hawkeye_wx Posted November 16, 2020 Recon is heading into the center again, probably for the final time before it has to head back. 1 Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
WxWatcher007 Posted November 16, 2020 4 minutes ago, hawkeye_wx said: Recon is heading into the center again, probably for the final time before it has to head back. 916.7mb extrapolated Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
hawkeye_wx Posted November 16, 2020 The final pass did not record any cat 5 wind in either the south or north eyewall. Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Orangeburgwx Posted November 16, 2020 Possible start of a double wind maxima starting? (Slight bump on both sides of the eye wall curve)Sent from my LGL322DL using Tapatalk Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
LovingGulfLows Posted November 16, 2020 2 minutes ago, hawkeye_wx said: The final pass did not record any cat 5 wind in either the south or north eyewall. It's so bizarre to me how storms this year can't go beyond that 150-155 mph hump.... Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
hawkeye_wx Posted November 16, 2020 918 mb from the final dropsonde. Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
jpeters3 Posted November 16, 2020 6 minutes ago, LovingGulfLows said: It's so bizarre to me how storms this year can't go beyond that 150-155 mph hump.... It's quite likely that it was above the 155 mph hump in earlier recon passes. There are some hints in the IR of a bit of core degradation relative to the peak earlier this morning. 2 Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
WxWatcher007 Posted November 16, 2020 7 minutes ago, LovingGulfLows said: It's so bizarre to me how storms this year can't go beyond that 150-155 mph hump.... Not surprising to me. Category 5s are rare for a reason. Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
LovingGulfLows Posted November 16, 2020 11 minutes ago, jpeters3 said: It's quite likely that it was above the 155 mph hump in earlier recon passes. There are some hints in the IR of a bit of core degradation relative to the peak earlier this morning. This is probably the hurricane most likely to be upgraded post analysis if they don't do it here in the next 20 minutes or so. Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
olafminesaw Posted November 16, 2020 1 minute ago, LovingGulfLows said: This is probably the hurricane most likely to be upgraded post analysis if they don't do it here in the next 20 minutes or so. I don't think they will, with the degradation of satellite appearance Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
sojitodd Posted November 16, 2020 Quote A resident of Bilwi, a coastal town in Nicaragua, said some locals were refusing to leave their homes for fear of catching coronavirus in shared shelters. "Some of us prefer to stay and die in our homes. There has never been a repeat hurricane in such a short time, but what can we do against the force of God and nature," Silvania Zamora told AFP news agency. https://www.bbc.com/news/world-latin-america-54962005 Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
sojitodd Posted November 16, 2020 And it's a cat 5! 917 160 2 Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Moderately Unstable Posted November 16, 2020 It's still marginal. One can make a relative case that the various flight level winds and pressure continue to support between 155 and 160. I agree that the appearance is a touch worse than earlier this am when it was strengthening at an astounding 10mb/hr. It's a question of whether or not they want to go with the earlier unquestionable cat 5 data or the current marginal 5 data. Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
LovingGulfLows Posted November 16, 2020 Welp there we go. 1 Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
eyewall Posted November 16, 2020 10:00 AM EST Mon Nov 16 Location: 13.5°N 82.0°W Moving: W at 9 mph Min pressure: 917 mb Max sustained: 160 mph 1 Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
FLweather Posted November 16, 2020 22 minutes ago, LovingGulfLows said: It's so bizarre to me how storms this year can't go beyond that 150-155 mph hump.... 140 knots that was being recorded earlier are solid 161-162mph. Truth be told there was solid 170mph that was not recorded 1 Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
JakkelWx Posted November 16, 2020 There goes another record! 2 Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
WxWatcher007 Posted November 16, 2020 Second strongest November hurricane on record. 2 Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Windspeed Posted November 16, 2020 RE: Odd flight paths on last recon passes... 1 Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
sojitodd Posted November 16, 2020 Quote Honduras, northern Nicaragua, southeast Guatemala and southern Belize: 10 to 20 inches (250 to 500 mm). Isolated maximum totals of 30 inches (750 mm) will be possible, especially from northeast Nicaragua into northern Honduras. This is going to be very bad. Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
LibertyBell Posted November 16, 2020 1 hour ago, Windspeed said: 1 hour ago, Ed, snow and hurricane fan said: A century since the hyperactive 1933 season, and 2005 and 2020 15 years apart, I think something may be happening to the climate. 2017 was hyperactive. One of the worst Cape Verde seasons we've experienced as well. So technically just 3 years apart. 2012 was no picnic either. Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
WxWatcher007 Posted November 16, 2020 We've had a very impressive stretch with category 5 hurricanes. 2020 keeps the trend going. 2 Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
LibertyBell Posted November 16, 2020 8 minutes ago, FLweather said: 140 knots that was being recorded earlier are solid 161-162mph. Truth be told there was solid 170mph that was not recorded Forecast to strengthen further Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
LibertyBell Posted November 16, 2020 Just now, WxWatcher007 said: We've had a very impressive stretch with category 5 hurricanes. 2020 keeps the trend going. This was the one hurdle that 2020 had not yet jumped over, now it has. Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Floydbuster Posted November 16, 2020 Wow! The first Cat 5 since.....last year. 3 Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
LibertyBell Posted November 16, 2020 1 hour ago, Windspeed said: How does this drop compare to what Wilma did in 2005? This may be 2020's version of Wilma. Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Orangeburgwx Posted November 16, 2020 Sent from my LGL322DL using Tapatalk 1 Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
hawkeye_wx Posted November 16, 2020 Despite the warming climate and flurry of powerful storms we've seen in recent years, the fact that no storms have even flirted with sub-900 mb shows how ridiculous 2005 was (two sub-900 storms, one 902). 3 Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
NorthHillsWx Posted November 16, 2020 Raise your hand if you called the first cat 5 formation of the year to have occurred on November 16... 3 2 Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
NorthHillsWx Posted November 16, 2020 Also, with the data from the first pass, I do not think this was a borderline upgrade. Pressure, FL, SFMR and sat all supported it. If it looks and quacks like a duck, it is a duck 2 Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites