Buckeyes_Suck Posted October 27, 2020 Share Posted October 27, 2020 47 minutes ago, Thinksnow18 said: I mean what’s the fun of a big storm only to have it wash down the drain 2 days later? That’s no different than winning 30k on a bet and it’s gone 3 hours later That would be a wild 3 hours though 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ericjcrash Posted October 27, 2020 Share Posted October 27, 2020 CMC is also sexy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-LES FREAK Posted October 27, 2020 Share Posted October 27, 2020 Nice GFS run too.For who? Sent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-LES FREAK Posted October 27, 2020 Share Posted October 27, 2020 Super elevation dependent Sent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ericjcrash Posted October 27, 2020 Share Posted October 27, 2020 Just now, CNY-LES FREAK said: For who? Sent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk Those of us not lucky enough to get pounded by LES. Let us live. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted October 27, 2020 Author Share Posted October 27, 2020 58 minutes ago, Thinksnow18 said: I mean what’s the fun of a big storm only to have it wash down the drain 2 days later? That’s no different than winning 30k on a bet and it’s gone 3 hours later Both Dec 2001 and Nov 2014 melted within a week after. I would take those 2 events over anything else I've experienced here in winter. I just want enough snow to cross country ski/hike in. Other than that I do not care how much is on the ground. Rather I care about big LES events with high snowfall rates. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted October 27, 2020 Share Posted October 27, 2020 Some streamers behind the next CF? Been floating around various models lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ericjcrash Posted October 27, 2020 Share Posted October 27, 2020 UK is a nice hit for a bunch as well. Getting closer to a consensus, we'll see what the Euro brings next. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ericjcrash Posted October 27, 2020 Share Posted October 27, 2020 Not the best but we take it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted October 27, 2020 Share Posted October 27, 2020 Maybe we see our first flakes on Friday AM.. European like other guidance has some flakes next week behind a CF and another clipper like system.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vortmax Posted October 27, 2020 Share Posted October 27, 2020 South shore removed from HWO. Makes sense. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cleetussnow Posted October 27, 2020 Share Posted October 27, 2020 We have a another day or so to sort where this sets up exactly so good enough for me. It is interesting no matter where exactly the jack is. Good little storm for someone esp. for October. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ericjcrash Posted October 27, 2020 Share Posted October 27, 2020 On 10/14/2020 at 7:50 PM, lakeeffectkid383 said: Lock it in. 1-2 feet for most of upstate! The irony of the fantasy storm coming to fruition albeit not as ridiculous and much further SE isn't lost. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-LES FREAK Posted October 27, 2020 Share Posted October 27, 2020 Suffice to say most, if not all, sees their first flakes of the season before the second week of November!Sent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted October 27, 2020 Share Posted October 27, 2020 Mix of snow/sleet/rain at the moment, 35°.. VID_20201027_170825.mp4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ericjcrash Posted October 27, 2020 Share Posted October 27, 2020 3 minutes ago, wolfie09 said: Hard to see but a mix of snow/sleet/rain at the moment, 35°.. VID_20201027_161413.mp4 Jealous. You flake. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sferic Posted October 27, 2020 Share Posted October 27, 2020 Here in Liberty NY looks like a few to several inches of snow..not too shabby for October IF it comes to fruition 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ericjcrash Posted October 27, 2020 Share Posted October 27, 2020 18 minutes ago, sferic said: Here in Liberty NY looks like a few to several inches of snow..not too shabby for October IF it comes to fruition I'll be omw up Thursday afternoon. Should be a decent Friday morning. Hopefully 2000' should help. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ericjcrash Posted October 27, 2020 Share Posted October 27, 2020 Seems reasonable. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ericjcrash Posted October 27, 2020 Share Posted October 27, 2020 RGEM is too Amped actually lol. NAM sheared out mess and RGEM is too much. Gotta love October 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
crossbowftw3 Posted October 27, 2020 Share Posted October 27, 2020 16 minutes ago, Ericjcrash said: Seems reasonable. Gonna get skunked at only 800' here in SW Sullivan. Maybe I'll find some cams and watch the snow Friday morning....and cherish the maybe coating that I get here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ericjcrash Posted October 27, 2020 Share Posted October 27, 2020 8 minutes ago, crossbowftw3 said: Gonna get skunked at only 800' here in SW Sullivan. Maybe I'll find some cams and watch the snow Friday morning....and cherish the maybe coating that I get here. I'll be posting pics, if it snows of course. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
crossbowftw3 Posted October 27, 2020 Share Posted October 27, 2020 1 minute ago, Ericjcrash said: I'll be posting pics, if it snows of course. Regardless flakes is a win this early on in the season. Typical early season setup will do as it typically does here I think and BGM is doing well to paint the picture. We will all get ours soon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted October 27, 2020 Share Posted October 27, 2020 Flipped to all snow here, 33°, some sticking on cars.. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ericjcrash Posted October 27, 2020 Share Posted October 27, 2020 7 minutes ago, wolfie09 said: Flipped to all snow here, 33°, some sticking on cars.. Jealous. You do more than flake. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted October 27, 2020 Share Posted October 27, 2020 Couple opportunities next week.. The next upper level trough and associated cold front is expected to track across the Great Lakes Sunday. The trough will sharpen over the Great Lakes by late Sunday, with the cold front reaching the eastern Great Lakes in the afternoon. This will bring increasing clouds and a chance of a few rain showers, especially in the afternoon. Behind the cold front Sunday, cold advection will bring a return to below normal temperatures Sunday night and Monday. WNW flow and wrap around moisture may support some broad lake effect rain and snow showers Sunday night through Monday morning, especially southeast of the lakes. Forecast uncertainty increases somewhat by Monday afternoon and Tuesday. A wave of low pressure and mid level trough pass to the north across Canada Monday evening into Tuesday. The ECMWF and Global GEM are stronger and farther south with this feature than the flat wave depicted by the GFS. If the stronger solutions verify, a fresh batch of cold air would arrive later Monday into Tuesday with a few more lake effect rain and snow showers east and southeast of the lakes. For now, kept low chance POPS through this period. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted October 27, 2020 Share Posted October 27, 2020 My parents called last night, saying they heard "we could get a foot of snow" on Friday. I told them there was no way it was going to happen. They live in PA. I have lived in the Great Lakes weather zones long enough to know how these things generally work. As of this evening, looks like it just misses Syracuse to the south. I even told myself I was NOT going to check things out this week and see what happens...I couldn't wait...lol...and even though I'm not at all surprised it's looking meh for here, I'm still shocked...haha. Good prep for winter. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted October 27, 2020 Share Posted October 27, 2020 Starting to slow down a bit, first light accumulation on the young season.. 6 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ericjcrash Posted October 27, 2020 Share Posted October 27, 2020 1 minute ago, wolfie09 said: Starting to slow down a bit, first light accumulation on the young season.. Congrats! That'll hold you over. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted October 27, 2020 Share Posted October 27, 2020 11 minutes ago, wolfie09 said: Starting to slow down a bit, first light accumulation on the young season.. Nice! I'm definitely envious. For now, I'll watch it live on Watertown's webcam...one of my favorites. https://www.webcamtaxi.com/en/usa/new-york/watertown-thompson-park.html 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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