, 2021 Share Posted January 11, 2021 SWF pattern incoming. Overrunning central. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
poolz1 Posted January 11, 2021 Share Posted January 11, 2021 Def an encouraging look from the eps. Closed ridge over baffin even at D15 and a beast 50/50 signature at the same time....trough backing into the east coast and certainly a colder run. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted January 11, 2021 Share Posted January 11, 2021 Same eps that looked like garbage a few days ago and threw everyone into a tailspin? What are we doing here? 4 4 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 11, 2021 Share Posted January 11, 2021 10 minutes ago, leesburg 04 said: Same eps that looked like garbage a few days ago and threw everyone into a tailspin? What are we doing here? Yeah we need more Atlantic blocking. I love watching storms shredded like cabbage. Lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 11, 2021 Author Share Posted January 11, 2021 Looks nice h/t @Allsnow... image view of what @poolz1 stated above in his post 9 minutes ago, Allsnow said: Big change on the eps today with a ridge bridge 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 11, 2021 Share Posted January 11, 2021 6 hours ago, Ji said: Sent from my SM-G981V using Tapatalk dude nailed it 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattie g Posted January 11, 2021 Share Posted January 11, 2021 1 hour ago, WinterWxLuvr said: Don’t take this wrong because I really like your posting but sometimes we don’t really see the whole picture. We haven’t had an organized precip event this year and we are 11 days into January. Unless I missed something. We need precip before temps are a factor. When it’s partly cloudy what difference do temps make? Temps or precip...doesn't matter if we have one and not the other. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaydreb Posted January 11, 2021 Share Posted January 11, 2021 9 minutes ago, mattie g said: Temps or precip...doesn't matter if we have one and not the other. Yeah. We had tons of precip for the mid-December storm, xmas eve gullywasher and New Year’s Day rainer. Temps were lacking for all three. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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