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January 8th-9th threat


BullCityWx
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Just now, Blue_Ridge_Escarpment said:

Wow 3k NAM completely shuts out VA. 

Yea not what I was expecting with beginning of 0z runs... drier overall on front end. HRRR looked good and I would say runs of 0z suites would still be of a meaningful purpose. Anything past 12z tomorrow would pretty much completely switch over to Hi-res

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For those stuck in the dry slot, could be be a pretty frustrating event, looks promising to start, get a dusting, then hours of drizzle/light snow. For those at the pivot point, it could be pretty epic: a couple inches on the front end, then possibly mixing with sleet, then a couple more inches as the deform band rolls through. The triad could go either way at this point, but 1"+ is feeling pretty solid right now

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22 minutes ago, burrel2 said:

Best run for the upstate yet... backside band crushes us mid-morning.  That backside stuff can be fickle. Been burned many times before on that action. Just have to hope it works out. 

On the positive side it’s an ULL not a backend deform band.  Much more likely to score from an ULL depending on the track. 
 

 

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