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WxWatcher007

Major Hurricane Laura

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5 minutes ago, ScottB said:

Due to the elliptical shape of the eye, the current wobble looks easterly, but it's mainly due north/northwest. We're seeing the turn north now, imo. 

Good-maybe there’s some way the max surge can go East of Lake Charles which appears to be sparsely populated. Good news for Port Arthur/Beaumont. 

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Just now, tiger_deF said:

I'm actually under the opposite impression, eyewall has continued to cool especially near the end of the loop, and the eye is as hot as ever

Agreed.  It looks as good as ever! 

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5 minutes ago, JasonOH said:

The pressure sensors used for the data we see are different than the ones the pilots use. It’s a different system completely. I definitely lean toward algorithm issue.

 

Edit: Agreed on the eyewall. Took a closer look and I think you are right on that

looks like it came back when they lowered altitude..agree with algo funkiness

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4 minutes ago, jm1220 said:

Good-maybe there’s some way the max surge can go East of Lake Charles which appears to be sparsely populated. Good news for Port Arthur/Beaumont. 

Hopefully it does go East and hits very scarcely populated central LA. Looks very possible. Edit: No matter what high level impacts for Lake Charles, just hoping they miss worst of right front.

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I can't find any chasers that are on the beach right now - anyone got a good feed?

Sent from my SM-G950U using Tapatalk

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2 minutes ago, friedmators said:

looks like it came back when they lowered altitude..agree with algo funkiness

They cruise at ~25000’ usually. Radar altimeter (used to find distance to the surface) doesn’t work from that height. They use a known altitude and pressure at the flight level to calculate the expected surface pressure.

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1 minute ago, mempho said:

I can't find any chasers that are on the beach right now - anyone got a good feed?

Sent from my SM-G950U using Tapatalk
 

Hopefully there aren’t any chasers the beach 

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5 minutes ago, WinterWolf said:

Agreed.  It looks as good as ever! 

Agree this thing still has a chance to go higher. And sadly I don't see the surge going east towards central LA. according to the interview from the NWS Director on the weather channel a few minutes ago. 

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Have to ignore the short term wobbles and focus on the longer term motion. Holly Beach (or somewhere close) seems very possible based on longer term motion.

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Interesting feature on satellite. If you loop both vis sat and IR sat, the feature is in the deeper convection, then gets pulled quickly left.

arrow.png

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Just now, Bhs1975 said:

908/180


.

wow, 908kt and 180mb?!  Now THAT'S some serious rapid intensification!

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2 minutes ago, jpeters3 said:

947/140, just to be contrarian

Ha....I was thinking the same!  And sticking with my first call from yesterday...944/140.

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