SACRUS Posted August 10, 2020 Share Posted August 10, 2020 8/9 EWR: 90 TEB: 89 LGA: 89 New Brnswck: 89 TTN: 88 PHL: 88 ACY: 87 NYC: 87 BLM: 86 ISP: 83 JFK: 83 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
doncat Posted August 10, 2020 Share Posted August 10, 2020 88/68 split today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted August 10, 2020 Share Posted August 10, 2020 7 hours ago, Allsnow said: Just speaking climo....Niña tends to be snowy in December. I wonder how much influence the ENSO state really has in today's rapidly warming world. The Nino was completely decoupled from the pattern we saw last couple winters, wondering if the same will hold true this year. And finally is the era of cold/snowy winters over for good. We're seeing unprecedented warming with top 10 warmest months left and right since the super Nino. I wonder if warm/wet winters will be the future now and we just hope we could get lucky. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattinpa Posted August 10, 2020 Share Posted August 10, 2020 2 minutes ago, SnoSki14 said: I wonder how much influence the ENSO state really has in today's rapidly warming world. The Nino was completely decoupled from the pattern we saw last couple winters, wondering if the same will hold true this year. And finally is the era of cold/snowy winters over for good. We're seeing unprecedented warming with top 10 warmest months left and right since the super Nino. I wonder if warm/wet winters will be the future now and we just hope we could get lucky. I don’t think they would stop suddenly, but it may be harder to get the cold periods needed for snow. Climate change doesn’t mean something won’t occur, but the frequency is different. Winter tracking won’t be as fun if COVID spikes during the winter and there’s no vaccine. Hope everyone stays safe. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted August 10, 2020 Author Share Posted August 10, 2020 High for the day was 93 here. Current temp 78/DP 72/RH 82% 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted August 10, 2020 Author Share Posted August 10, 2020 Pretty wet 0z GFS runs especially late week into next weekend. We could have some flooding issues from slow moving showers/t-storms especially in those areas recently hit with heavy rains. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CIK62 Posted August 10, 2020 Share Posted August 10, 2020 The next 8 days are averaging 81degs., or 5degs. AN. GFS does have us at 5" total rain by this time next week. Originally this period starting the 13th. had a stalled front with a TD spinning up near it at 850mb------- Play around with last Tuesday's 850mb projection: https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=gfs®ion=us&pkg=z850_vort&runtime=2020080412&fh=276 75*(96%RH) here at 6am, m. clear, haze. 80*(85%RH) by 11am. 82*(80%RH) at Noon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gravitylover Posted August 10, 2020 Share Posted August 10, 2020 Just hold that rain off on Thursday and Friday. I have some outside work scheduled and the next opening for this contractor is 3 months away. Thanks. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted August 10, 2020 Share Posted August 10, 2020 On 8/6/2020 at 10:08 AM, SACRUS said: More 90s those years but this year overall coming close with a +2 June / +4 Jul and Aug looking +>1.5. Not sure on any confirmation of the below with winds or tornadoes. As far as the end of August timing looks potentially hotter relative to averages and actual's vs first half of Aug perhaps. The 50s decade should be looked at for analogs for this period, if we get another bout of extreme heat towards the end of August. Those years seem to match the last few on multiple levels (late summer heat, busy tropical seasons with multiple east coast hits, peak seasonal snows in March.) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted August 10, 2020 Share Posted August 10, 2020 Morning thoughts... At 9 am, temperatures in the region included: New York City-JFK: 80° New York City-LGA: 83° New York City-NYC: 79° Newark: 80° Philadelphia: 78° High temperatures should reach the upper 80s to lower 90s across the region. Estimates for the above cities based on the latest guidance: New York City-JFK: 86° New York City-LGA: 93° New York City-NYC: 90° Newark: 92° Philadelphia: 91° Finally, for the second consecutive weekly period, the ENSO Region 3.4 anomaly was at -0.5°C or below (-0.6°C). The probability of the development of a La Niña ahead of the upcoming winter has continued to increase. Such events following El Niño winters have featured a predominently positive EPO. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted August 10, 2020 Share Posted August 10, 2020 15 minutes ago, donsutherland1 said: Morning thoughts... At 9 am, temperatures in the region included: New York City-JFK: 80° New York City-LGA: 83° New York City-NYC: 79° Newark: 80° Philadelphia: 78° High temperatures should reach the upper 80s to lower 90s across the region. Estimates for the above cities based on the latest guidance: New York City-JFK: 86° New York City-LGA: 93° New York City-NYC: 90° Newark: 92° Philadelphia: 91° Finally, for the second consecutive weekly period, the ENSO Region 3.4 anomaly was at -0.5°C or below (-0.6°C). The probability of the development of a La Niña ahead of the upcoming winter has continued to increase. Such events following El Niño winters have featured a predominently positive EPO. Don, it looks like Tuesday will be slightly cooler but more humid? Also what are your thoughts on the storm for over the weekend and into early next week? A rare early season coastal? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted August 10, 2020 Share Posted August 10, 2020 86/72 and a hot one. 90s next 3 days ahead of front. Temps low to mid 90s. Some of the warmer spots 95(+) Mon / Tue. Wed toss up as storms and clouds timing needs to be watched. Thursday warm and stormy. Warm and wet By Friday 8/14 - Wed 8/19 with dominant onshore flow caught between the Rockies ridge and weakness west of the Western Atlantic Ridge. Cooler day or two possible 8/19 - 8/20 below average. Rockies ridge pushing strong heat into the Plains and GL by the 20th should set the stage for summer theme with that heat spreading east producing a sizzling finish to the month. