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Central PA - Winter 2020/2021


MAG5035
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27 minutes ago, pasnownut said:

Both GFS and CMC deliver the goods and are starting to narrow goalposts enough to suggest we are inside them.  I'd rather be on Euro side vs GFS/CMC sides of best snows, but a compromise (here in LSV) would do us just fine.  Hoping posts continue to narrow from here on in as we are inside 5 days.  Would feel better if it were 2-3 though.    

The GFS has been literally over the east coast with the upcoming storm. It inspires zero confidence...I mean zero. People poop on the NAM but the GFS right now is laughable. 

The CMC seems to be doing a little better - maybe not Euro like, but model goalposts seem to be narrowing. The Euro hasn't been it's hallowed self lately and the CMC seems to be getting better. We'll see what happens soon enough. 

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6 minutes ago, Itstrainingtime said:

The GFS has been literally over the east coast with the upcoming storm. It inspires zero confidence...I mean zero. People poop on the NAM but the GFS right now is laughable. 

The CMC seems to be doing a little better - maybe not Euro like, but model goalposts seem to be narrowing. The Euro hasn't been it's hallowed self lately and the CMC seems to be getting better. We'll see what happens soon enough. 

At least it was a good run today. LOL, totally agree though. Can't wait for the EURO returns today. 

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1 hour ago, Atomixwx said:

Good to see CTP is starting to discuss Monday's alleged event with infographs. I guess it's probably time to log back in for a few days, huh?

Welcome Back! Euro looks good. Good 12z runs all together. Time to get ready for a couple of weeks of winter weather instead of me tracking clouds and sun. :-) 

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Just now, Blizzard of 93 said:

I love watching it snow while tracking an event that is on the way a few days later. It doesn’t happen often, but we might have that chance next week!

At least for the first storm, having a second one coming up also helps minimize the post-storm depression...that is as long as there IS a second storm.

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1 minute ago, canderson said:

You guys are super confident for a storm 3.5 days away .... lol

I'm not - this storm is all over the place. I'm prepared for zero snow, a pile of snow, or anything in between the next 10-14 days. As PSU Hoffman said earlier this evening "the Monday system has become complicated, and we don't do complicated well."

I think those are prudent words to heed. 

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8 minutes ago, Itstrainingtime said:

I'm not - this storm is all over the place. I'm prepared for zero snow, a pile of snow, or anything in between the next 10-14 days. As PSU Hoffman said earlier this evening "the Monday system has become complicated, and we don't do complicated well."

I think those are prudent words to heed. 

That’s DC we typically survive in these complicated setups. 

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45 minutes ago, Itstrainingtime said:

I'm not - this storm is all over the place. I'm prepared for zero snow, a pile of snow, or anything in between the next 10-14 days. As PSU Hoffman said earlier this evening "the Monday system has become complicated, and we don't do complicated well."

I think those are prudent words to heed. 

We also don’t live in MD or DC...

Yes, there are a few ways that this storm can go as the models have bounced around. However, over the past 24 hours, all models put the LSV in a solid 3 to 5 inches of snow for the early week event. A consensus is forming that says we are in a good spot for this event.

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26 minutes ago, Itstrainingtime said:

Other than the December storm, we've had little snow for the past couple of years. Sorry, I don't agree with you on this. At this juncture, there are still ways for us to miss this. 

Just last year there was no snow.

Besides last year, we had a great decade of snow. Above normal snow most years.

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