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January 2021 Medium/Longterm Pattern Discussion.


AMZ8990
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There is an interaction with the main vort and a secondary vort at 500, around hour 108-120, that causes the trough to go negative and ends up raining on most of Tennessee 138-150 (though parts of TN may start as snow or mix).  

There is yet another vort that enters the picture, also in the northern stream between 138 and 144, further complicating an already complicated picture. 

Long story short, the system looks to be there............. but how the northern stream interacts/disrupts is likely going to lead to much wailing and gnashing of teeth amongst meteorologists and hobbyists alike.  This could break bad or good and forecasts beyond 3-4 days should be taken with a boulder of salt.

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Long time lurker here, decided to finally sign up, I enjoy all the commentary you guys bring.

I’m from North west Mississippi, we have been in a snow drought as of late, been a while since a good winter storm has hit my area, really hoping that changes soon, maybe as soon as next weeK.

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10 minutes ago, Tobiewx said:

Long time lurker here, decided to finally sign up, I enjoy all the commentary you guys bring.

I’m from North west Mississippi, we have been in a snow drought as of late, been a while since a good winter storm has hit my area, really hoping that changes soon, maybe as soon as next weeK.

Glad you're here. I hope you guys get nailed like the models are showing. The Canadian builds a glacier in Mississippi. 

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5 minutes ago, Tobiewx said:

imageproxy.php?img=&key=4c6452e0fc83486cI’ll take that any day in north Mississippi, the Euro just keeps inching that low north every run since last nights run.

My concern is, how much further north will she come

F606C4E0-3FD9-4243-B8BB-3B6C408F4777.png

Right now the EURO is the furthest north and west, which is one of it's biases. GFS is way East which is one of its biases. The Canadian was middle ground and was basically great for Mississippi and most of Tennessee. Especially along and S of 40. 

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6 minutes ago, John1122 said:

Right now the EURO is the furthest north and west, which is one of it's biases. GFS is way East which is one of its biases. The Canadian was middle ground and was basically great for Mississippi and most of Tennessee. Especially along and S of 40. 

Only 5 more days to go :)

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