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2 hours ago, MJO812 said:

Day 1 after the second Moderna shot

So far

I'm just experiencing  a sore arm

My mom is in bed with no taste , chills and body aches and a slight fever. Same side effects as the 1st shot.

The no taste thing is interesting.  I know you guys had covid... did she lose her taste then?

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I went to IHME for the first time in a few weeks, and needless to say I was shocked when I saw them projecting 948,000 US covid deaths by September 1. 

https://covid19.healthdata.org/united-states-of-america?view=cumulative-deaths&tab=trend

 

I noticed the number before I read the paragraph at the top.  Basically, they changed their methodology to not make a projection for reported covid deaths, but to include covid deaths that are unreported.  You can read about it here:

https://www.healthdata.org/special-analysis/estimation-excess-mortality-due-covid-19-and-scalars-reported-covid-19-deaths

They believe that there have been just over 900k covid deaths in the US to date. It's a stunning number that initially struck me as too high.  But contrary to some who have been arguing that covid deaths are inflated, it's quite likely that the opposite is true.  We just don't know by how much.  I'm sure more estimates will emerge as to how many people died from covid in this time period.  But whether it's 700k, 800k, 900k, it's all bad.

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57 minutes ago, Hoosier said:

I went to IHME for the first time in a few weeks, and needless to say I was shocked when I saw them projecting 948,000 US covid deaths by September 1. 

https://covid19.healthdata.org/united-states-of-america?view=cumulative-deaths&tab=trend

 

I noticed the number before I read the paragraph at the top.  Basically, they changed their methodology to not make a projection for reported covid deaths, but to include covid deaths that are unreported.  You can read about it here:

https://www.healthdata.org/special-analysis/estimation-excess-mortality-due-covid-19-and-scalars-reported-covid-19-deaths

They believe that there have been just over 900k covid deaths in the US to date. It's a stunning number that initially struck me as too high.  But contrary to some who have been arguing that covid deaths are inflated, it's quite likely that the opposite is true.  We just don't know by how much.  I'm sure more estimates will emerge as to how many people died from covid in this time period.  But whether it's 700k, 800k, 900k, it's all bad.

Really what I suspected all along. As I said earlier some/many states are under reporting 

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3 hours ago, Hoosier said:

I went to IHME for the first time in a few weeks, and needless to say I was shocked when I saw them projecting 948,000 US covid deaths by September 1. 

https://covid19.healthdata.org/united-states-of-america?view=cumulative-deaths&tab=trend

 

I noticed the number before I read the paragraph at the top.  Basically, they changed their methodology to not make a projection for reported covid deaths, but to include covid deaths that are unreported.  You can read about it here:

https://www.healthdata.org/special-analysis/estimation-excess-mortality-due-covid-19-and-scalars-reported-covid-19-deaths

They believe that there have been just over 900k covid deaths in the US to date. It's a stunning number that initially struck me as too high.  But contrary to some who have been arguing that covid deaths are inflated, it's quite likely that the opposite is true.  We just don't know by how much.  I'm sure more estimates will emerge as to how many people died from covid in this time period.  But whether it's 700k, 800k, 900k, it's all bad.

Thanks for posting that. An interesting read.  They are saying that as of now, the US death toll is 905,289 vs. the reported 574,043.

 

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20 minutes ago, IWXwx said:

Thanks for posting that. An interesting read.  They are saying that as of now, the US death toll is 905,289 vs. the reported 574,043.

 

The currently Excess Mortality number from the CDC is 690k. But due to time lagged data that doesn't account for ~40k in the past 7-8 weeks. The CDC excess mortality numbers don't factor in in ~25k flu related deaths that didn't occur last winter (CDC hasn't released their 2020-21 flu burden estimates yet though). IHME probably factored both of these things in assuming most net excess deaths were due to Covid itself as opposed to delayed care, etc.  the IHME numbers still looks a bit high maybe, and of course their estimate is subject to some revision.

Worldwide IHME estimates actual Covid deaths to be approximate double the official numbers, with Russia, India and Mexico responsible for a lot of the under counting.

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16 hours ago, MJO812 said:

What a misleading post. Florida has had no surge in cases, in fact its numbers inline with Michigan despite having double the population. It'd be even lower if it wasn't a major vacation spot either, too many Northerners bringing their covid with them

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Just now, nwohweather said:

What a misleading post. Florida has had no surge in cases, in fact its numbers inline with Michigan despite having double the population. It'd be even lower if it wasn't a major vacation spot either, too many Northerners bringing their covid with them

Any evidence to back up your claim that Florida’s case numbers are in any way tied to “northerners”?

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3 minutes ago, TimB84 said:

Any evidence to back up your claim that Florida’s case numbers are in any way tied to “northerners”?

https://www.tampabay.com/news/health/2021/03/24/weeks-into-spring-break-adults-under-50-spur-covid-rise-in-florida-tourism-hubs/

Also it's what spurred it last year. When Southern states were the first to open up due to incredibly low case loads, folks hit I-95 and I-75 en masse to visit these areas. Even Charleston averages 7 million vacationers a year. I won't lie, coming from Ohio it's odd to live in a place like this

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4 minutes ago, nwohweather said:

https://www.tampabay.com/news/health/2021/03/24/weeks-into-spring-break-adults-under-50-spur-covid-rise-in-florida-tourism-hubs/

Also it's what spurred it last year. When Southern states were the first to open up due to incredibly low case loads, folks hit I-95 and I-75 en masse to visit these areas. Even Charleston averages 7 million vacationers a year. I won't lie, coming from Ohio it's odd to live in a place like this

We also know there’s at least somewhat of a seasonal component to this thing. South Dakota has similar leadership in a cold climate that actually has seasons and has failed miserably with covid. You just don’t hear about it as much because South Dakota is an afterthought to the vast majority of Americans.

