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October Discobs 2020


George BM
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06z euro has 2"+ amounts by late thursday evening with plenty more to go....00z UK with a broad area of 3"+ for the region.  WPC 2"+...

Will be interesting to see how things evolve with a large HP pressure pushing in as Zeta and the ULL work in tandem to flood the east with plenty of moisture.

NgjV9xq.gif

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Hmmm... 11pm update

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT  27/0300Z 20.2N  87.1W   70 KT  80 MPH
 12H  27/1200Z 21.3N  88.8W   60 KT  70 MPH...INLAND
 24H  28/0000Z 23.1N  90.7W   65 KT  75 MPH...OVER WATER
 36H  28/1200Z 25.6N  91.6W   75 KT  85 MPH
 48H  29/0000Z 29.1N  90.1W   65 KT  75 MPH
 60H  29/1200Z 33.8N  85.7W   35 KT  40 MPH...INLAND
 72H  30/0000Z 38.5N  76.5W   45 KT  50 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
 96H  31/0000Z...DISSIPATED

$$
Forecaster Blake

 

031225_5day_cone_with_line_and_wind.png

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3 hours ago, BlizzardNole said:

From LWX:  "While it appears that the best frontogenetical forcing (along the 850mb boundary) may set up to our north and the best instability and
tropical moisture (from the remnants of Zeta) may set up to our south..."

Yep, I am expecting 0.2 or less here in the central MD desert.

A good rule of thumb is: whatever the models show for rain, move the decimal once to the left for Germantown, and once to the right for southern MD. :lol:

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Great, just what I need here lol. I like the possibility of the first freezing temp Friday night, and Saturday looks awesome with sun and maybe 50.

Wednesday Night
Rain, mainly after 2am. Low around 56. Calm wind becoming east around 5 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80%. New precipitation amounts between a quarter and half of an inch possible.
Thursday
Rain. The rain could be heavy at times. High near 66. Southeast wind 5 to 10 mph. Chance of precipitation is 90%. New precipitation amounts between 1 and 2 inches possible.
Thursday Night
Rain. Low around 47. Northeast wind around 10 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80%. New precipitation amounts between 1 and 2 inches possible.
Friday
Rain likely, mainly before 8am. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 54. Chance of precipitation is 60%. New precipitation amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch possible.
Friday Night
Partly cloudy, with a low around 32.
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