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June Discussion


RUNNAWAYICEBERG
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My forecast is a torrid June after the first week. I expect week of 6/1 to be -3F departure, week of 6/8 should be +1, week of 6/15 +4, week of 6/22 normal, week of 6/29 +8 (only 3 days).  
 

Monthly temperatures:  around +3

Monthly rain:  70% of normal.

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19 minutes ago, weathafella said:

My forecast is a torrid June after the first week. I expect week of 6/1 to be -3F departure, week of 6/8 should be +1, week of 6/15 +4, week of 6/22 normal, week of 6/29 +8 (only 3 days).  
 

Monthly temperatures:  around +3

Monthly rain:  70% of normal.

Fair call. GL.

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26 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

A furnace month after the first 3 days . With rainfall less than 30%

 

1 hour ago, weathafella said:

My forecast is a torrid June after the first week. I expect week of 6/1 to be -3F departure, week of 6/8 should be +1, week of 6/15 +4, week of 6/22 normal, week of 6/29 +8 (only 3 days).  
 

Monthly temperatures:  around +3

Monthly rain:  70% of normal.

agreed

I think we torch mid month and at the end of the month through 7/10 

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1 hour ago, Cyclone-68 said:

I need an INVEST to track failing no severe weather in the immediate future 

LR GFS had some Gulf Fun for *several runs showing a 970 storm. One run took it  E of FL and north ..off SE ..but that was 300 hrs out. 

I will be going to chase a hurricane again this year if the opp allows. I showed up in FL last year...the cane didn't.

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43 minutes ago, STILL N OF PIKE said:

LR GFS had some Gulf Fun for *several runs showing a 970 storm. One run took it  E of FL and north ..off SE ..but that was 300 hrs out. 

I will be going to chase a hurricane again this year if the opp allows. I showed up in FL last year...the cane didn't.

Some year before I die I also pledge to do this!

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3 hours ago, weathafella said:

My forecast is a torrid June after the first week. I expect week of 6/1 to be -3F departure, week of 6/8 should be +1, week of 6/15 +4, week of 6/22 normal, week of 6/29 +8 (only 3 days).  
 

Monthly temperatures:  around +3

Monthly rain:  70% of normal.

Let’s heat up the Northern Atlantic basin! 

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51 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

Heat wave begins June 8

Finishes on the 9th?

2FA6650C-7806-4C33-95BB-16071C493F0B.thumb.png.92d70b7497204fca89871e48dbf74f70.png

You wonder if this is a summer where we bake further NW and especially Canada.  The last few GFS runs have been signaling sustained big departures over Canada in the means, but more transient in SNE.

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9 minutes ago, powderfreak said:

Finishes on the 9th?

2FA6650C-7806-4C33-95BB-16071C493F0B.thumb.png.92d70b7497204fca89871e48dbf74f70.png

You wonder if this is a summer where we bake further NW and especially Canada.  The last few GFS runs have been signaling sustained big departures over Canada in the means, but more transient in SNE.

Euro weeklies has that look as well. Congrats on continued jacks.

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18 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

Euro weeklies has that look as well. Congrats on continued jacks.

I'm not exactly stoked on that look, but looping out the model runs towards mid-June has that over-the-top look again that we just saw.   There's heat there in SNE end of the first week but then it seems to break but build again over the top.

Maybe this is the summer Montreal bakes.

EPS has that look though as there's a persistent weakness east of New England... can envision a scenario where if those lower heights are stable off the New England coast, that pieces of the midwest and Great Lakes ridge fold over top up into Ontario and Quebec.

ecmwf-ens_z500a_us_11.thumb.png.7f66c7d93e84f6d1a9b8e9751f08b589.png

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