paweather Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 Just now, Cashtown_Coop said: Let’s hope the site doesn’t crash Where's Marcus? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 7AM Sunday Light Snow. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 7 minutes ago, Itstrainingtime said: MAG, I got the CMC and GEFS mixed up. Sorry about that! so much sh!t flyin through the weather chute will do that Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 out to 96 I'm approving the Euro early and think its gonna deliver the goods.... primary was east of 0z and now in southern ill at 72. at 96 i'll let the picture do the talkin Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 It is tucked in at 102! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 I don't like what I'm seeing with the coastal...further south and east a bit to me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Atomixwx Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 Quick question: Has the primary low even surfaced on the continent yet? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 Eh, she's still close to the coast, but the next frames will tell the story... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MAG5035 Posted January 28, 2021 Author Share Posted January 28, 2021 5 minutes ago, Itstrainingtime said: MAG, I got the CMC and GEFS mixed up. Sorry about that! It's all good, just trying to keep comparisons straight. A lot of times shared info from the Mid-Atlantic thread is stuff that's being analyzed through the Mid-Atlantic lense. Here's GEFS means 12z vs 0z, ramped up pretty good in our region and some of the northern MD folks. 6z means are fairly close to 12z. Again, starting to focus more than shift.. imo. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 Just now, Itstrainingtime said: I don't like what I'm seeing with the coastal...further south and east a bit to me. Definitely. Some bad PBP going on in the MA. Euro has taken the Eastern bait like the others. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
daxx Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 I like it. Huge hit for southern and eastern pa. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 1 minute ago, Bubbler86 said: Definitely. Some bad PBP going on in the MA. Euro has taken the Eastern bait like the others. Agreed but again the general idea of the GFS today from panel 102 to 114 it just stalls out. *Sorry even 120 now on the EURO this is a massive hit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 3 minutes ago, Atomixwx said: Quick question: Has the primary low even surfaced on the continent yet? Onshore now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 1 minute ago, daxx said: I like it. Huge hit for southern and eastern pa. It is, and you and I get clobbered with the CCB. We're running out of margin, however. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 This trend east is worrisome to me. Hope 0z halts it. Edit: I shouldn't call it a trend really - but an eastward job is a fear of mine. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 126 still snowing! OK. I feel better again after the UK. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 Just now, canderson said: This trend east is worrisome to me. Hope 0z halts it. EURO is fine, Canderson. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wmsptwx Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 Just now, canderson said: This trend east is worrisome to me. Hope 0z halts it. Yup Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
daxx Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 Just now, Itstrainingtime said: It is, and you and I get clobbered with the CCB. We're running out of margin, however. Yes starting narrow. Which we can expect. For now I feel fine. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 Just now, canderson said: This trend east is worrisome to me. Hope 0z halts it. Understood. Definite risk. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 5 minutes ago, daxx said: I like it. Huge hit for southern and eastern pa. yeah....We should LOVE it!! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 Just now, pasnownut said: yeah....We should LOVE it!! Yep. There is nothing wrong with the EURO. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather5 Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 5 minutes ago, pasnownut said: yeah....We should LOVE it!! Welp Nut...the jackpot moved well SE from 12z... ...and on this run, it targets ME and YOU. Can we hold it? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 3 minutes ago, paweather said: Yep. There is nothing wrong with the EURO. ENS should be sweet for much of forum and I expect a tick north shift by go time, so I'm just hoping for breathing room for LSV. This gives us just that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather5 Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MAG5035 Posted January 28, 2021 Author Share Posted January 28, 2021 The 12z Euro doesn't stall the low over Delmarva like the 0z did, does so farther east. The biggest thing I'm seeing is it's finally starting to fill in the precip shield related to the primary low. And trajectory of that and the handoff is good to hang the shield over PA. The western PA gang will like this run, it keeps Pittsburgh mostly or all snow. 5 minutes ago, canderson said: This trend east is worrisome to me. Hope 0z halts it. We have to remember this storm is coming on a straight west-east trajectory, not directly up from the Gulf. Typically, storms that slam Chicago with a foot plus of snow are ones that are cutting and giving us rain or p-type issues. Not with this block though. This is still a great run for a big snowfall, pretty much everyone gets a warning snow and Sus Valley still gets clobbered. The big thing with this setup is where the coastal low stalls, if it's east or it doesn't stall for long we see this result. If it stalls over the Delmarva like last night's 0z run did, then the excessive totals become more in play (the 18-24+ type stuff). 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 Just had a gust to 42. It's been in the mid 30s all day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 5 minutes ago, Itstrainingtime said: Welp Nut...the jackpot moved well SE from 12z... ...and on this run, it targets ME and YOU. Can we hold it? Seeing CMC and now GFS coming around, its fair to say were in the starting lineup, and not on the bench. Thats what i've been pulling for. No doubt in my mind that once coastal pops/stalls/loopdydoops etc, the rakage will ensue for much of true central, UNLESS we lose a loop or it bumps due E (which isnt seeming to be the current consensus). EDIT - and once again as I'm typing Mags already tellin... good stuff Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 What's that jackpot over Ohio? What's going on out west? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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