Local Yokel Wx Posted January 6, 2021 Share Posted January 6, 2021 1 minute ago, jrips27 said: Hey y’all! I’m pondering chasing this storm up in the southern mountains somewhere. Probably somewhere on the 64 corridor Look at one of these - cashiers- lake toxaway - brevard- Hendersonville Thought I would turn to the local experts. Any advice in places that usually do good in these type of set ups? Higher up the better, closer to the escarpment the better. Anything above 3000' will feature very good snow rates and all snow throughout the event. Not factoring in lodging rates, I would push to Lake Toxaway and Sapphire Valley, but like you and @BlueRidgeFolklore have mentioned, anywhere along the 64 corridor will be gravy. If you can make the extra 20 min drive, Yellow Mountain nearby Lake Glenville is a decent spot with its 5k plus elevation and there are airbnbs up there. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BretWx Posted January 6, 2021 Share Posted January 6, 2021 12Z GFS officially a dud, haha. Extremely dry and warm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted January 6, 2021 Author Share Posted January 6, 2021 The GFS just keeps getting worst and worst with the snow totals. Im not sure if it is just that far off or it sees something else... But it's pretty pathetic. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
franklin NCwx Posted January 6, 2021 Share Posted January 6, 2021 19 minutes ago, jrips27 said: Hey y’all! I’m pondering chasing this storm up in the southern mountains somewhere. Probably somewhere on the 64 corridor Look at one of these - cashiers- lake toxaway - brevard- Hendersonville Thought I would turn to the local experts. Any advice in places that usually do good in these type of set ups? Highlands to cashiers would be your best bet. Easy to find a spot above 4000ft Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted January 6, 2021 Author Share Posted January 6, 2021 With the GFS the storm just looks unorganized with very little moisture. The more moisture the better. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowbird1230 Posted January 6, 2021 Share Posted January 6, 2021 Its hard to ever argue against GSP..they have never been to excited about this storm,especially with their accumulation maps 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tyler Penland Posted January 6, 2021 Share Posted January 6, 2021 The overnight models dont really impress me with this storm. The GFS looks very moisture starved to me, the NAM looks decent and the euro has cut back on totals a lot. Again to me not good signs if you are looking for a big snow fellas.I missed out on the Christmas snow and never saw more than 2" last year. So anything over 2" will be a vast improvement IMBY. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted January 6, 2021 Author Share Posted January 6, 2021 Just now, Tyler Penland said: 5 hours ago, Met1985 said: The overnight models dont really impress me with this storm. The GFS looks very moisture starved to me, the NAM looks decent and the euro has cut back on totals a lot. Again to me not good signs if you are looking for a big snow fellas. I missed out on the Christmas snow and never saw more than 2" last year. So anything over 2" will be a vast improvement IMBY. I hear ya Tyler. Shoot we have already done much better this season than last. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BretWx Posted January 6, 2021 Share Posted January 6, 2021 Very interested to see which GFS wins w/ this one. Especially in regard to Monday's storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blue_Ridge_Escarpment Posted January 6, 2021 Share Posted January 6, 2021 10 minutes ago, BretWx said: Very interested to see which GFS wins w/ this one. Especially in regard to Monday's storm. Well the current GFS just folded to the euro. Shocked 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted January 6, 2021 Author Share Posted January 6, 2021 One thing I see on the GFS is that there are several chances for snow coming up. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ncjoaquin Posted January 6, 2021 Share Posted January 6, 2021 Normally conservative Jason Boyer WLOS throwing all his cards on the table for this one. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blue_Ridge_Escarpment Posted January 6, 2021 Share Posted January 6, 2021 12Z euro has pancakes flying Friday morning. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Local Yokel Wx Posted January 6, 2021 Share Posted January 6, 2021 4 minutes ago, ncjoaquin said: Normally conservative Jason Boyer WLOS throwing all his cards on the table for this one. Indeed... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted January 6, 2021 Share Posted January 6, 2021 Euro just crushed everyone 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BretWx Posted January 6, 2021 Share Posted January 6, 2021 Euro, CHECK PLEASE! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BretWx Posted January 6, 2021 Share Posted January 6, 2021 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
