Brian5671 Posted June 2, 2020 Share Posted June 2, 2020 Need some rain here-pollen is bad and we've had about an inch of rain since 5/1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted June 2, 2020 Share Posted June 2, 2020 Slight risk adjusted north 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted June 2, 2020 Share Posted June 2, 2020 2 hours ago, SACRUS said: Pending on what your timing of this week but there is a possible window 6/9 - 6/11 ahead of the remnant tropical low/subsequent cold front. We'll see if EWR can get enough sun and heating Fri. Yeah, it will depend on the amount clouds and wind direction at the time. But that could be another window to watch if we can get some sun and SW flow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CIK62 Posted June 2, 2020 Share Posted June 2, 2020 As usual the GFS OP is higher for the average High T during the next 16 days at about 84*, and the ENS is at 78*. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gravitylover Posted June 2, 2020 Share Posted June 2, 2020 Another beautiful day in the 60's here. We had a few sprinkles that didn't even wet the ground. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted June 2, 2020 Share Posted June 2, 2020 3 hours ago, Stormlover74 said: Slight risk adjusted north i'm pretty impressed by tomorrow's modeled soundings. legit EML with good shear. obviously the caveat is morning activity Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted June 2, 2020 Share Posted June 2, 2020 It looks like the MCS the models have for tomorrow originates over the Upper Midwest tonight. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted June 3, 2020 Share Posted June 3, 2020 Warmer weather will likely tomorrow. Some showers and thundershowers are likely later tomorrow. At least several days with widespread high temperatures in the 80s will be likely. Nevertheless, no excessive heat is likely through at least the first ten days of June in the Middle Atlantic and southern New England regions. The ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly was -0.4°C and the Region 3.4 anomaly was -0.5°C for the week centered around May 27. For the past six weeks, the ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly has averaged +0.03°C and the ENSO Region 3.4 anomaly has averaged 0.00°C. ENSO Region anomalies have continued to cool into the end of May. Neutral-cool conditions will likely prevail through mid-summer. The probability of the development of a La Niña event during late summer or early autumn has continued to increase. The SOI was -2.04 today. Today, the preliminary Arctic Oscillation (AO) figure was -0.927. On June 1, the MJO was in Phase 1 at an amplitude of 1.869 (RMM). The May 31-adjusted amplitude was 1.851. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HailMan06 Posted June 3, 2020 Share Posted June 3, 2020 2 hours ago, bluewave said: It looks like the MCS the models have for tomorrow originates over the Upper Midwest tonight. We rumble. I'm mildly excited for the potential. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted June 3, 2020 Author Share Posted June 3, 2020 It looks like some storms are heading into the NYC metro from NE PA NW NJ. Nothing severe at the moment. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted June 3, 2020 Share Posted June 3, 2020 Starting to see some lightning Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB-99 Posted June 3, 2020 Share Posted June 3, 2020 Lightning just off to my west and the line is heading towards me in Colts Neck. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SRRTA22 Posted June 3, 2020 Share Posted June 3, 2020 1 minute ago, Stormlover74 said: Starting to see some lightning Yeah theres a decent amount of lightning. Seeing upwards of 10 flashes per minute Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Will - Rutgers Posted June 3, 2020 Share Posted June 3, 2020 Lightning in Piscataway and maybe some kind of gust front. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted June 3, 2020 Share Posted June 3, 2020 With that line moving southeast someones going to get alot of rain Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmillz25 Posted June 3, 2020 Share Posted June 3, 2020 Hearing some thunder now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted June 3, 2020 Author Share Posted June 3, 2020 Getting some rain, thunder and lightning here. Nothing to heavy though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted June 3, 2020 Share Posted June 3, 2020 Round 2 with more behind this one Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted June 3, 2020 Author Share Posted June 3, 2020 https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/day1otlk.html 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
doncat Posted June 3, 2020 Share Posted June 3, 2020 Two t- storms last couple of hours...just some heavy rain and thunder...0.53" so far. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmillz25 Posted June 3, 2020 Share Posted June 3, 2020 Constant low rumbles of thunder here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted June 3, 2020 Share Posted June 3, 2020 Heavy rain here in Brooklyn Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted June 3, 2020 Author Share Posted June 3, 2020 Have picked up 0.78" of rain so far today. Current temp 61 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CIK62 Posted June 3, 2020 Share Posted June 3, 2020 The next 8 days are averaging 75degs., or about 5degs. AN. GFS OP has 91* for Sat., the ENS 82*. Any precipitation from the tropical system will not be here for a week. Sun., Mon., Tues. coming up might be nice, meanwhile. 64* here at 6am, mostly clear. 68* by 9am. 70* by 10:30am. 74* by Noon. 78* by 1pm. 70* by 2pm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hudsonvalley21 Posted June 3, 2020 Share Posted June 3, 2020 5 hours ago, Rtd208 said: https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/day1otlk.html Bumped north again. Have a feeling it will be bumped a little north again in the next update rth Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted June 3, 2020 Share Posted June 3, 2020 nothing here last night but we all get pounded later today Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted June 3, 2020 Author Share Posted June 3, 2020 Temp on the rise quickly here this morning. Current temp 70/DP 64/RH 81% Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted June 3, 2020 Share Posted June 3, 2020 That line is already looking fierce in NW PA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted June 3, 2020 Share Posted June 3, 2020 14 minutes ago, Brian5671 said: nothing here last night but we all get pounded later today Based on current radar, that band looks like it needs to be shifted 50-100 miles South. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted June 3, 2020 Share Posted June 3, 2020 3 minutes ago, NJwx85 said: That line is already looking fierce in NW PA. That line looks like it will miss most of the subforum to the south unless it starts extending north. There's also showers in northcentral PA wanting to ruin our fun. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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