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You can see the convergence occurring within the band as the winds are due West across the South shore while over the lake the winds are N-NW, which is definitely fueling this beast of a band.  The best part is that theres absolutely no wind at all as its just falling straight down and accumulating very fast and efficiently!

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Flake size is just awesome as well.  We did have some graupel at the beginning but that quickly went over to heavy snow as the heavier returns started to show up!

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19 minutes ago, CNY-LES FREAK said:

Tug, hopefully this will sag southward in the next few hrs and clobber you for a few hrs but who knows with these WNW bands as they are very anomalous to say the least!

Congrats on your snow. I was checking out the Central Square webcam and did a doubletake when I noticed the snow depth reaching the 1 foot mark on the snowstick. I sure wish it would nudge south and west a bit. I've been waiting for hours and hours. 

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2 minutes ago, TugHillMatt said:

Congrats on your snow. I was checking out the Central Square webcam and did a doubletake when I noticed the snow depth reaching the 1 foot mark on the snowstick. I sure wish it would nudge south and west a bit. I've been waiting for hours and hours. 

Thanks as I've waited just as long as you but you will definitely get something when it starts to head South later this morning. I'm exactly 3 miles to the SW of Central Square!

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Just now, CNY-LES FREAK said:

Thanks as I've waited just as long as you but you will definitely get something when it starts to head South later this morning.

I want to go out for a middle of the night Jebwalk in heavy snow.

I am getting bursts of snow and then clear skies. Like half an inch on the ground. lol

WHY ME????

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1 minute ago, CNY-LES FREAK said:

You can see over the Lake that its starting to take a slight jog southward so that may be the start of the move, I hope for ur sake TUG!

Thanks! You may have enough snow now to survive this week's warmup. I am hoping for the same here. Would love to get a layer of ice on top of it Wednesday night to preserve it.

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A band of heavy snow continues over southern Oswego County early
this morning, and also clipping northern Cayuga and extreme
northeast Wayne counties at times. This band has been far more
stationary than model guidance has suggested overnight, allowing for
greater accumulations in one concentrated area of southern Oswego
County. With that in mind, the advisory was upgraded to a Lake
Effect Snow Warning for Oswego County.

Added convergence from the approaching cold front will continue to
enhance the lake band generated convergence through about 12Z, and
an upstream connection to Lake Huron will also aid in intensifying
the band. Snowfall rates of 2"/hr will continue through early
morning under the heart of the band. Expect some minor north/south
oscillation of the band through 7AM, possibly drifting a little
north into central Oswego County briefly. The band will then move
quickly south and west across northern Cayuga and Wayne counties
by mid to late morning and weaken as boundary layer flow veers
northwest behind the cold front.

Meanwhile the western end of this band will continue to clip the
south shore of the lake at times from eastern Niagara County to
western Wayne County, including the Rochester area. This will
produce minor 1-2 inch accumulations mainly along and north of Route
104 this morning. All of the lake effect snow will end this
afternoon as high pressure builds into the eastern Great Lakes.

As far as accumulations go, expect snow totals to reach 8-12" across
southern Oswego County, and 4-7" for northern Cayuga and far
northeast Wayne County, with 2-4" farther west in Wayne County and
1-2" along the lakeshore in the Rochester area.

This is why models are absolutely useless when it comes to the placement, intensity and most of all the movement of these bands!

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