Itstrainingtime Posted July 22, 2020 Author Share Posted July 22, 2020 1 hour ago, Bubbler86 said: 3K and HRRR with a skinny but potent line of storms for almost everyone this evening. What becomes of the line currently moving into the central mountains? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted July 22, 2020 Share Posted July 22, 2020 7 minutes ago, Itstrainingtime said: What becomes of the line currently moving into the central mountains? The HRRR evaporates it then reforms it over your area. Misses us Dry Gulch folks although it just barely reforms in time for Cashtown as of this run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted July 22, 2020 Author Share Posted July 22, 2020 6 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: The HRRR evaporates it then reforms it over your area. Misses us Dry Gulch folks although it just barely reforms in time for Cashtown as of this run. How much (little?) did you get yesterday? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted July 22, 2020 Share Posted July 22, 2020 1 minute ago, Itstrainingtime said: How much (little?) did you get yesterday? 1/4". Not bad for a normal day but 3" for the last 12 weeks total. That's bad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted July 22, 2020 Author Share Posted July 22, 2020 Just now, Bubbler86 said: 1/4". Not bad for a normal day but 3" for the last 12 weeks total. That's bad. Very bad. Well, welcome back to the soup kitchen. My dews are back up into the 70s. Feels oppressive here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted July 22, 2020 Share Posted July 22, 2020 1 hour ago, Bubbler86 said: The HRRR evaporates it then reforms it over your area. Misses us Dry Gulch folks although it just barely reforms in time for Cashtown as of this run. looks brief by nasty....if it verifies. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Anduril Posted July 22, 2020 Share Posted July 22, 2020 Meso discussion for us is out Aforementioned strong surface heating will allow for the development of steep low level lapse rates, and some mixing of the boundary layer. As such, this will enhance strong downburst potential, and clusters of damaging wind are likely. Some guidance suggests a bowing segment or two could develop out of these thunderstorm clusters through outflow/storm-scale interactions/mergers or smaller-scale cold pool development. If this occurs, any forward-propagating bowing segment could increase the damaging wind threat locally. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted July 22, 2020 Share Posted July 22, 2020 Wooooo another heat advisory day! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted July 22, 2020 Author Share Posted July 22, 2020 2 minutes ago, canderson said: Wooooo another heat advisory day! I have a high dew (71) but a lower temp (85) which gives me a HI of 90. We have some work to do to reach advisory criteria. In other news - I was reading some comments in LNP this morning from a met at CTP. He mentioned that temps have been running 5-10 degrees above normal, but that the heat isn't abnormal. If the temps are running well above normal...wouldn't that be abnormal? 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted July 22, 2020 Author Share Posted July 22, 2020 1 hour ago, Anduril said: Meso discussion for us is out Aforementioned strong surface heating will allow for the development of steep low level lapse rates, and some mixing of the boundary layer. As such, this will enhance strong downburst potential, and clusters of damaging wind are likely. Some guidance suggests a bowing segment or two could develop out of these thunderstorm clusters through outflow/storm-scale interactions/mergers or smaller-scale cold pool development. If this occurs, any forward-propagating bowing segment could increase the damaging wind threat locally. Watch issued: SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE FOR WS 393 NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 1200 PM EDT WED JUL 22 2020 SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 393 IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 700 PM EDT FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS PAC001-009-013-021-027-037-041-043-055-057-061-067-071-075-087- 093-097-099-107-109-111-119-133-222300- /O.NEW.KWNS.SV.A.0393.200722T1600Z-200722T2300Z/ PA . PENNSYLVANIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ADAMS BEDFORD BLAIR CAMBRIA CENTRE COLUMBIA CUMBERLAND DAUPHIN FRANKLIN FULTON HUNTINGDON JUNIATA LANCASTER LEBANON MIFFLIN MONTOUR NORTHUMBERLAND PERRY SCHUYLKILL SNYDER SOMERSET UNION YORK Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted July 22, 2020 Share Posted July 22, 2020 30 minutes ago, Itstrainingtime said: I have a high dew (71) but a lower temp (85) which gives me a HI of 90. We have some work to do to reach advisory criteria. In other news - I was reading some comments in LNP this morning from a met at CTP. He mentioned that temps have been running 5-10 degrees above normal, but that the heat isn't abnormal. If the temps are running well above normal...wouldn't that be abnormal? He's gonna look silly when Harrisburg crushes the previously hottest July on record.* * I don't know for a fact that we are there yet, but last year's July was top 5 and we're wayyyy warmer than we were then. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Anduril Posted July 22, 2020 Share Posted July 22, 2020 Just now, canderson said: He's gonna look silly when Harrisburg crushes the previously hottest July on record.