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Monday, June 1 and Tuesday, June 2, 2020 Cold Pool Fun


weatherwiz
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Computer forecast models have been in strong agreement in a vigorous shortwave trough amplifying through New England yielding quite an anomalous pool of cold air aloft characterized by 500mb temperatures as low as -25C. While llvl moisture will be sufficiently lacking (dew points mainly in the 30's to 40's), the combination of very steep lapse rates (~7.5 C/KM) and daytime heating will contribute weak destabilization with MLCAPE values around 250-500 J/KG. This should be enough to spark off scattered showers and t'storms each afternoon with the attendant risks of gusty winds and hail. On Tuesday when the brunt of the air mass moves overhead, there could even be some flakes in the mountainous areas of northern New England! Lack of moisture will likely inhibit potential for severe hail. 

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