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40/70 Benchmark

January 2021

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Just now, 40/70 Benchmark said:

Probably in May, when it pounds 3"/hr, but doesn't accumulate due to the sun angle.

And warm ground.

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35 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

I don't see an inv trough, but could be a band of SHSN or even a squall across NYC into the areas of srn CT and RI....MVYT/ACK tomorrow morning.

 

ref1km_ptype.us_ne (1).png

20210119_115222.png

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10 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

Not bothering with that one. Gonna go out south  most likely with persistence 

Lol

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21 minutes ago, Whineminster said:

When TF is it gonna snow again? Besides that rain storm this weekend it's been dry as a boner all month. 

Lol how much precipitation do you think you get in January?

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Tomorrow has a good chance to drop a few inches in spots east of the CT River Valley.  My guess is that the models continue to trend towards a faster development closer to 73W instead of 70W near 39-40N latitude.  Previous days, the models have been too far north and then too far south.  The system is currently over the western Lakes.

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13 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said:

 

ref1km_ptype.us_ne (1).png

20210119_115222.png

Meh, maybe slight low level conv, but I think the forcing really helps it. Either way, NYC to south coast. 

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14 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said:

 

ref1km_ptype.us_ne (1).png

 

Not a classic inv trough, but that strong DPVA coming through with the upper level vortmax does converge winds a bit at the sfc. Like Scoot said, probably some SHSN as things destabilize a bit.

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This is honestly the most boring winter of my life in terms of sensible weather at the surface. I realize how enthralling its been at 60,000 feet above the arctic, but I can not recall a winter with such benign sensible appeal over such a protracted period of time. Sure, there have been winters that have been warmer with even less snowfall, but they are inherently notable because of said anomalies. I think there have been about 3-4 days out of the past 5 weeks that seen high temps outside of the lower 30s to lower 40s climo bracket. 

Just exotically and utterly unremarkable in every aspect.

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Just now, NorEastermass128 said:

12z GFS continues the vomit worthy sensible weather outcomes.  Whiff, whiff, cutter, impending CONUS torch.  At this point, this season is just toying with us.

If that were to happen by that point in early Feb, I would welcome the evisceration of the blocking and just torch it. I'm not sure who wouldn't, by that point.

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12 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

This is honestly the most boring winter of my life in terms of sensible weather at the surface. I realize how enthralling its been at 60,000 feet above the arctic, but I can not recall a winter with such benign sensible appeal over such a protracted period of time. Sure, there have been winters that have been warmer with even less snowfall, but they are inherently notable because of said anomalies. I think there have been about 3-4 days out of the past 5 weeks that seen high temps outside of the lower 30s to lower 40s climo bracket. 

Just exotically and utterly unremarkable in every aspect.

Ha ! 

... yeah but no ... can't agree.   It's subjective so tfwiw - but 2011-2012 truly was absentia -   ... this winter has SSWs and -NAO/-AOs ...etc, at least.  That one, not only last the whole way, it never had any hope ... 

....the whole way

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Just now, CoastalWx said:

Tblizz disrobing to the ICON?

It was nice to go about a month without the mention of that model.

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2 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said:

Ha ! 

... yeah but no ... can't agree.   It's subjective to tfwiw - but 2011-2012 truly was absentia -   ... this winter has SSWs and -NAO/-AOs ...etc, at least.  That one, not only last the whole way, it never had any hope ... 

....the whole way

I disagree. The shear anomalies of the warmth was more inspiring IMHO....we also had the October snow bomb, even though I got porked.

I would take that season over an eternity of 39 P Sunny.

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3 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

Tblizz disrobing to the ICON?

I’ll take things that won’t happen for $100, Alex.

I do like the whiff whiff cutter on the gfs... that something that will play out.

 

Im ready for spring... need to prepare the site for the shed I ordered... ready for some warmer weather. Going to build a fire pit too.

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1 minute ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said:

I’ll take things that won’t happen for $100, Alex.

I do like the whiff whiff cutter on the gfs... that something that will play out.

 

Im ready for spring... need to prepare the site for the shed I ordered... ready for some warmer weather. Going to build a fire pit too.

If you get a whiff, whiff, cutter, There will be melts that rival SnowNH's on this board.

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50 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

Those satellite images aren't going to be perfect. Trust me, I live here and work in Andover. I remember that year better than my own anniversary date. The jack was near me to about Norwell. I'm not just saying that because I live here and biased. You had 30"+ in the long duration event and over 15" from the event after. N shore didn't have that. They had near 20" in NBT in the 2/15 event, but not the long duration one.

This was our backyard in Randolph after the last storm.  Our 42" fence is nowhere to be seen back there.  The lower hook for the bird feeder is over 6' above ground.

No photo description available.

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9 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

I disagree. The shear anomalies of the warmth was more inspiring IMHO....we also had the October snow bomb, even though I got porked.

I would take that season over an eternity of 39 P Sunny.

Well gee, Ray ... I'm impressed - 

Yeah, okay - if you wanna play the general appreciator of weather-related anomalies card, absolutely.   We do not, under those auspices, disagree at all.  Folks should know me - if a comet is whizzing by, that takes precedence.  

It's just that in here, this is not an appreciation for weather-related anomalies ... It's a psycho-tropic stimulus addiction ...one that is rooted in the sentiment of snow.    That's the audience I was directing the previous post too - 

I'm being a little sardonic there but seriously, I agree that 2011-2012 has its own quirky charm and fascination when looking at the nature of this engagement with equal AVR.  No disagreement from me.  

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