USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted November 2, 2020 Share Posted November 2, 2020 Just now, jpeters3 said: Just looked it up. Looks like it's a C-130. I guess they attached the rocket booster. Its the Super Hercules, WC-130 J Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Prospero Posted November 2, 2020 Share Posted November 2, 2020 Have we ever lost a Hurricane Hunter plane in a storm? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sojitodd Posted November 2, 2020 Share Posted November 2, 2020 1 minute ago, Prospero said: Have we ever lost a Hurricane Hunter plane in a storm? I think in Hurricane Janet in 1955? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted November 2, 2020 Share Posted November 2, 2020 Just now, sojitodd said: I think in Hurricane Janet in 1955? One was lost in the Western Pacific too 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sojitodd Posted November 2, 2020 Share Posted November 2, 2020 1 minute ago, USCAPEWEATHERAF said: One was lost in the Western Pacific too Yeah I was just thinking about any in the Atlantic Basin. You are right I think several have been lost in the Pacific. Let's hope this does not repeat itself and they stay safe. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted November 2, 2020 Share Posted November 2, 2020 Just for comparison. I think the color scale is still the same Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jpeters3 Posted November 2, 2020 Share Posted November 2, 2020 3 minutes ago, Amped said: Just for comparison. I think the color scale is still the same Felix??? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TJW014 Posted November 2, 2020 Share Posted November 2, 2020 11 minutes ago, Prospero said: Have we ever lost a Hurricane Hunter plane in a storm? 1989 Hurricane Hugo was an interesting story. Aircraft lost one and almost two engines penetrating the eyewall and nearly crashed into the ocean from the turbulence. The story was featured on "Air Disasters" on the Smithsonian channel Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hlcater Posted November 2, 2020 Share Posted November 2, 2020 -18c core temp with a -84c convective ring. Almost certainly a high end cat 4, and if this continues, recon may very well find a cat 5. (there's one whole pixel of -18c in the core). Checked it on RealEarth. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Prospero Posted November 2, 2020 Share Posted November 2, 2020 The larger of the three islands that Eta is soon to pound is Miskito Cay. It has people living on it. The official website says this, "The Miskito Cays were strongly affected by the devestating Hurricane Felix. Currently, tourism in this area is hardly possible, as the local community is still recovering." https://vianica.com/go/specials/24-miskito-cays-nicaragua.html Scary 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WhirlingWx Posted November 2, 2020 Share Posted November 2, 2020 Already some nasty flooding in Nicaragua. Saw a video on twitter of likely dozens of poor cows being washed away Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hawkeye_wx Posted November 2, 2020 Share Posted November 2, 2020 Eta continues to strengthen. Even colder tops are uniformly wrapping around the warming eye. I'm not even sure what pressure recon is going to find. 930 something maybe? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hlcater Posted November 2, 2020 Share Posted November 2, 2020 Eta's eye is warming multiple degrees every satellite scan. Now up to -16. (I promise I wont play by play it ) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jpeters3 Posted November 2, 2020 Share Posted November 2, 2020 Latest Raw T in at 7.4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sojitodd Posted November 2, 2020 Share Posted November 2, 2020 4 minutes ago, Prospero said: The larger of the three islands that Eta is soon to pound is Miskito Cay. It has people living on it. The official website says this, "The Miskito Cays were strongly affected by the devestating Hurricane Felix. Currently, tourism in this area is hardly possible, as the local community is still recovering." https://vianica.com/go/specials/24-miskito-cays-nicaragua.html Scary It looks like the eye is directly east of that island per the post directly preceding yours...and that would put it only about 20 miles north of Puerto Cabezas. It had better not drift further to the southwest or it could go right over them. It will probably be bad enough as it is. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JakkelWx Posted November 2, 2020 Share Posted November 2, 2020 Best it's looked in hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowLover22 Posted November 2, 2020 Share Posted November 2, 2020 if you want min by min updates https://weather.cod.edu/satrad/?parms=meso-meso2-13-24-0-100-1&checked=map&colorbar=data Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Boston Bulldog Posted November 2, 2020 Share Posted November 2, 2020 Wow, NHC goes with 150mph, 934mb for the 7pm advisory Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Normandy Posted November 3, 2020 Share Posted November 3, 2020 We are at the point now where I think the question isn't if it's a category 5 anymore....the question is how strong of a Cat 5 it is. On pins and needles waiting for recon now. My guess: 155 knots. 904 mb. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Prospero Posted November 3, 2020 Share Posted November 3, 2020 7 minutes ago, sojitodd said: It looks like the eye is directly east of that island per the post directly preceding yours...and that would put it only about 20 miles north of Puerto Cabezas. It had better not drift further to the southwest or it could go right over them. It will probably be bad enough as it is. It appears they did evacuate as much as possible based on a Sunday news report: Quote As a first step, the naval force and fishing companies are helping to evacuate the indigenous Miskito families living in the Miskito Cays, off the coast of the northern Caribbean, Sinapred director Guillermo González told the official Channel 4. https://ticotimes.net/2020/11/01/nicaragua-declares-preventive-alert-as-tropical-storm-eta-threatens 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hawkeye_wx Posted November 3, 2020 Share Posted November 3, 2020 Yep, the satellite presentation is improving rapidly this evening from the high level it already was. Recon should be there in a couple hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jpeters3 Posted November 3, 2020 Share Posted November 3, 2020 For reference, recon is about 33% of the way there, with 2-2.5 hours to go. The storm is ~ 60-70 miles from shore, moving WSW at 9 mph. So roughly 6-8 hours before landfall. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
olafminesaw Posted November 3, 2020 Share Posted November 3, 2020 I'm guessing it's around 140-150kts atm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Radtechwxman Posted November 3, 2020 Share Posted November 3, 2020 I can't wait to see what recon gets Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Prospero Posted November 3, 2020 Share Posted November 3, 2020 Another jog to the south... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Will - Rutgers Posted November 3, 2020 Share Posted November 3, 2020 wow. what're the odds the season's last storm is its most powerful? unless, of course, the atmosphere intends to keep spawning storms through late fall... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Prospero Posted November 3, 2020 Share Posted November 3, 2020 1 minute ago, Will - Rutgers said: wow. what're the odds the season's last storm is its most powerful? unless, of course, the atmosphere intends to keep spawning storms through late fall... My guess is the odds are that this is not the last storm of the season. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jpeters3 Posted November 3, 2020 Share Posted November 3, 2020 lol, raw T up to 7.7... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jpeters3 Posted November 3, 2020 Share Posted November 3, 2020 Just now, Prospero said: My guess is the odds are that this is not the last storm of the season. This ^^^ There were storms all the way into January in 2005. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moderately Unstable Posted November 3, 2020 Share Posted November 3, 2020 Well, while it is 2020, the year of anything is possible (tm), I think the analog years (2005), the continued warmth of much of the atlantic, favorable upper level patterns, and general trends both as a meteorologist and in looking at models all point to this not being the last storm. This will likely be a year in which we continue to see storm generation through November, into potentially December or even early January. The fact we have what is effectively a cat 5 at the start of November means that this isn't the last rodeo. In fact, most models the last few weeks have popcorned various new storms across the basin the next few weeks. The specifics change run to run. I don't want to get into the weeds here as this is more appropriate to discuss in the 2020 season thread. But, short version: this is probably not the last storm. This IS however almost definitely the most powerful storm of the season and historic for central america. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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