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted August 10, 2020 Share Posted August 10, 2020 90 already Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted August 10, 2020 Author Share Posted August 10, 2020 Current temp 87/DP 74/RH 66% Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted August 10, 2020 Share Posted August 10, 2020 Another day with 75° dew points around the area. So it’s a continuation of the record breaking high dew point regime.These dew points used to be typical for the area around the Delmarva. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted August 10, 2020 Share Posted August 10, 2020 1 hour ago, LibertyBell said: Don, it looks like Tuesday will be slightly cooler but more humid? Also what are your thoughts on the storm for over the weekend and into early next week? A rare early season coastal? Tuesday will likely be a little cooler, but readings could still approach or reach 90. I want to see additional guidance before having confidence in the possible weekend storm. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted August 10, 2020 Share Posted August 10, 2020 Humid subtropical has made it to our area. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Will - Rutgers Posted August 10, 2020 Share Posted August 10, 2020 8 minutes ago, bluewave said: Humid subtropical has made it to our area. Too bad it's humid subtropical and not Mediterranean. Wonder what kind of crops we'll be able to grow here in 20 years. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nycwinter Posted August 10, 2020 Share Posted August 10, 2020 it is august 10th summer is 50% over..i can almost feel the crisp cool breezes of fall.. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted August 10, 2020 Share Posted August 10, 2020 4 minutes ago, nycwinter said: it is august 10th summer is 50% over..i can almost feel the crisp cool breezes of fall.. We haven't had a cold front here in weeks lol. Recember Septembers have been warm/hot...ways to go Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted August 10, 2020 Share Posted August 10, 2020 45 minutes ago, Will - Rutgers said: Too bad it's humid subtropical and not Mediterranean. Wonder what kind of crops we'll be able to grow here in 20 years. I will take the higher dew points and wet year round over the severe droughts that Mediterranean climates have been experiencing recently. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted August 10, 2020 Share Posted August 10, 2020 Noon roundup: LGA: 91 ACY: 89 New Brnswck: 89 ISP: 88 NYC: 88 BLM: 88 EWR: 88 (SE wind) PHL: 87 TEB: 87 TTN: 87 JFK: 86 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nycwinter Posted August 10, 2020 Share Posted August 10, 2020 28 minutes ago, Brian5671 said: We haven't had a cold front here in weeks lol. Recember Septembers have been warm/hot...ways to go after sept 10 noticeably drier air usually starts arriving.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted August 10, 2020 Share Posted August 10, 2020 We will need to see how far south the cooler air advertised on the Euro can advance in the 8/19 - 8/20 timeframe ahead of the late month heat surge. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted August 10, 2020 Share Posted August 10, 2020 2 hours ago, SACRUS said: 86/72 and a hot one. 90s next 3 days ahead of front. Temps low to mid 90s. Some of the warmer spots 95(+) Mon / Tue. Wed toss up as storms and clouds timing needs to be watched. Thursday warm and stormy. Warm and wet By Friday 8/14 - Wed 8/19 with dominant onshore flow caught between the Rockies ridge and weakness west of the Western Atlantic Ridge. Cooler day or two possible 8/19 - 8/20 below average. Rockies ridge pushing strong heat into the Plains and GL by the 20th should set the stage for summer theme with that heat spreading east producing a sizzling finish to the month. Great for the Perseids! I saw a green meteor streak last night! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted August 10, 2020 Share Posted August 10, 2020 6 minutes ago, nycwinter said: after sept 10 noticeably drier air usually starts arriving.. I thought that was more like mid October lol. Remember JFK hit 95 last October! Yum! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted August 10, 2020 Share Posted August 10, 2020 1 hour ago, bluewave said: I will take the higher dew points and wet year round over the severe droughts that Mediterranean climates have been experiencing recently. I like the droughts more, as the higher dew points result in breathing difficulties and more pollution. When are we going to resume our streak of 100+ summers? Do you think it will be possible to invent a global dehumidifier to suck out all this excess humidity? After all, water vapor is a GHG. I wouldn't mind if humankind found a way to lower sea levels by reclaiming some of the land lost to the oceans (70% oceans is a little too much, it should be more like 50% ocean 50% land.) It's high time humanity started tinkering with the environment to fix it rather than just let it all go downhill. Looks like we will be doing the same on Mars within the next few decades, as NASA just sent a rover there that converts CO2 to O2. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted August 10, 2020 Share Posted August 10, 2020 1 hour ago, bluewave said: Humid subtropical has made it to our area. If green is humid subtropical, what are pink and purple? My summer home is in the lower part of the purple. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted August 10, 2020 Share Posted August 10, 2020 1PM Roundup - Summer time and the livings easy LGA: 93 EWR: 91 New Brnswk: 91 NYC: 90 PHL: 90 TTN: 89 TEB: 89 BLM: 89 ISP: 88 ACY: 87 JFK: 86 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Uniblab Posted August 10, 2020 Share Posted August 10, 2020 9 minutes ago, LibertyBell said: I thought that was more like mid October lol. Remember JFK hit 95 last October! Yum! I remember a few years ago that it hit 80 in my backyard on Christmas day. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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