Leesville Wx Hawk Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 45 minutes ago, BornAgain13 said: FWIW , the 6z EURO trended back south for Sunday Sent from my SM-N981U using Tapatalk Snow, snow snow....that’s all we ever get is snow. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tarheelwx Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 How much of that is snow from last night? Also, do you have the ice map for this weekend. Thanks for the info. TW Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blue_Ridge_Escarpment Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 Was really hoping to avoid ice. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ghicks Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 lots of time to change still. if its gonna be ice id rather see sleet. but hoping for snow sheesh its all around us seems like Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BullCityWx Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 Looking at the 6z Euro, looks like the Northern and Western counties of the Triangle could see snow to sleet to freezing rain on Sunday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Leesville Wx Hawk Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 It was a quick shot of snow on 6z European,but could stick nice. Too early. It would be best to get a big slug into the low dew points to maximize. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PackGrad05 Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 12Z GFS still too far north with the Low for central NC to have any frozen issues. VA/NC border may have some. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ghicks Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 4 minutes ago, PackGrad05 said: 12Z GFS still too far north with the Low for central NC to have any frozen issues. VA/NC border may have some. how much confidence can we put into the gfs look how it handled the amounts of precip with last nights system 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PackGrad05 Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 2 minutes ago, Ghicks said: how much confidence can we put into the gfs look how it handled the amounts of precip with last nights system Amounts i'll give you, but track and placement of frozen precip was spot on as we got within closer range. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tarheelwx Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 Euro did a much better job on the precip amounts for the storm last night. 3-4 days out, it was showing alot of light amounts of less than an inch. It did better 3-4 days out than it did inside 24 hours. TW 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
olafminesaw Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 Classic CAD Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CaryWx Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 That looks like retreating CAD to me. Being scoured away? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
olafminesaw Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 1 minute ago, CaryWx said: That looks like retreating CAD to me. Being scoured away? Really starts to get established the last couple frames. A strong signal for the climo favored areas Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CaryWx Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 7 minutes ago, olafminesaw said: Really starts to get established the last couple frames. A strong signal for the climo favored areas I might be reading it wrong but looks like retreating cold all morning on Sunday into 1pm. Basically the regular warm up of the day. Unless it stops/holds past that last timeframe it's retreating right? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PackGrad05 Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 2 minutes ago, CaryWx said: I might be reading it wrong but looks like retreating cold all morning on Sunday into 1pm. Basically the regular warm up of the day. Unless it stops/holds past that last timeframe it's retreating right? I agree. That's what I'm seeing. And not even that strong of a signature to me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tarheelwx Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 Tracking the wet bulb would give a much better indication of the CAD. Just looking at the temp doesn't give an accurate reflection of the wedge as some places are fully saturated, while others are not. Not saying that is the case above, but it could have something to do with it. TW Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 Canadian still looks wintry for 40 north and mountains 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blue_Ridge_Escarpment Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 1 minute ago, wncsnow said: Canadian still looks wintry for 40 north and mountains So it’s the GFS against the world? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
griteater Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 24 minutes ago, tarheelwx said: Euro did a much better job on the precip amounts for the storm last night. 3-4 days out, it was showing alot of light amounts of less than an inch. It did better 3-4 days out than it did inside 24 hours. TW GFS was terrible 5 days out or so with sending the storm into DC. But within 48 hours, I thought it ended up being one of the better models (to my surprise) in terms of showing the hard temperature crash and good rates in the precip once it switched to snow. It’s likely area dependent though in terms of where it had some struggles. I’ve always kind of liked the GFS once you get inside 2 days. It just has its issues with storms longer out 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ghicks Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 57 minutes ago, PackGrad05 said: Amounts i'll give you, but track and placement of frozen precip was spot on as we got within closer range. true and don't think i was trying to be smart of anything. its just crazy the weather around here. folks on all sides have had more snow than the northern foothills. just 2021 i guess lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 UK still looks decent as well. Temps very borderline though. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 UK 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 8 minutes ago, wncsnow said: UK I would take that, 4-7" up this way Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ghicks Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 12 minutes ago, BornAgain13 said: I would take that, 4-7" up this way id feel like i won the lottery with that lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blue_Ridge_Escarpment Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 42 minutes ago, wncsnow said: Canadian still looks wintry for 40 north and mountains Canadian is stuck for me at 24 on all outlets I’ve tried. Where did you get yours? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 1 minute ago, Blue_Ridge_Escarpment said: Canadian is stuck for me at 24 on all outlets I’ve tried. Where did you get yours? Its stuck for me too, I meant the RDPS. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 Canadian is another big hit of ICE & SNOW , for the favored areas.... https://collaboration.cmc.ec.gc.ca/cmc/cmdn/pcpn_type/pcpn_type_gem_reg.html 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 Right now it's GFS against the World... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BullCityWx Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 UKMET looked like close to 2" here on the pivotal maps followed by probably sleet or zr? Not an awful event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tarheelwx Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 I'd love to get an old fashioned triad winter storm - 2-3" of snow, 1/2" of sleet, and then a good 1/4" or more of freezing rain. Back when I was a kid, it seemed like we got 1 or 2 of those every year. TW 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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