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SNE "Tropical" Season Discussion 2020


Bostonseminole
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2 hours ago, WxWatcher007 said:

Not saying I’m buying but the ukie continues to be quite impressive. It’s slightly more believable because Isaías is further east and is clearly attempting to develop a structure that makes it more likely to take advantage of an increasingly favorable environment.

You’ve been sold the Ukie. Own it and enjoy its rewards for buying.

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LFG!!!!!!

THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST
      UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Potential for wind 58
      to 73 mph
        - PLAN: Plan for dangerous wind of equivalent strong tropical
          storm force.
        - PREPARE: Remaining efforts to protect life and property
          should be completed as soon as possible. Prepare for
          significant wind damage.
        - ACT: Move to safe shelter before the wind becomes hazardous.

    - POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Significant
        - Some damage to roofing and siding materials, along with
          damage to porches, awnings, carports, and sheds. A few
          buildings experiencing window, door, and garage door
          failures. Mobile homes damaged, especially if unanchored.
          Unsecured lightweight objects become dangerous projectiles.
        - Several large trees snapped or uprooted, but with greater
          numbers in places where trees are shallow rooted. Several
          fences and roadway signs blown over.
        - Some roads impassable from large debris, and more within
          urban or heavily wooded places. A few bridges, causeways,
          and access routes impassable.
        - Scattered power and communications outages, but more
          prevalent in areas with above ground lines.

 

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Aint' exactly a "batten down the hatches" kind of storm.  Tropical season in NE lives on.

 

525 AM EDT Mon Aug 3 2020

...TROPICAL STORM WATCH IN EFFECT...

A Tropical Storm Watch means tropical storm-force winds are possible
somewhere within this area within the next 48 hours

* LOCATIONS AFFECTED
    - Milford
    - Worcester

* WIND
    - LATEST LOCAL FORECAST: Below tropical storm force wind
        - Peak Wind Forecast: 25-35 mph with gusts to 45 mph
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1 minute ago, dendrite said:

Need the messenger late bump east to get in in the good rains. I’ll pass on a rogue 10pm 40mph gust up here. 

I never do good with NW gusts because of my hill and trees but I have unlimited to horizen exposure to the south.  No trees around the house that can do damage so it will be fun.   Just need to get gas for the geny.  At least comfortable weather later this week.  We have not had any big thunderstorm wind in my area for a few years so even 25-35mph with lollies to 40mph can cause power outages.  Unlike a quick gusts front a few hours of winds like this are going to lead to scattered power outages.

 

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1 hour ago, moneypitmike said:

Aint' exactly a "batten down the hatches" kind of storm.  Tropical season in NE lives on.

 


525 AM EDT Mon Aug 3 2020

...TROPICAL STORM WATCH IN EFFECT...

A Tropical Storm Watch means tropical storm-force winds are possible
somewhere within this area within the next 48 hours

* LOCATIONS AFFECTED
    - Milford
    - Worcester

* WIND
    - LATEST LOCAL FORECAST: Below tropical storm force wind
        - Peak Wind Forecast: 25-35 mph with gusts to 45 mph

:poster_stupid:

Today
Sunny, with a high near 92. Southwest wind 9 to 13 mph, with gusts as high as 23 mph.
Tonight
A slight chance of showers after 2am. Patchy fog after 2am. Otherwise, increasing clouds, with a low around 72. Southwest wind 3 to 7 mph. Chance of precipitation is 20%.
Tuesday
A chance of showers, with thunderstorms also possible after 10am. Patchy fog before 10am. Otherwise, cloudy, with a high near 84. South wind 5 to 10 mph. Chance of precipitation is 40%. New rainfall amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.
Tuesday Night
Showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 71. Windy, with a south wind 23 to 28 mph decreasing to 15 to 20 mph. Winds could gust as high as 39 mph. Chance of precipitation is 70%. New rainfall amounts between three quarters and one inch possible.
Wednesday
A chance of showers and thunderstorms, mainly before 2pm. Partly sunny, with a high near 86. Southwest wind 10 to 13 mph. Chance of precipitation is 40%.
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I do pretty well with southerly flow too. It’s probably my best wind direction based on how close my sustained wind speeds tend to be with gusts. Out of the W-NW I get peak winds like 13G30mph but my open south side nets me winds like 22G30mph. I’m sure 38 did quite a bit of damage in my spot. We’ll need to stay in this soupy airmass for the best mixing during the night hours. If this goes a little more E and we wedge a bit it’s ovah.

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3 minutes ago, wxeyeNH said:

Doesn't look too bad on first vis.   CDO has expanded west.  On radar some nice rotation around center.  Surely doesn't look like a classic cane but have seen worse TS's

IR tops warmed even during nighttime max. It's been a bag of COVID its whole life anyways I suppose. 

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