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September 2020 General Discussion


Hoosier
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On 9/11/2020 at 10:12 PM, Hoosier said:

No guarantees but one of the better sneak attack hurricane potentials in the Gulf in a while. 

 

#michiganhurricane

 

Quote

- THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST
      UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Tornadoes not expected
        - The tornado threat has remained nearly steady from the
          previous assessment.
        - PLAN: Tornadoes are not expected. Showers and thunderstorms
          with gusty winds may still occur.
        - PREPARE: Little to no preparations needed to protect
          against tornadoes at this time. Keep informed of the latest
          tornado situation.
        - ACT: Listen for changes in the forecast.

    - POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Little to None
        - Little to no potential impacts from tornadoes.

 

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Exciting forecast

At least there will be sun

 

.TONIGHT...Mostly clear. Patchy fog after midnight. Lows in the
mid 50s. North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny. Patchy fog in the morning. Highs in the
lower 70s. Northeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows around 50. East winds 5 to 10 mph in
the evening becoming southeast after midnight.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 50s. South winds
5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs around 80.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs around 70. Then temperatures
falling into the mid 60s by evening.
.THURSDAY NIGHT AND FRIDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 40s.
Highs in the mid 60s.
.FRIDAY NIGHT AND SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the 40s. Highs
in the upper 60s.
.SATURDAY NIGHT AND SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 40s.
Highs in the lower 70s.
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49 minutes ago, purduewx80 said:

Obviously smoky in the upper levels today. I guess to many it looks like a veil of cirrus. The sun should have that tell-tale red glow again towards sunset.

 

Yep. DTX just released an update about this:

000
FXUS63 KDTX 141411
AFDDTX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Detroit/Pontiac MI
1011 AM EDT Mon Sep 14 2020

.UPDATE...

Mid/upper level trajectories have taken the smoke plume from nrn
California and the Pacific Northwest into the Upper Midwest and Great
Lakes region. Satellite representation and visual observation suggest
the high altitude smoke overhead is quite opaque. So even though some
of the morning strato cu has been and will continue to dissipate,
afternoon sun is going to be very filtered through the upper level
smoke. This seems to suggest more or less filtered sunshine today as
opposed to outright sunny skies. So an update will be issued to
increase sky cover today. Otherwise, the going forecast looks
reasonable.

 

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1st official low in the 40s for Detroit since June 14th. Low was only 49 at DTW and 48 at DET, but temperatures hung around 49-50 for about 6 or 7 hours. Had all the windows closed and it was still about 65 in the house this morning. Fall is here. Got down to 40 at White Lake and 37 at bad axe. 

 

 Incredible to think, but on this date in 1939 Detroit hit 100゚. Easily the latest 100 on record, it was a 3 day heatwave that was unprecedented for the time of year.

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48 minutes ago, michsnowfreak said:

1st official low in the 40s for Detroit since June 14th. Low was only 49 at DTW and 48 at DET, but temperatures hung around 49-50 for about 6 or 7 hours. Had all the windows closed and it was still about 65 in the house this morning. Fall is here. Got down to 40 at White Lake and 37 at bad axe. 

 

 Incredible to think, but on this date in 1939 Detroit hit 100゚. Easily the latest 100 on record, it was a 3 day heatwave that was unprecedented for the time of year.

Third official low in the 40's at YYZ. For most of the burbs it’s our 5th. YYZ got down to 41F last night. It'll likely get down to the mid 30's later this week. The source of this weekend’s cold is straight from the Arctic.

I'm sure your excited about the onset of Fall knowing Winter isn't too far away. :lol:

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16 minutes ago, Hoosier said:

Tomorrow looks like 80+ at ORD for the first time since the 7th.  It got me thinking how there are probably only a handful of 80+ days left... at best.  Summer is slipping away, as it always does.

So I ran the stats on this of course.  Wouldn't you know, the average number of 80+ days in Chicago from 9/16 onward is pretty much exactly 5 days.  

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5 minutes ago, Chicago Storm said:

There's a shot that some of the smoke may make it down to the surface tomorrow in portions of the region, immediately following the frontal passage.

HRRR models the ground level smoke I think, but I don't remember where to find that.  Do you have the link?

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