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Upstate/Eastern New York


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4 minutes ago, BuffaloWeather said:

It looks like some -9 850s moving across 40 degree water temp would be sufficient enough with some aided synoptic lift. Something to watch until the weekend cutter.

And that cutter on GFS is now following the CMC and Euro in bringing Buffalo a good chance at an event next weekend 

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Just now, Thinksnow18 said:

And that cutter on GFS is now following the CMC and Euro in bringing Buffalo a good chance at an event next weekend 

The average high/low is 31/18. So you don't even need below normal temps to get snow in prime winter, but to generate lake effect you would ideally want colder than whats being modeled.

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27 minutes ago, BuffaloWeather said:

RGEM and HRRR are the only models showing this much snow for KBUF for next event. Actually the WRF models do too. 

snku_acc.us_ne.png

HRRR 

sn10_acc.us_ne.png

That looks pretty good here especially the HRRR..NWS seems to think the parameters aren't that good.. Obviously they are the experts not me lol Jumped up the snowfall by an inch here..

StormTotalSnowWeb (26).png

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13 minutes ago, TugHillMatt said:

Maybe for you guys, Watertown, and the Tug.

Here? Yawwwwwwwn.....

It's looking like slim pickings outside of those locations for the next week or more.  At least the place I go snowshoeing up north should add to their coverage.  

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