Atomixwx Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 Just now, canderson said: It's gorgeous 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 Just now, Atomixwx said: It's gorgeous It is. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 It looks like more than 2” qpf for MDT lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 Tom Russell, any comment? 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 Insane: 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
anotherman Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 Just now, paweather said: Tom Russell, any comment? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 Just now, Itstrainingtime said: Weather Channel? 2-3 FT. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 It’s like someone sent a nuke to Harrisburg Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 Just now, canderson said: It’s like someone sent a nuke to Harrisburg CMC inbound. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CarlislePaWx Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 Right in the bullseye yet again. 23" when the storm ends 7:00AM Tuesday. WOW. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 I did steal this: WOW: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 The TUCK. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AMDEW80 Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 11 minutes ago, canderson said: It’s like someone sent a nuke to Harrisburg They started 3 mile island back up! 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AllWeather Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 CMC is a mauling. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 CMC - Insane still snowing at 1pm Tuesday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AllWeather Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 Lanc Co has 36”+ per TT and still snowing. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 I love Canada. We own 86 acres there actually x hopefully later this summer we can actually go back. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Atomixwx Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 Just now, canderson said: I love Canada. We own 86 acres there actually x hopefully later this summer we can actually go back. If this storm busts, I'm sending you directly back to Baku. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MAG5035 Posted January 30, 2021 Author Share Posted January 30, 2021 1 hour ago, Itstrainingtime said: @MAG5035 based on what you said this afternoon on how high amounts might go, is it safe to assume that the NAM is at the upper end of the envelope, potential wise? 1 hour ago, Itstrainingtime said: Our friends down south are laughing off the NAM. Not a wise decision IMHO. Well they can laugh but I'm starting to think that Subforum region is in the position the LSV was with the December storm. I mean that accumulation call I made earlier was a fairly safe preliminary call and I didn't bite on yesterday's model cycle dropping south either so I liked southern PA US-22 and south down to MD's I-70 corridor for the heavy swath. It's definitely looking like this heavy corridor is shifting north but like the LSV in the Dec storm, there was still a good event to be had before any mixing issues and I think the DC and north folks do fine. I said earlier that we def could see higher amounts than the 8-14 but probably less than 20"... and I'm sticking with that for now but I'm definitely watching what guidance is starting to do.. Models are starting to slow that coastal low down again which lengthens the time the deform hangs. They're also starting to solidify the precip shield.. which is something I expected given the anomalous 850mb easterly flow all the way into the Ohio Valley with the 850 low transferring just underneath PA. On CTP issuing watches for just the first tier of counties: Quote .SHORT TERM /6 AM SATURDAY MORNING THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT/... *UPDATED 9 PM FRI EVENING* Latest ensemble probabilities have increased likelihood for warning criteria snowfall across our southern tier Sun-Mon, with sufficient confidence to hoist Winter Storm Watch headlines from Somerset to Lancaster Counties. This in good collaboration with LWX and PHI and latest Snowprobs, which are showing nearly categorical likelihood of exceeding Advisory criteria and 65-70% likelihood of exceeding 6" over York and Lancaster Counties. Watches *may* need to be expanded slightly northward in time, but it appears that most of the remainder of central PA south of I80 is looking at Advisory criteria snow, and at this time no ptype issues to speak of. Rolling with the ensemble guidance generally by the sounds of it, which is a good start considering op models are still in flux right now. If the Euro and ensembles start reflecting what the early stuff is putting forth tonight, they will likely be adding counties and perhaps more than slightly northward. One thing to consider for that I-80 corridor, if say the ensembles get like UNV and IPT into a 6" mean.. duration. It's likely they will be considering the 8" in 24 hrs over the 6" in 12hr criteria for a WSW. They may roll with an advisory even if the I-80 corridor sees 6" or so by the end. That's if the I-80 corridor doesn't end up in the thick of it too, lol. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 Trends back North period. :-) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 1 minute ago, Atomixwx said: If this storm busts, I'm sending you directly back to Baku. That’s a little tedious these days unfortunately. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 1 hour ago, anotherman said: RGEM.....whoa. Wow. That’s starting to look like yesterday’s big numbers. Perty Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 32 minutes ago, paweather said: Tom Russell, any comment? He’s prob “keepin an eye on it”. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AllWeather Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 00z CMC Kuchera 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather5 Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MAG5035 Posted January 30, 2021 Author Share Posted January 30, 2021 4 minutes ago, AllWeather said: Lanc Co has 36”+ per TT and still snowing. Careful with that TT and its snowmap counting snow/sleet together.. though I'm only at 60 with Weatherbell haha. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted January 30, 2021 Share Posted January 30, 2021 Just now, AllWeather said: 00z CMC Kuchera AWESOME! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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