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December Medium/Long Range Discussion

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1 hour ago, StormchaserChuck! said:

4,000 replies, what are you people crazy?

we're crazy for a 24 inch EPS mean 2 days out on January 6 area wide.

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I think its funny local forecast yesterday said for christmas even 34 cloudy christmas day snow 31. now it says christmas even 52 thats a swing of almost 20 and is saying heavy rain. 

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8 minutes ago, clskinsfan said:

GFS still pretty nice for the Shenandoah Valley with the monster frontal passage. And really active through most of the run. Fun 2 weeks coming up. 

For some of the forum perhaps.  But based on this op run I don’t see much of anything east of 81.  Active yes...wintry eh

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Check out Dt's latest post.....

On 12/17/2020 at 5:07 PM, NorthArlington101 said:

Yeah, that's much more interesting than the joke event at 66 hours -- not that I'm trashing the potential to see a little snow TV.

gfs_z500a_us_fh90_trend.thumb.gif.6d41a426c9fb6d84ba34c1cc833bba88.gif

 

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14 minutes ago, BristowWx said:

For some of the forum perhaps.  But based on this op run I don’t see much of anything east of 81.  Active yes...wintry eh

Its all about the number of chances brother. Give us an active pattern and we all will score at some point. Maybe not all at the same time though. 

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From Facebook: New developments about XMAS even rain to snow threat for eastern US AND strong indications or most favorable winter storm upper air pattern showing for Mid atlantic Ohio valley New England regions on DEC 29-30 and JAN 2-3 that I have seen since Jan 1996 H.E.C.S. Historic East coast snowstorm blizzard

https://twitter.com/wxrisksecs1

Sent from my motorola edge plus using Tapatalk

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40 minutes ago, benjammin said:

From Facebook: New developments about XMAS even rain to snow threat for eastern US AND strong indications or most favorable winter storm upper air pattern showing for Mid atlantic Ohio valley New England regions on DEC 29-30 and JAN 2-3 that I have seen since Jan 1996 H.E.C.S. Historic East coast snowstorm blizzard

https://twitter.com/wxrisksecs1

Sent from my motorola edge plus using Tapatalk
 

Jesus... now everyone is going to take that literally 

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10 minutes ago, North Balti Zen said:

I mean...kinda gotta book it now, right? DT has promised a combo of Dec. 19, 2009 and Jan. 5/6 1996. 

Well he just posted the 00z GEFS at 192 and basically woofed at it lol

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Get the 00z EURO tonight to form that SLP a lil later (like 6-12 hours) or the arctic front to pass through our region a lil faster and we all enjoy a nice 2-4 for Christmas

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6 minutes ago, Ji said:

Why are their cutters on the gfs

yeah.. the track of the new years storm doesnt really fit the pattern... there is clearly a massive Greenland block and a 50 50 low... I guess those features need to be a little further north and west.. but hey.. I will take it at this range

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43 minutes ago, Ji said:

Why are their cutters on the gfs

Highest heights are not in our favored area, looks like a East based Greenland block. We need that block to retro West into the Davis Straights. That could be one reason, but not the only one. 

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