MAG5035 Posted December 11, 2020 Author Share Posted December 11, 2020 26 minutes ago, Atomixwx said: It's so beautiful I'm going to wait a couple days to see where this goes before I start making comparisons, but I got a couple in mind. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted December 11, 2020 Share Posted December 11, 2020 1 hour ago, Eskimo Joe said: 12z op Euro cooks up another storm in the 12/18 timeframe, tries to get another around 12/24. Yeah even when looking at GFS beyond range it looked to remain active and cold enough to suggest a wintry feel through the end of 2020. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CarlislePaWx Posted December 11, 2020 Share Posted December 11, 2020 1 hour ago, MAG5035 said: I'm going to wait a couple days to see where this goes before I start making comparisons, but I got a couple in mind. Larry Cosgrove, in his analogs for this winter has a very memorable La Nina winter in it....anyone remember '95-'96? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
anotherman Posted December 11, 2020 Share Posted December 11, 2020 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted December 11, 2020 Share Posted December 11, 2020 24 minutes ago, CarlislePaWx said: Larry Cosgrove, in his analogs for this winter has a very memorable La Nina winter in it....anyone remember '95-'96? How can I not remember - 42" of snow in 6 days. That's a good way to break one's seasonal snow forecast in a week's time. While not my favorite storm, the blizzard of '96 produced 30.5" where I lived. That still ranks #1 all time for my greatest snowfall event on record. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Atomixwx Posted December 11, 2020 Share Posted December 11, 2020 33 minutes ago, anotherman said: ALEET!!!!! ALEET!!!! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Voyager Posted December 11, 2020 Share Posted December 11, 2020 I know...it's a long ways off, but could this be the one??? I'm not in a truck yet, so if it's to happen, now would be a great time for it, and it even perhaps keeps the ground white for what would otherwise be a dark Christmas this year. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted December 11, 2020 Share Posted December 11, 2020 CTP is starting to ramp up their thoughts on the potential snowstorm next week in their discussion this afternoon. “In all, things continue pointing towards a potentially significant snowfall for at least portions of central PA for the middle of next week.” Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted December 11, 2020 Share Posted December 11, 2020 1 hour ago, Itstrainingtime said: How can I not remember - 42" of snow in 6 days. That's a good way to break one's seasonal snow forecast in a week's time. While not my favorite storm, the blizzard of '96 produced 30.5" where I lived. That still ranks #1 all time for my greatest snowfall event on record. January 1996 was Top 3 Winter week in my lifetime! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted December 11, 2020 Share Posted December 11, 2020 4 hours ago, paweather said: Well.....5 days out. I almost passed out today when I saw the Euro run for this storm! If this somehow verified, Harrisburg would only need 6 more inches of snow to reach climo average by the end of this season! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted December 11, 2020 Share Posted December 11, 2020 HH holds but not nearly like the EURO. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted December 11, 2020 Share Posted December 11, 2020 The latest EPS, GEFS & Canadian ensembles are all on board for the snowstorm this week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GrandmasterB Posted December 12, 2020 Share Posted December 12, 2020 Per the map in the Mid-Atl forum, 18Z Euro is pretty gung-ho on the Monday system for the southeast PA crew. Definitely the most bullish of all models. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted December 12, 2020 Share Posted December 12, 2020 WRT to the 12/16 system, it appears that all 18z Euro ensembles are all snow for the CTP CWA. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted December 12, 2020 Share Posted December 12, 2020 The Euro was hot garbage last summer - let’s hope it’s corrected itself. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted December 12, 2020 Share Posted December 12, 2020 Standard caveats apply here: we're HR100+, it's early season, etc. But y'all are looking good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Voyager Posted December 12, 2020 Share Posted December 12, 2020 14 minutes ago, Eskimo Joe said: Standard caveats apply here: we're HR100+, it's early season, etc. But y'all are looking good. Everyone seems pretty bullish on this one. DT, the NWS, and even normally conservative WNEP up in Scranton. Not that it can't fall apart, but there's pretty good model AND forecast support to argue against a whiff. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted December 12, 2020 Share Posted December 12, 2020 0z NAM has started. The start of the 0z runs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted December 12, 2020 Share Posted December 12, 2020 21 minutes ago, Voyager said: Everyone seems pretty bullish on this one. DT, the NWS, and even normally conservative WNEP up in Scranton. Not that it can't fall apart, but there's pretty good model AND forecast support to argue against a whiff. I've been burned too many times outside of Jan/early Feb. I'm only expecting for an inch or two down here in NW Baltimore County and hope that we boom. It would be reallly nice to see something like 3" - 5" on the Christmas decorations. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted December 12, 2020 Share Posted December 12, 2020 1 minute ago, Eskimo Joe said: I've been burned too many times outside of Jan/early Feb. I'm only expecting for an inch or two down here in NW Baltimore County and hope that we boom. It would be reallly nice to see something like 3" - 5" on the Christmas decorations. Just to have something to track unlike last year is a blessing. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted December 12, 2020 Share Posted December 12, 2020 Just now, paweather said: Just to have something to track unlike last year is a blessing. Yea. As I was saying in the mid/long range thread in the MA forum, even at this time last year it was painfully clear that we were staring down the barrel of a shut out through mid January. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted December 12, 2020 Share Posted December 12, 2020 The 18z Euro likes the idea of a nice little 2 to 4 inch snow appetizer event on Monday for the LSV. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted December 12, 2020 Share Posted December 12, 2020 The NAM is stuck at 12 for the past 25 mins. LOL. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted December 12, 2020 Share Posted December 12, 2020 24 minutes ago, paweather said: The NAM is stuck at 12 for the past 25 mins. LOL. Here is 0z NAM for the Monday event. The NAM is trying to turn this into more of a light dinner than an appetizer for the LSV. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted December 12, 2020 Share Posted December 12, 2020 4 minutes ago, Blizzard of 93 said: Here is 0z NAM for the Monday event. The NAM is trying to turn this into more of a light dinner than an appetizer for the LSV. Thanks Blizz Tropical Tidbits is stuck. And I'll take my 4-5" for a light dinner event! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted December 12, 2020 Share Posted December 12, 2020 The 18z EPS was even further north with with the Monday event. It gets most of CTP with a 2 to 4 inch snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted December 12, 2020 Share Posted December 12, 2020 8 hours ago, Itstrainingtime said: @Blizzard of 93 isn't going to sleep for the next 5 nights. At that point he'll start looking at the storm on 1/3/2021. Yes indeed! This is fun! We are back! Tracking 2 potential snow events over the next 5 days is going to be awesome! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted December 12, 2020 Share Posted December 12, 2020 2 minutes ago, Blizzard of 93 said: Yes indeed! This is fun! We are back! Tracking 2 potential snow events over the next 5 days is going to be awesome! Also EURO had something on the 18th as well as a potential. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Atomixwx Posted December 12, 2020 Share Posted December 12, 2020 23 minutes ago, paweather said: Also EURO had something on the 18th as well as a potential. Your mom had something on the 18th as well as a potential hahhaha Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted December 12, 2020 Share Posted December 12, 2020 1 minute ago, Atomixwx said: Your mom had something on the 18th as well as a potential hahhaha LOL. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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