pasnownut Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 1 minute ago, Wentzadelphia said: Hey all. I’m chasing this storm up from Philly. I don’t want to drive more than 3 hours tops. I was thinking either poconos, but also Williamsport or around the Harrisburg region. Any spots you’d recommend based on current data? I’m a little worried in E PA about the deformation zone lifting farther N than anticipated, but that’d still be better for c pa. Can’t decide! I’d be leaving early tomorrow morning so still time to get some model runs in. Based on what we've all been seeing, I think western poconos back to sunbury to state college and soutwest to altoona is all easy pickins. Deform axis has been pointed in that general direction for last day or more. Were I you, I'd let the big dogs eat at noon today and see what they spit out, as that SE adjustment we often see close to game time might show up...even though this has been pretty locked in for a while now. Hope that helps. Enjoy the chase. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 lols @Cashtown_Coop smart minds...... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jns2183 Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 I’d expect all the ranges to shift north unless the 12z runs shift south. There always seems to be 2 bands that setup at firstSent from my LM-X210APM using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cashtown_Coop Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 3 minutes ago, Jns2183 said: There always seems to be 2 bands that setup at first Sent from my LM-X210APM using Tapatalk Agree totally. I hit on this earlier in the week. I really think Mag is in a good spot for this the initial sweet spot band then a western band that has better ratios Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 Good morning, I see we haven't changed too much in the storm forecast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cashtown_Coop Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 Just now, paweather said: Good morning, I see we haven't changed too much in the storm forecast. Nope. Pin pointing who get 12” and who gets 24+. Not a bad problem 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Topher Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 18 minutes ago, Wentzadelphia said: Hey all. I’m chasing this storm up from Philly. I don’t want to drive more than 3 hours tops. I was thinking either poconos, but also Williamsport or around the Harrisburg region. Any spots you’d recommend based on current data? I’m a little worried in E PA about the deformation zone lifting farther N than anticipated, but that’d still be better for c pa. Can’t decide! I’d be leaving early tomorrow morning so still time to get some model runs in. Hey, I’m also chasing this storm(from dc area). Very familiar with the selinsgrove, Williamsport area so hoping those two will be in the max area. Would just be happy with 12-15”+. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 2 minutes ago, Topher said: Hey, I’m also chasing this storm(from dc area). Very familiar with the selinsgrove, Williamsport area so hoping those two will be in the max area. Would just be happy with 12-15”+. selinsgrove/sunbury is a good choice. plenty of accommodations right on Rt15. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jns2183 Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 Nope. Pin pointing who get 12” and who gets 24+. Not a bad problem Any idea if we are going to some decent CAPE or other instability parameters at play? I love some good thundersnow at night so the sky lights up like a Christmas tree. Sent from my LM-X210APM using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 3 minutes ago, Topher said: Hey, I’m also chasing this storm(from dc area). Very familiar with the selinsgrove, Williamsport area so hoping those two will be in the max area. Would just be happy with 12-15”+. Awesome! Sent you a pm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 Looking forward the 12z NAM giving Cashtown 52”. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 Wish I could be at my parents' house in Danville for this storm! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Atomixwx Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 I don't remember the last time, if this has ever happened, when MA forum folks flocked here for a listing of local Dave and Busters and Super 8 spots so they can watch snow. And Topher and Wentzyldelphia are about to meet up and dock like this is Grindr. I feel like I'm taking crazy pills. 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kerplunk Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 44 minutes ago, Wentzadelphia said: Hey all. I’m chasing this storm up from Philly. I don’t want to drive more than 3 hours tops. I was thinking either poconos, but also Williamsport or around the Harrisburg region. Any spots you’d recommend based on current data? I’m a little worried in E PA about the deformation zone lifting farther N than anticipated, but that’d still be better for c pa. Can’t decide! I’d be leaving early tomorrow morning so still time to get some model runs in. I’d shoot for Sullivan County. Accommodations are sparse, but if you can get a room at the Eagles Mere Inn it’s a sweet spot. Could be a bit pricey, but last time I was there they had great food. And Eagles Mere is a very cool little town that gets lots of snow. EDIT: Closed due to Covid. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wawarriors4 Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 41 minutes ago, Wentzadelphia said: Hey all. I’m chasing this storm up from Philly. I don’t want to drive more than 3 hours tops. I was thinking either poconos, but also Williamsport or around the Harrisburg region. Any spots you’d recommend based on current data? I’m a little worried in E PA about the deformation zone lifting farther N than anticipated, but that’d still be better for c pa. Can’t decide! I’d be leaving early tomorrow morning so still time to get some model runs in. Hazleton, PA might be a great spot it has elevation and looks to be in a good spot. My parents are in Pittston, PA (between Wilkes-Barre and Scranton) they look to be in a great spot as well. Wish I could be there to see this, enjoy this PA! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dj88 Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 8 minutes ago, TugHillMatt said: Wish I could be at my parents' house in Danville for this storm! Class of 96! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 4 minutes ago, dj88 said: Class of 96! Nice! I grew up in Lancaster. They moved to Danville when I was in college. You guys are definitely due for a good storm there! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 Here it comes: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 14 minutes ago, Atomixwx said: I don't remember the last time, if this has ever happened, when MA forum folks flocked here for a listing of local Dave and Busters and Super 8 spots so they can watch snow. And Topher and Wentzyldelphia are about to meet up and dock like this is Grindr. I feel like I'm taking crazy pills. Sometimes I wonder if you've dabbled with dem pills well before this storm pal... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Atomixwx Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 1 minute ago, paweather said: Here it comes: Come to Butt-head Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Atomixwx Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 2 minutes ago, pasnownut said: Sometimes I wonder if you've dabbled with dem pills well before this storm pal... Pills? C'mon. I'm strictly a crack guy. Pills are for amateurs. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KPITSnow Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 That low looks significantly further west? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 Cad is a little stronger and deeper at 24. Might help us in SE Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 1 minute ago, KPITSnow said: That low looks significantly further west? It is a bit west. Yes. In North Carolina right now @ 30 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 1 minute ago, paweather said: It is a bit west. Yes. In North Carolina right now @ 30 IT's west for sure at this point. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 @30 slightly colder and HP holding. LP jumped notably north of 6z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 @ 35 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
whiteout Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 Man really feel like this is slipping away for us in the LSV here the last 12 hours. First Euro jumped N with the best totals and judging by the NAM we may be in big trouble. . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 @42 LP 50 miles NE of 6z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 6 minutes ago, whiteout said: Man really feel like this is slipping away for us in the LSV here the last 12 hours. First Euro jumped N with the best totals and judging by the NAM we may be in big trouble. . If your in Shippensburg I am not sure what is slipping away from you. It does appear on the NAM that Lancaster county is at risk to turn to sleet/FRZ rain for a period of time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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