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December 2020 General Discussions & Observations Thread


bluewave
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The 0Z CMC adds another possible scenario later this week - the system crossing the south later in the week stays south - colder air is drawn into the area and then another storm develops along the coast for early next week and the results are below !

gem_mslp_pcpn_frzn_us_32.png

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11 minutes ago, bluewave said:

Plenty of spread between the model guidance at 12z. UKMET and CMC are west while GFS and Euro east. Euro may be struggling with holding back too much energy to the SW again. 
 

CF1B534D-7972-4440-8590-AB6646EAC28B.gif.791a03f45bfb2ce6ecd34b700037dd0f.gif
66D43B7B-93C9-4D2D-8902-3F097287F3D2.thumb.png.f67712ce14bbce50bb4e98029c89eea0.png

 

That system has no chance to be snow here. The 12z euro doesn’t even have a storm for the 5th now. We need to watch the energy diving into the trough between the 7-8th as that has potential with cold around 

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29 minutes ago, Allsnow said:

That system has no chance to be snow here. The 12z euro doesn’t even have a storm for the 5th now. We need to watch the energy diving into the trough between the 7-8th as that has potential with cold around 

The 7-8th will depend on the evolution of the storm threat for the 5th. If the storm on the 5th is more amped, then the 7-8th could get suppressed like the CMC shows. Have to see which model gets the evolution on the 5th correct. The Euro may be struggling with hanging too much energy back to the SW again on the 4-5th.

73DC5AC0-F512-40C8-8596-ADE13132B446.thumb.png.7fccdfe728207fc270c7193e10cc92e5.png
4C0901CF-F659-4E02-AE37-0DBB794E8864.thumb.png.93c59c34a837fccb596d1e10c4c250a1.png

 

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GEFS Extended has already surrendered the 20"  30_Day_Total---it recently indicated for the Control Member---and dropped it to 8" (all from a single event on the 13th) which means 0" total.

Atlanta GA is doing better at this moment with snow flurries and a drop down to 28* by morning, than we might over the next two weeks.

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1 hour ago, CIK62 said:

GEFS Extended has already surrendered the 20"  30_Day_Total---it recently indicated for the Control Member---and dropped it to 8" (all from a single event on the 13th) which means 0" total.

Atlanta GA is doing better at this moment with snow flurries and a drop down to 28* by morning, than we might over the next two weeks.

It was 37 and snowing in Birmingham Alabama also.

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1 hour ago, CIK62 said:

GEFS Extended has already surrendered the 20"  30_Day_Total---it recently indicated for the Control Member---and dropped it to 8" (all from a single event on the 13th) which means 0" total.

Atlanta GA is doing better at this moment with snow flurries and a drop down to 28* by morning, than we might over the next two weeks.

It’s silly to look at that extended model with any type of seriousness 

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