hudsonvalley21 Posted February 1, 2021 Share Posted February 1, 2021 First flakes now falling. 19/10 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North and West Posted February 1, 2021 Share Posted February 1, 2021 It’s 19° and steady light to moderate snow at MMU, so it’s probably rolling up to you guys.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Juliancolton Posted February 1, 2021 Share Posted February 1, 2021 I haven't seen this posted yet. These are some pretty crazy totals west of the river as far as ensemble means go. The HREFs obviously aren't immune to QPF bombs from its members, but a product like this really illustrates just how sky-high the ceiling is for this event. Sadly I think the valley shadowing is real in eastern Dutchess. Maybe I'll end up just on the happy side of that gradient. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JerseyWx Posted February 1, 2021 Share Posted February 1, 2021 2 hours ago, IrishRob17 said: @hudsonvalley21 and anyone else interested, I’m working remote this week so I’ll be home for the storm. I have my two snow boards near each other. I’m going to measure and clear one every 6 hours or so, ain’t getting up in the middle of the night for this shit, and I’ll measure and clear once every 24 hours until it’s over on the other board. I'm interested as well actually. Definitely should see inflated totals when you clear the board often. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gravitylover Posted February 1, 2021 Share Posted February 1, 2021 8 minutes ago, Juliancolton said: I haven't seen this posted yet. These are some pretty crazy totals west of the river as far as ensemble means go. The HREFs obviously aren't immune to QPF bombs from its members, but a product like this really illustrates just how sky-high the ceiling is for this event. Sadly I think the valley shadowing is real in eastern Dutchess. Maybe I'll end up just on the happy side of that gradient. Yeah it looks like it's banking up on the Taconics too, between the valley loss and that I've been skunked a bunch of times. Where it comes back is the extended finish on the northeasterly flow. Flurries started a little while ago. I'll be thrilled with a foot but this 20" thought isn't all bad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hitman Posted February 1, 2021 Share Posted February 1, 2021 Good luck fellas. Keep the obs coming. I picked the wrong horse and am up in vt. Wife promised to measure the snow on the deck, although I figured asking for 6 hour intervals is a bridge too far. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted February 1, 2021 Share Posted February 1, 2021 0z HRRR is 24"+ throughout Orange/Sussex counties.. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IrishRob17 Posted February 1, 2021 Author Share Posted February 1, 2021 0z NAM just snows and snows for days. 5 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
White Gorilla Posted February 1, 2021 Share Posted February 1, 2021 20 minutes ago, IrishRob17 said: 0z NAM just snows and snows for days. Wondering if 12-15 for POU might be conservative Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted February 1, 2021 Share Posted February 1, 2021 Just now, White Gorilla said: Wondering if 12-15 for POU might be conservative We are gonna see some surprises. A general 12-24" throughout SENY is a safe play 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hudsonvalley21 Posted February 1, 2021 Share Posted February 1, 2021 20 minutes ago, White Gorilla said: Wondering if 12-15 for POU might be conservative You get under a deform band that might overcome that n/e flow. Hope it works out for you. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Juliancolton Posted February 1, 2021 Share Posted February 1, 2021 I'm not going to bed until I see a flake. It's the principle of the thing. You can't have days and days if you don't even get to claim the first day. 3 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Juliancolton Posted February 1, 2021 Share Posted February 1, 2021 The most pathetic of snow grains have been spotted before midnight. Good night and good luck to all. Final call: HPN 17" SWF 19" MGJ 21.5" POU 18" Millbrook 14.5" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
White Gorilla Posted February 1, 2021 Share Posted February 1, 2021 29 minutes ago, Juliancolton said: The most pathetic of snow grains have been spotted before midnight. Good night and good luck to all. Final call: HPN 17" SWF 19" MGJ 21.5" POU 18" Millbrook 14.5" All the best Julian! I like your call. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BxEngine Posted February 1, 2021 Share Posted February 1, 2021 Ive created a monster. Daughter woke me up at 5:45 to say its snowing. doesnt she know who i am? 1 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North and West Posted February 1, 2021 Share Posted February 1, 2021 . 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gravitylover Posted February 1, 2021 Share Posted February 1, 2021 ^^ Heheh my dog won't go out, she went to the door all happy and excited and the snow blew in and she turned around and walked away all sad... Got a couple of inches so far of light and fluffy goodness. