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January 8th-9th threat


BullCityWx
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22 minutes ago, BornAgain13 said:

The Euro may very well be right for the mountains but I don't believe the moisture gets shut off east of there as modeled... especially since the NAM was doing the same thing and came around and filled in today 

I tend to agree. It’s not like we have some mammoth 1046 HP up in Upstate NY. I will just continue to pray the Canadian and the Para GFS are correct. Wouldn’t want to be @Disc in this predicament. Anywhere from dusting to 6” here ouch lol. NC mountains almost a lock to get smoked!

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We can ignore the part about the v16 only being run once a day as it is now available on sites 4 times a day.  Anyway, for those who don't know, Philippe used to post in here out of Greenville, SC as @phil882 and he is now a forecaster at the National Hurricane Center

 

nIc9vN9.png

https://twitter.com/pppapin/status/1339608830007799810?s=20

 

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WSW wording.  Everything but the kitchen sink possible.  :D

Quote

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Greenville-Spartanburg SC
233 PM EST Wed Jan 6 2021

...WINTER STORM EXPECTED TO IMPACT PORTIONS OF WESTERN NORTH
CAROLINA THURSDAY NIGHT INTO FRIDAY...

.A storm system moving from the Deep South through the coastal
plain of Georgia and South Carolina will spread precipitation into
western North Carolina from late Thursday evening through Friday
morning before tapering off Friday afternoon. Sufficient cold air
will be in place such that mostly snow is expected across the
mountains, with the exception of the lower valleys of southwest
North Carolina. While precipitation is expected to initially fall
as rain across the foothills and northwest Piedmont, a cooling
atmosphere is expected to support a transition to snow Friday
morning, roughly along and north of I-40. Heavy snow accumulations
will be possible in these areas before the precipitation tapers
off, or changes back to rain Friday afternoon. While rain and snow
are expected to be the main precipitation types, a brief period of
sleet or freezing rain will be possible, especially from the Blue
Ridge escarpment through the northwest Piedmont, but any sleet or
ice accumulations are expected to be minor.

NCZ033-035>037-048>050-052-053-056-063>065-501>507-509-070400-
/O.NEW.KGSP.WS.A.0001.210108T0000Z-210109T0500Z/
Avery-Alexander-Iredell-Davie-Madison-Yancey-Mitchell-Haywood-
Buncombe-Catawba-Southern Jackson-Transylvania-Henderson-
Caldwell Mountains-Greater Caldwell-Burke Mountains-Greater Burke-
McDowell Mountains-Eastern McDowell-Rutherford Mountains-
Polk Mountains-
Including the cities of Ingalls, Banner Elk, Newland, Bethlehem,
Ellendale, Millersville, Taylorsville, Hiddenite, Stony Point,
Statesville, Mooresville, Farmington, Fork Church, Mocksville,
Advance, Faust, Mars Hill, Marshall, Walnut, Allenstand,
Hot Springs, Luck, Swiss, Burnsville, Celo, Micaville,
Ramseytown, Busick, Spruce Pine, Poplar, Waynesville, Waterville,
Canton, Cruso, Cove Creek, Asheville, Hickory, Newton,
St. Stephens, Wolf Mountain, Cashiers, Brevard, Cedar Mountain,
Little River, Hendersonville, Fletcher, Dana, East Flat Rock,
Tuxedo, Etowah, Patterson, Kings Creek, Lenoir, Sawmills,
Granite Falls, Jonas Ridge, Morganton, Pleasant Grove, Valdese,
Ashford, Sugar Hill, Woodlawn, Old Fort, Marion, Nebo,
Dysartsville, Fero, Glenwood, Chimney Rock State Park, and Saluda
233 PM EST Wed Jan 6 2021

...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY EVENING THROUGH
FRIDAY EVENING...

* WHAT...Heavy mixed precipitation possible. Total snow
  accumulations of 1 to 5 inches along with a light glaze of ice
  possible.

* WHERE...Much of the mountains, northern foothills, and northwest
  Piedmont of North Carolina.

* WHEN...From Thursday evening through Friday evening.

* IMPACTS...Travel could be very difficult. The hazardous
  conditions could impact the Friday morning commute.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Monitor the latest forecasts for updates on this situation.

 

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