strongwxnc Posted January 6, 2021 Share Posted January 6, 2021 6 minutes ago, wncsnow said: Euro just crushed everyone Even down this way and into upstate and Cleveland county with 5-7" totals. Nam + Euro 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BretWx Posted January 6, 2021 Share Posted January 6, 2021 Big increase in QPF. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
franklin NCwx Posted January 6, 2021 Share Posted January 6, 2021 1 minute ago, Maggie Ace said: Going to be hard not to get Winter Storm Watches hoisted this afternoon for the Mountains and the Foothills. The 12Z ECMWF certainly painted an interesting picture regarding potential totals. My hunch is someone is looking at final totals early Saturday nearing a foot. Time will tell. Combined with the para gfs and the nam. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted January 6, 2021 Share Posted January 6, 2021 Just now, BretWx said: Big increase in QPF. Classic SE flow. Blue ridge escarpment will have power issues 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NavarreDon Posted January 6, 2021 Share Posted January 6, 2021 Big increase in QPF.Interesting! The exact opposite of the normal French Broad Valley moisture starved hole.. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
strongwxnc Posted January 6, 2021 Share Posted January 6, 2021 TEXT off the 12NAM for KFQD showing 4.5"+ HR Valid 2m Tmp 2m Dpt 10m Dir 10m Spd TPrcp CPrcp 1000-500 500mb 850mb 500mb MSLP TCC PRS WX Tot Snowfall Vis Deg F Deg F deg kt in. in. Thk GPH Tmp Tmp mb % TEXT Clouds in SM 42 01/08 06Z 34 33 58 5 0.06 0.00 541 556 -2.9 -20.4 1019 100 RA 017OVC230 0.2 4.8 45 01/08 09Z 33 32 53 8 0.17 0.00 540 554 -3.0 -22.2 1016 100 SN 009OVC233 0.4 3.5 48 01/08 12Z 32 31 45 8 0.14 0.00 538 552 -3.0 -23.0 1017 100 -SN 012OVC142 1.1 4.9 51 01/08 15Z 32 31 26 8 0.06 0.00 538 551 -2.0 -24.0 1016 100 PL 021OVC239 0.3 2.1 54 01/08 18Z 32 31 1 7 0.35 0.00 537 550 -1.6 -23.8 1015 100 SN 019OVC239 3.1 0.1 57 01/08 21Z 35 33 13 7 0.15 0.00 539 550 -0.4 -22.6 1013 100 -RA 036OVC090 0.0 16.3 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buckethead Posted January 6, 2021 Share Posted January 6, 2021 Indeed... Something tells me I'll have a little more than 2-4" up here counting the nwf behind the system. Someone down SW of may get double my total. I hope y'all get nailed. Sent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BretWx Posted January 6, 2021 Share Posted January 6, 2021 Friday is my 10th anniversary of joining the site. A good snow would be perfect! 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted January 6, 2021 Author Share Posted January 6, 2021 24 minutes ago, BretWx said: This is more in line with what I think will happen for us here in the mountains. Im sold on the Euro. This is much more in line I think. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted January 6, 2021 Author Share Posted January 6, 2021 24 minutes ago, Maggie Ace said: Going to be hard not to get Winter Storm Watches hoisted this afternoon for the Mountains and the Foothills. The 12Z ECMWF certainly painted an interesting picture regarding potential totals. My hunch is someone is looking at final totals early Saturday nearing a foot. Time will tell. Was thinking the same especially with the EURO and NAM going the way they are. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BretWx Posted January 6, 2021 Share Posted January 6, 2021 Wondering if GSP will issue WSW this afternoon or tomorrow morning. Hopefully this afternoon. A celebratory beer is in order. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted January 6, 2021 Author Share Posted January 6, 2021 13 minutes ago, Buckethead said: Something tells me I'll have a little more than 2-4" up here counting the nwf behind the system. Someone down SW of may get double my total. I hope y'all get nailed. Sent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk Yeah sometimes these storms either underperform or overperform in these type setups. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted January 6, 2021 Author Share Posted January 6, 2021 1 minute ago, BretWx said: Wondering if GSP will issue WSW this afternoon or tomorrow morning. Hopefully this afternoon. A celebratory beer is in order. I think something will come out this afternoon to warn the public ahead of time. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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