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted February 1, 2021 Share Posted February 1, 2021 5" otg Didn't expect this much this early Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BxEngine Posted February 1, 2021 Share Posted February 1, 2021 14 minutes ago, gravitylover said: ^^ Heheh my dog won't go out, she went to the door all happy and excited and the snow blew in and she turned around and walked away all sad... Got a couple of inches so far of light and fluffy goodness. My dog wont come inside when its snowing. Shes obsessed. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IrishRob17 Posted February 1, 2021 Author Share Posted February 1, 2021 As of 7:30am I had 4.3” on both boards but the wind has clearly already had an effect on the snow in the yard as it’s wonderful powder. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North and West Posted February 1, 2021 Share Posted February 1, 2021 19 hours ago, gravitylover said: That head shape and brindle coat make it look almost exactly like out Catahoola. They're a breed native to Georgia and the neighboring states. Ours doesn't have quite as much white on her face. Downslope from the west during the buildup and heart of the storm then sheltered from the east by the Berks as the storm winds up and pulls out. Yup you're hosed buddy I'm gonna get blasted from both sides, it's gonna snow till Wednesday here. Bring beer Boy that storm was a disaster. Power was out for a week and it was freaking cold Yea, we think he's got some Catahoola in him, but I think they're with spots, and he has more of a coat. Whatever it may be, it seems like beagle, hound, maybe some setter and Catahoola-ish going on. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North and West Posted February 1, 2021 Share Posted February 1, 2021 Also, storm wise, we're at least over a half foot @MMU. It seems like it's beginning to rotate right in from the water. I think we're likely to see 18" here. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North and West Posted February 1, 2021 Share Posted February 1, 2021 35 minutes ago, BxEngine said: My dog wont come inside when its snowing. Shes obsessed. The rescue had a many huskies there on Saturday. Hopefully they found a home and could go nuts in this weather. Our guy being from Georgia was less... appreciative of the conditions. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
White Gorilla Posted February 1, 2021 Share Posted February 1, 2021 Assuming storm is going according to forecasts? 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North and West Posted February 1, 2021 Share Posted February 1, 2021 1 minute ago, White Gorilla said: Assuming storm is going according to forecasts? FWIW down here, solely from my own anecdotal experience, it has hints of January 2016 and March 6, 2018 to my eye. Just our normal insane 2000s coastal low that stays all snow and dumps 18”+. ::screams internally:: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted February 1, 2021 Share Posted February 1, 2021 3 minutes ago, White Gorilla said: Assuming storm is going according to forecasts? Oh yeah lol 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Juliancolton Posted February 1, 2021 Share Posted February 1, 2021 My shih-tzu used to absolutely love the snow, but she's 18 now and has no patience for it anymore. Begrudgingly goes outside, but never lets the door out of her sight. Silly geezer. It bodes extremely well for anyone who already has 5-6" before the banding regime even really takes over. You can see radar drying out over the far interior as broad-scale ascent yields to coastal low dynamics, with convection blossoming around the low off the Mid-Atlantic coast. Transverse banding over and off NJ betrays the potent upper jet streak that will continue to drive cyclogenesis. Only about an inch here so far, the WAA snows were never going to impress up here. Buckle up folks, it's coming. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rclab Posted February 1, 2021 Share Posted February 1, 2021 25 minutes ago, IrishRob17 said: As of 7:30am I had 4.3” on both boards but the wind has clearly already had an effect on the snow in the yard as it’s wonderful powder. Good morning Irish. After making sure my affairs were in order, I went out to shovel at 7am and did a broken ruler measure on the roof of my 17 year old Tiberon.( 4.5”.) Matches up pretty well with the 7:51 precip totals for CPK from NOAH. As soon as I’m sure all essential body parts are working I’ll probably give it another go early this pm. Be well. Stay safe .... as always .... 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IrishRob17 Posted February 1, 2021 Author Share Posted February 1, 2021 2 minutes ago, rclab said: Good morning Irish. After making sure my affairs were in order, I went out to shovel at 7am and did a broken ruler measure on the roof of my 17 year old Tiberon.( 4.5”.) Matches up pretty well with the 7:51 precip totals for CPK from NOAH. As soon as I’m sure all essential body parts are working I’ll probably give it another go early this pm. Be well. Stay safe .... as always .... Very good and hey...hey...let’s be careful out there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rclab Posted February 1, 2021 Share Posted February 1, 2021 Just now, IrishRob17 said: Very good and hey...hey...let’s be careful out there. I will, Irish. At my age if I left this plane holding a shovel it would be fitting. The way the late Gov. Rockefeller left would be preferable but nigh impossible. You be careful also. The most valuable reason for you staying healthy, lives with you. As always .... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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