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35 minutes ago, nwohweather said:

What a misleading post. Florida has had no surge in cases, in fact its numbers inline with Michigan despite having double the population. It'd be even lower if it wasn't a major vacation spot either, too many Northerners bringing their covid with them

How is it misleading if there’s more variant cases than before?  You seem kinda triggered on this.

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Vaccination Demographics update for 2021-05-09

% received at least one dose by age

Age May-09 May-08 May-02 Daily Δ Weekly Δ
75+ 82.4% 82.3% 81.7% 0.12 pp 0.75 pp
65-74 85.1% 85.0% 84.1% 0.16 pp 1.0 pp
50-64 65.3% 64.9% 63.2% 0.32 pp 2.0 pp
40-49 53.6% 53.2% 51.3% 0.35 pp 2.3 pp
30-39 46.8% 46.4% 44.6% 0.35 pp 2.2 pp
18-29 37.5% 37.1% 35.2% 0.37 pp 2.3 pp
0-17 3.3% 3.3% 2.9% 0.06 pp 0.39 pp
16-17 29.4% 28.8% 26.0% 0.53 pp 3.4 pp
16+ 57.6% 57.3% 55.7% 0.31 pp 2.0 pp
All 46.4% 46.2% 44.8% 0.25 pp 1.6 pp

Percentage point changes in received at least one dose by age in prior week

Age Δ May-09 Δ May-02 Δ Apr-25 Δ Apr-18 Δ Apr-11 Δ Apr-04
75+ 0.75 pp 1.0 pp 1.2 pp 1.7 pp 2.4 pp 2.1 pp
65-74 1.0 pp 1.4 pp 1.6 pp 2.4 pp 3.4 pp 3.0 pp
50-64 2.0 pp 2.8 pp 3.4 pp 5.2 pp 7.5 pp 5.8 pp
40-49 2.3 pp 3.2 pp 4.0 pp 5.4 pp 6.8 pp 4.6 pp
30-39 2.2 pp 3.0 pp 3.8 pp 5.2 pp 6.1 pp 3.8 pp
18-29 2.3 pp 3.2 pp 3.9 pp 5.1 pp 5.4 pp 2.9 pp
0-17 0.39 pp 0.58 pp 0.66 pp 0.63 pp 0.48 pp 0.21 pp
16-17 3.4 pp 5.1 pp 5.8 pp 5.5 pp 4.2 pp 1.9 pp
16+ 2.0 pp 2.7 pp 3.3 pp 4.6 pp 4.8 pp 4.8 pp
All 1.6 pp 2.2 pp 2.7 pp 3.7 pp 3.9 pp 3.8 pp

% fully vaccinated by age

Age May-09 May-08 May-02 Daily Δ Weekly Δ
75+ 70.6% 70.4% 69.2% 0.20 pp 1.4 pp
65-74 72.2% 71.9% 70.2% 0.29 pp 2.0 pp
50-64 50.1% 49.4% 45.8% 0.69 pp 4.3 pp
40-49 38.1% 37.4% 33.9% 0.75 pp 4.2 pp
30-39 32.2% 31.5% 28.2% 0.73 pp 4.0 pp
18-29 23.5% 22.8% 19.7% 0.70 pp 3.8 pp
0-17 1.42% 1.32% 0.90% 0.10 pp 0.52 pp
16-17 12.5% 11.6% 7.9% 0.91 pp 4.6 pp
16+ 43.2% 42.6% 39.6% 0.62 pp 3.6 pp
All 34.8% 34.3% 31.9% 0.50 pp 2.9 pp

 

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3 hours ago, BuffaloWeather said:

Vaccination Demographics update for 2021-05-09

% received at least one dose by age

Age May-09 May-08 May-02 Daily Δ Weekly Δ
75+ 82.4% 82.3% 81.7% 0.12 pp 0.75 pp
65-74 85.1% 85.0% 84.1% 0.16 pp 1.0 pp
           

It's interesting that the 65-74 group has a higher vaccinated % than the 75+ group.

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40 minutes ago, hawkeye_wx said:

It's interesting that the 65-74 group has a higher vaccinated % than the 75+ group.

Could be various reasons for that.  Maybe less of them are driving and it's not as easy for them to go get it.  I'd like to see a more detailed breakdown of the 75+ group... like 75-84, 85-94.  75+ is anybody from 75 to like 115 lol

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My brother in law's aunt got the vaccine and is now in the hospital with a 104 fever and low oxygen (84%).  I am trying to find out exactly when she got the vaccine to see how much of a temporal relation exists.  Has anyone heard of that combination of side effects (high fever AND low oxygen) from the vaccine?  It sounds more like actual COVID.  

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2 hours ago, Hoosier said:

My brother in law's aunt got the vaccine and is now in the hospital with a 104 fever and low oxygen (84%).  I am trying to find out exactly when she got the vaccine to see how much of a temporal relation exists.  Has anyone heard of that combination of side effects (high fever AND low oxygen) from the vaccine?  It sounds more like actual COVID.  

This is probably a silly question but did she get tested for covid?

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