AnthonyEC Posted September 16, 2020 16.2 not 19.2 Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Prospero Posted September 16, 2020 This is a good map to check out: https://waterwatch.usgs.gov/?m=real&r=fl You can click on the dots to see current stage. 1 Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
dan11295 Posted September 16, 2020 Wind damage is going to be worse that normal for the landfall speed. Combination of intensifying storm and slow movement. Getting reports of both wind and surge damage in in coastal Alabama, including Gulf Shores and Orange Beach Pensacola getting whacked. Combination of east eyewall, surge and freshwater flooding. 1 Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
SnoSki14 Posted September 16, 2020 Damage is gonna be really bad with this one. Surge & flooding impacts enhanced due to slow forward movement and intensification up till landfall. Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Derecho! Posted September 16, 2020 So KMOB radar is toast? Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
eyewall Posted September 16, 2020 The blowout tide in Mobile Bay has to be causing a bay side surge in Fort Morgan and Gulf Highlands. Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
WSchew Posted September 16, 2020 Sept 16th - 16 years ago 5 1 1 Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Windspeed Posted September 16, 2020 Downtown Pensacola is now in the eye. Sally does appear to have begun weakening. The eye is filling on satellite. Still an impressive hurricane. Due to the incredibly long duration of time over the same areas, the damage might look worse than a Category 2. Hopefully since much of this area has been hit numerous times over the past 20 years, building structures will be up to code and they are weathering the wind event well. Unfortunately areas susceptible to surge and inland flooding might still have significant damage regardless. 1 Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
j24vt Posted September 16, 2020 I think inland freshwater flash flooding is going to be a huge issue once Sally drags all that Gulf moisture north Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
CoastalWx Posted September 16, 2020 Yeah honestly many buildings nowadays easily withstand Cat 2 winds and even to some extent 3 winds with minor structural damage. It really takes a strong 3 or higher to cause true siggy structural damage on newer codes. This one will have surge and freshwater flooding as the biggest hazard. I think that always has been the case. 6 Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Maestrobjwa Posted September 16, 2020 1 hour ago, WSchew said: Sept 16th - 16 years ago Wow...how does that even happen exactly 16 years later in the exact same spot?? 2020ing... 1 Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
brianc33710 Posted September 16, 2020 7 hours ago, MSUgulfcoaster said: Coastal towns from Dauphin Island to Pensacola have already received close to a foot of rain, that will double over the next 12 hours, and I wouldn’t be surprised at all if that tripled in some isolated areas that catch a nasty rain band camped over their location. The NHC does now say isolated pockets of up to 35" of rain. Let's just add an inch to make that an even 3'. Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
CoastalWx Posted September 16, 2020 Looks like that river in West Pensacola just set a new record. Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Morris Posted September 16, 2020 Digital Storm Total Accumulation on radar has several areas around or over 3 feet of rain already. 1 Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Prospero Posted September 16, 2020 8 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Looks like that river in West Pensacola just set a new record. Sure does. And the 9:30 update has not been displayed yet. Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
brianc33710 Posted September 16, 2020 7 hours ago, Hotair said: Imagine experiencing hurricane intensity winds Continuously for 10+ hours ? There is a potential of that around Gulf Shores today. Hurricane Danny produced 75 mph winds along the AL for approximately 24 hours. Needless to say this resulted in damage much worse than a typical basement-level hurricane. But, 75 v 105 is a substantial difference. Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
jm1220 Posted September 16, 2020 11 minutes ago, Prospero said: Sure does. And the 9:30 update has not been displayed yet. The insane rain totals must really hurt too since that’s combining with the surge. Nowhere for any water to go. Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
CoastalWx Posted September 16, 2020 Thousands? Is that for real? I hope not. Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
WxWatcher007 Posted September 16, 2020 2 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Thousands? Is that for real? I hope not. Yeah, that's directly from the sheriff. Seems like most are not in particularly dangerous situations though? Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
sojitodd Posted September 16, 2020 Pensacola NAS recorded 24.8 inches of rain. https://www.usatoday.com/story/news/nation/2020/09/16/hurricane-sally-tracker-updates-landfall-alabama-florida-rain/5814379002/ Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Leo Posted September 16, 2020 I just woke up and I'm seeing a number on people calling for water rescues along the Florida panhandle. I can't really say they are to blame for not evacuating though because the focus was waaayyyyyy westward just a couples days ago. Given how slow sally is, by the time the actual hurricane warnings were up I'm sure it was too late for most people. Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Wild Weather Monger Posted September 16, 2020 18 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Thousands? Is that for real? I hope not. Considering many people living there had to think the storm would not be nearly as bad there as ground truth, it's to be expected. I pray that the perfectly reasonable forecast of little change in strength when Sally was a generous 85 mph cane yesterday afternoon didn't cause less cautious people to be trapped in a bad spot. Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Amped Posted September 16, 2020 At least the rain is almost done in Pennsicola. Got a long way to go in Panama City. Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
NorthHillsWx Posted September 16, 2020 24 minutes ago, WxWatcher007 said: Yeah, that's directly from the sheriff. Seems like most are not in particularly dangerous situations though? Besides the family rescued from a tree... Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
sojitodd Posted September 16, 2020 1 hour ago, Prospero said: Sure does. And the 9:30 update has not been displayed yet. Why is this gage site showing a maximum of 21.73 on 4/30/2004 in the table for peak on the flood tracking chart builder on that link? Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
brianc33710 Posted September 16, 2020 TWC website shows Belleview, a little NW of Pensacola, had recorded 30" of rain 2 or so hours ago. And its rained more since then. Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
NorthHillsWx Posted September 16, 2020 I wonder if these painfully slow moving storms increasing in frequency is the beginning of a long term climate trend or just an unfortunate coincidence. Harvey, Florence, and Sally all produced over 30 inches of rain 1 Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
WxWatcher007 Posted September 16, 2020 46 minutes ago, NorthHillsWx said: Besides the family rescued from a tree... Yeah. I saw that in the article. Better one than one hundred.. Don't forget Imelda in that list of slow moving storms. That was a huge rain maker too. 1 Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
eyewall Posted September 16, 2020 18.03 feet on Elevenmile Creek now Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
