StormChaser4Life Posted September 16, 2020 Lol Sally keeps on trolling. Rapidly intensified randomly with a pretty high pressure given 100mph winds. Then the winds dropped but pressure remained steady. Now the pressure is dropping but most of that resulted in a larger wind field instead of a storm with much higher windspeeds. 972mb is pretty low for only 85mph. What an odd hurricane 3 Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Calderon Posted September 16, 2020 Starting to get multiple embedded circulations from Okaloosa to Gulf Counties, with 2 currently about to com ashore near Destin & St. Andrews State Park (eastern tip of PCB). 2 Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
WxWatcher007 Posted September 16, 2020 6 minutes ago, hawkeye_wx said: 973 mb with 9 kt wind Sally is doing pretty well for a slow-moving system over shelf waters. Just as the hurricane models predicted. Really interesting to see another hurricane intensify on final approach. Even happened with Paulette and Nana. All the “action” this season has been close to a coastline. 5 Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
SnowLover22 Posted September 16, 2020 13 minutes ago, WxWatcher007 said: Just as the hurricane models predicted. Really interesting to see another hurricane intensify on final approach. Even happened with Paulette and Nana. All the “action” this season has been close to a coastline. I think if we were giving out grades HWRF would get a B or an A- I would think so far this season. It seems to have had a good handle on things once TC genesis has occurred and there is a developed system. Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
brianc33710 Posted September 16, 2020 OK TWC says Dauphin Island gusts now 80, mph Ft. Morgan 82, eyewall just south of coast. Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
beanskip Posted September 16, 2020 FWIW (admittedly, not a whole lot, but not nothing either) the HRRR keeps trending toward a sharper right turn at landfall, bringing Sally across extreme NW Florida and then moving almost due east, paralleling the Florida/Alabama line toward Dothan. Other models have trended more east, but not as pronounced as this -- would shift the inland rain threat to the east if accurate. Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Orangeburgwx Posted September 16, 2020 Look at the radar, eyewall really closing up on the south side... It might go BOOMSent from my LML212VL using Tapatalk Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
SnowLover22 Posted September 16, 2020 3 minutes ago, Orangeburgwx said: Look at the radar, eyewall really closing up on the south side... It might go BOOM Sent from my LML212VL using Tapatalk How much time does it have left before landfall? like 3-4 hours? Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
StormChaser4Life Posted September 16, 2020 4 minutes ago, Orangeburgwx said: Look at the radar, eyewall really closing up on the south side... It might go BOOM Sent from my LML212VL using Tapatalk It's definitely looking better on IR and radar. Sally still trying to amp up before it landfalls around Halloween 1 8 Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
beanskip Posted September 16, 2020 And the 0z NAM (again, I know ....) also slides a little east -- now showing landfall JUST west of the Fla/Ala. line near Orange Beach/Perdido. Also shows a slight delay on landfall and some strengthening that wasn't there on 12z run (gets it down to 976 mb). Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Amped Posted September 16, 2020 5 minutes ago, Orangeburgwx said: Look at the radar, eyewall really closing up on the south side... It might go BOOM Sent from my LML212VL using Tapatalk It's done that many times today already. Every hour a new dryslot appears on the south side, then fills in. Almost like there's a schedule. Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Alfoman Posted September 16, 2020 Going to be an interesting pass by recon, this is the best that northern eyewall has looked all day on radar, even if the southern eye wall refuses to close off. Velocities of 100-110 mph becoming more consolidated just a few thousand feet up on the KMOB radar. Let's see if some of the higher wind speeds are able to mix down over the next few hours Land friction will also likely help Sally consolidate her structure closer to landfall Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
MUWX Posted September 16, 2020 Just now, Alfoman said: Going to be an interesting pass by recon, this is the best that northern eyewall has looked all day on radar, even if the southern eye wall refuses to close off. Velocities of 100-110 mph becoming more consolidated just a few thousand feet up on the KMOB radar. Let's see if some of the higher wind speeds are able to mix down over the next few hours Land friction will also likely help Sally consolidate her structure closer to landfall Eye looks closed on radar Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Alfoman Posted September 16, 2020 Just now, MUWX said: Eye looks closed on radar I won't believe its closed off until the dry slot can stay away for longer than an hour at a time 1 Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
WxWatcher007 Posted September 16, 2020 Sally is really trying to get right before landfall. Impressive satellite and radar presentation. Velocities continue to go up. 1 Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
friedmators Posted September 16, 2020 969.7 extrap 2 Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Amped Posted September 16, 2020 6 minutes ago, WxWatcher007 said: Sally is really trying to get right before landfall. Impressive satellite and radar presentation. Velocities continue to go up. Satellite is almost perfect. Showing no real signs of being under shear, just some small dry air intrusions. Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
CheeselandSkies Posted September 16, 2020 3 minutes ago, friedmators said: 969.7 extrap Oh my. Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
the ghost of leroy Posted September 16, 2020 1 hour ago, StormChaser4Life said: Lol Sally keeps on trolling. Rapidly intensified randomly with a pretty high pressure given 100mph winds. Then the winds dropped but pressure remained steady. Now the pressure is dropping but most of that resulted in a larger wind field instead of a storm with much higher windspeeds. 972mb is pretty low for only 85mph. What an odd hurricane exactly. I’ve come to appreciate this storm for sure. 4 Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
jojo762 Posted September 16, 2020 About to potentially get the first truly closed eyewall of Sally’s life. 1 Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Calderon Posted September 16, 2020 21 minutes ago, SnowLover22 said: How much time does it have left before landfall? like 3-4 hours? It's at least triple that, at minimum. 1 Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
CheeselandSkies Posted September 16, 2020 At least Sally is going to pass close enough to a radar site (KMOB) for the eyewall to be resolved in great detail, yet (probably) without dealing it a knockout blow like LCH. Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
the ghost of leroy Posted September 16, 2020 1 minute ago, Calderon said: It's at least triple that, at minimum. Plenty of time for turtlehurricane’s cat 4 1 5 Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
friedmators Posted September 16, 2020 that sonde shows 99 knots at 969mb but no surface indication. meso? Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
NavarreDon Posted September 16, 2020 We are getting pounded right now!. 1 Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
hawkeye_wx Posted September 16, 2020 Still 972 mb. Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Calderon Posted September 16, 2020 Just now, CheeselandSkies said: At least Sally is going to pass close enough to a radar site (KMOB) for the eyewall to be resolved in great detail, yet (probably) without dealing it a knockout blow like LCH. Don't forget Eglin AFB (EVX) that was the Michael tracker since TLH couldn't even make it through TS-force gusts. Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
jojo762 Posted September 16, 2020 2 minutes ago, Calderon said: It's at least triple that, at minimum. Approximately 42 miles from landfall between Gulf Shores and Dauhpin island with the current NNE 2mph heading... uhh yeah... 2 1 Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
StormChaser4Life Posted September 16, 2020 1 minute ago, hawkeye_wx said: Still 972 mb. Okay I get super confused on extrapolated pressure. Is that what their estimating at the sfc based on the dropsonde? I saw someone said 969.7 extrap Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
the ghost of leroy Posted September 16, 2020 3 minutes ago, NavarreDon said: We are getting pounded right now! . Head south a little and give us a report 6 Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