* * I don't know for a fact that we are there yet, but last year's July was top 5 and we're wayyyy warmer than we were then. Pretty sure I remember seeing one of the Mets in our area on twitter yesterday saying it was on pace to be the hottest. Of course now i cant find it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sauss06 Posted July 22, 2020 Share Posted July 22, 2020 10 minutes ago, Anduril said: Pretty sure I remember seeing one of the Mets in our area on twitter yesterday saying it was on pace to be the hottest. Of course now i cant find it ABC Finkenbinder said it live on TV Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Newman Posted July 22, 2020 Share Posted July 22, 2020 Yeah Harrisburg has an average temperature of 81.8 this month. That's on pace for the hottest July on record. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted July 22, 2020 Share Posted July 22, 2020 Just now, Newman said: Yeah Harrisburg has an average temperature of 81.8 this month. That's on pace for the hottest July on record. Seems like we do that every year now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted July 22, 2020 Share Posted July 22, 2020 9 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: Seems like we do that every year now. Most places are. It's almost like the climate is, oh I don't know, quickly becoming warmer and warmer. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
anotherman Posted July 22, 2020 Share Posted July 22, 2020 41 minutes ago, canderson said: He's gonna look silly when Harrisburg crushes the previously hottest July on record.* * I don't know for a fact that we are there yet, but last year's July was top 5 and we're wayyyy warmer than we were then. I have grown tired of hearing the reasons that this has nothing to do with climate change or that things aren't abnormal. The oceans are on FIRE. As much as I respect a lot of local mets, it's insulting to my intelligence to see them continue to make excuses for the extremes we are seeing. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted July 22, 2020 Share Posted July 22, 2020 Just now, canderson said: Most places are. It's almost like the climate is, oh I don't know, quickly becoming warmer and warmer. Call Al Gore! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Anduril Posted July 22, 2020 Share Posted July 22, 2020 31 minutes ago, sauss06 said: ABC Finkenbinder said it live on TV Yea, if I watched live TV that would help :p 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted July 22, 2020 Author Share Posted July 22, 2020 Well, we got a nice line forming to our west and a big 'ole cell just popped over Adams...let's see what the next several hours brings. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted July 22, 2020 Share Posted July 22, 2020 1 hour ago, Itstrainingtime said: Watch issued: SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE FOR WS 393 NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 1200 PM EDT WED JUL 22 2020 SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 393 IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 700 PM EDT FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS PAC001-009-013-021-027-037-041-043-055-057-061-067-071-075-087- 093-097-099-107-109-111-119-133-222300- /O.NEW.KWNS.SV.A.0393.200722T1600Z-200722T2300Z/ PA . PENNSYLVANIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ADAMS BEDFORD BLAIR CAMBRIA CENTRE COLUMBIA CUMBERLAND DAUPHIN FRANKLIN FULTON HUNTINGDON JUNIATA LANCASTER LEBANON MIFFLIN MONTOUR NORTHUMBERLAND PERRY SCHUYLKILL SNYDER SOMERSET UNION YORK Including Franklin county means we are going to "watch" you all get Thunder Storms. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted July 22, 2020 Author Share Posted July 22, 2020 23 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: Including Franklin county means we are going to "watch" you all get Thunder Storms. Think of the money you're saving on gassing up the John Deere! Hopefully you and Cashtown get a good soaking. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted July 22, 2020 Author Share Posted July 22, 2020 Finally hit 90. Doubt I'll get much higher...I can already hear thunder from the warned storm in York county. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
anotherman Posted July 22, 2020 Share Posted July 22, 2020 Getting a good smoking from that one right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted July 22, 2020 Author Share Posted July 22, 2020 3 minutes ago, anotherman said: Getting a good smoking from that one right now. Looks like it's going to slide JUST south of me. I might have to wait for the line following it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
anotherman Posted July 22, 2020 Share Posted July 22, 2020 3 minutes ago, Itstrainingtime said: Looks like it's going to slide JUST south of me. I might have to wait for the line following it. Lots more in the pipeline..... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted July 22, 2020 Author Share Posted July 22, 2020 Just now, anotherman said: Lots more in the pipeline..... Indeed. Everyone here except for Bubbler looks to "Cash" in today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted July 22, 2020 Share Posted July 22, 2020 Just now, Itstrainingtime said: Indeed. Everyone here except for Bubbler looks to "Cash" in today. HRRR kills it for almost everyone which is a late surprise and disappointing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
anotherman Posted July 22, 2020 Share Posted July 22, 2020 Looks like “it’s training time” for me here in southern York county. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted July 22, 2020 Author Share Posted July 22, 2020 16 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: HRRR kills it for almost everyone which is a late surprise and disappointing. Hopefully the next run brings the goods in a big way. 6 minutes ago, anotherman said: Looks like “it’s training time” for me here in southern York county. I've had distant thunder for nearly an hour now and yet the sky looks almost exactly like it did an hour ago. Guessing flood advisories for you soon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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