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Mid to Long Term Discussion 2021


jburns
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Oh i'm liking the looks of this now with the Euro keeping on track.  Two good shots here.. Ideally, I'd like the first wave to slow and string out to allow a weak wave move across to minimize WAA and have a classic overrunning storm for the mtns & piedmont.  Then top it off with wave #2 which will most definitely be a classic Miller A mover with that strong confluence zone forcing the sfc low to move from the gulf coast up the SE coast. :D 

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3 minutes ago, BullCityWx said:

Imagine the damming showing up. It’s over frozen land. You’d push the damming to Birmingham. 

Just checking on you, BullCityWx.......................  making sure you haven't passed out over that way.

IMO, pattern recognition says snow on snow might be a possibility somewhere in the southeast.

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1 minute ago, Wow said:

Oh i'm liking the looks of this now with the Euro keeping on track.  Two good shots here.. Ideally, I'd like the first wave to slow and string out to allow a weak wave move across to minimize WAA and have a classic overrunning storm.  Then top it off with wave #2. :D 

You and me both Wow!   

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4 minutes ago, Wow said:

Oh i'm liking the looks of this now with the Euro keeping on track.  Two good shots here.. Ideally, I'd like the first wave to slow and string out to allow a weak wave move across to minimize WAA and have a classic overrunning storm for the mtns & piedmont.  Then top it off with wave #2 which will most definitely be a classic Miller A mover with that strong confluence zone forcing the sfc low to move from the gulf coast up the SE coast. :D 

Yes.  Panel#30 from Grit's 12z GEFS post

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2 minutes ago, BullCityWx said:

For some of y’all worried about ptypes a week out(sigh) have you ever seen an ice storm that stretches from Raleigh to Columbia? No. You haven’t. The triangle would be snow or sleet with that pattern. Freezing rain further East and South.

That's sort of what I was thinking and hoped the ensembles would bear it out a bit.  Maybe next run. 

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23 minutes ago, StantonParkHoya said:

Bet we see some MONSTER solutions in the coming days.

Agreed. Already some showing on the ensembles. One of these models going going to suck everyone back onto this pages in next few days. Been fun seeing the mid-long range thread “hot” most of the day. This winter is already 100% better than last winter 

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7 minutes ago, NorthHillsWx said:

Agreed. Already some showing on the ensembles. One of these models going going to suck everyone back onto this pages in next few days. Been fun seeing the mid-long range thread “hot” most of the day. This winter is already 100% better than last winter 

Not where I sit but I'm willing to wait to see if Fab Feb comes through before passing judgement.

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10 minutes ago, StantonParkHoya said:

I remember back in '09/'10, all the models kept showing SE snowstorms, feet and feet, then they trended into DC snowstorms. I want to see a south Alabama to Savannah snowstorm to feel good in Raleigh.

Didn't trend that way here

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