Prospero Posted November 16, 2020 35 minutes ago, Moderately Unstable said: Extremely off topic but brief FYI--SpaceX is launching their first operational crewed mission to the ISS Just watched it from here! Like a very slow meteor going up, then drifted off to the northeast back down over the trees. Very cool! Yea, off topic, but very cool! Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Windspeed Posted November 16, 2020 Looks like Provencia Island is going to take a direct hit from Iota in the morning. 1 Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Prospero Posted November 16, 2020 9 minutes ago, Windspeed said: Looks like Provencia Island is going to take a direct hit from Iota in the morning. Looks like a beautiful island. I imagine Eta already beat it up a bit. Population about 5K. A big Gilligan's Island. Hopefully Colombia evacuated everybody they could. Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Orangeburgwx Posted November 16, 2020 YikesSent from my LGL322DL using Tapatalk 2 Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Prospero Posted November 16, 2020 Providencia is an IOTA Island, for what's that worth. https://www.iota-world.org/islands-on-the-air/iota-groups-islands/group/564.html Anybody have a radio? Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
hawkeye_wx Posted November 16, 2020 New recon just took off, should be in there around 5:30z. Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
ChasingFlakes Posted November 16, 2020 Looks a bit like an EWRC is occurring starting at 22:30z on IR imagery? Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
JasonOH Posted November 16, 2020 Just now, ChasingFlakes said: Looks a bit like an EWRC is occurring starting at 22:30z on IR imagery? It’s not EWRC. Microwave shows no signs of that Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Prospero Posted November 16, 2020 Never seen a hurricane in a lemon blob before. 2 Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Moderately Unstable Posted November 16, 2020 44 minutes ago, Prospero said: Just watched it from here! Like a very slow meteor going up, then drifted off to the northeast back down over the trees. Very cool! Yea, off topic, but very cool! I did not have that luxury, that is a clear benefit to living in Florida! Honestly with everything happening this year, any piece of good news or "humanity can do it" piece brightens my mood. That was indeed very cool to watch. 2 minutes ago, Prospero said: Never seen a hurricane in a lemon blob before. Mmmm that sounds tasty. And/or discombobulating. Either way I like that the NHC is branching out into mixology. 1 2 Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
STxVortex Posted November 16, 2020 19 minutes ago, Prospero said: Never seen a hurricane in a lemon blob before. I don't recollect ever seeing an 'area of interest' coincide with an active TC before either. NHC progs a 20% chance of a depression+ forming in the lemon blob x5. But it's 2020, what the hell, go for it... A third hit on Central America , Nicaragua, Honduras, would be a bridge too far for those poor bastids though. PF unimaginable to even think of it, something even worse than the way Louisiana's been clobbered this year with TCs. Tropical Weather Outlook Text Tropical Weather Discussion ZCZC MIATWOAT ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 700 PM EST Sun Nov 15 2020 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane Iota, located over the southwestern Caribbean Sea.b 1. An area of low pressure could form in a few days over the central or southwestern Caribbean Sea. Development, if any, of this system should be slow to occur late this week while it moves slowly westward across the southwestern Caribbean Sea. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent. Forecaster Reinhart/Cangialosi Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Amped Posted November 16, 2020 Well that was a big improvement in 9 minutes. Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
nycwinter Posted November 16, 2020 remember when people were saying for years the western caribbean was a graveyard for any hurricanes that sure changed this season.. Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Orangeburgwx Posted November 16, 2020 remember when people were saying for years the western caribbean was a graveyard for any hurricanes that sure changed this season..Anyone who says that needs to look at Mitch and WilmaSent from my LGL322DL using Tapatalk 1 Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
nycwinter Posted November 16, 2020 Just now, Orangeburgwx said: Anyone who says that needs to look at Mitch and Wilma Sent from my LGL322DL using Tapatalk that was a long time ago i was talking about the last few years.. Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Orangeburgwx Posted November 16, 2020 that was a long time ago i was talking about the last few years..Oh, well, the last few years (other than a rare exception) anything that got in the western Caribb. died. Sent from my LGL322DL using Tapatalk Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
jpeters3 Posted November 16, 2020 Just for fun, HWRF: 1 Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
the ghost of leroy Posted November 16, 2020 12 minutes ago, nycwinter said: remember when people were saying for years the western caribbean was a graveyard for any hurricanes that sure changed this season.. You mean the eastern Caribbean. That’s where people say the graveyard is. 2 Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Orangeburgwx Posted November 16, 2020 105mph960 at 10pmSent from my LGL322DL using Tapatalk Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Orangeburgwx Posted November 16, 2020 Forecast max still 120kt 140mphSent from my LGL322DL using Tapatalk Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Orangeburgwx Posted November 16, 2020 Hot tower just erupted in the south eyewallSent from my LGL322DL using Tapatalk Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
hawkeye_wx Posted November 16, 2020 The 1-minute meso floater satellite just turned back on for Iota. https://weather.cod.edu/satrad/?parms=meso-meso2-14-48-1-25-1&checked=map&colorbar=undefined Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Orangeburgwx Posted November 16, 2020 Good...god...Sent from my LGL322DL using Tapatalk 1 Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Morris Posted November 16, 2020 Raw T is up to 6.9 lol 1 Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Morris Posted November 16, 2020 Looks amazing now. Only missing colder convection and warmer eye. 1 Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Orangeburgwx Posted November 16, 2020 Looks amazing now. Only missing colder convection and warmer eye. It is freaking November, cut Iota some slackSent from my LGL322DL using Tapatalk Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Amped Posted November 16, 2020 15 minutes ago, Orangeburgwx said: Good...god... Sent from my LGL322DL using Tapatalk Has that definitely a Cat 3 when recon gets there look Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Floydbuster Posted November 16, 2020 That outflow into the upper low in the Central Atlantic is remarkable. Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Orangeburgwx Posted November 16, 2020 Convection went boom on the south sideSent from my LGL322DL using Tapatalk Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Morris Posted November 16, 2020 Eye is really warming now. Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites